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DIEHARDS SUNDAY PROP BETS week 2 2023
All Props Based off DraftKings Odds
SINGLE PROP REGULAR SEASON RECORD (2023 Season): 9-25
RAVENS @ BENGALS (1:00p)
BENGALS WR JA'MARR CHASE OVER 79.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
This is a lay-up. Joe Burrow will not throw for 86 yards again especially against this Ravens defense. Not saying they are a pushover but he's got great history against Baltimore and so does Chase. In his 4 career games against the Ravens, he's gone over this number in 3 of his 4 games. Especially after Week 1, these Bengals will roar at home.
RAVENS WR ZAY FLOWERS OVER 42.4 RECEIVING YARDS (-135)
I wouldn't mind if this number went up a yard and lowered down the odds a bit but love this kid. He showed us last week that Lamar will be looking his way a lot this season. Zay had 10 targets and while I don't know if he's gonna see double digit targets each week but he's obviously a favorite.
RAIDERS @ BILLS (1:00p)
BILLS WR STEFON DIGGS OVER 78.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
BILLS WR STEFON DIGGS OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS (-110)
We know about the connection between Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs. Despite the loss on Monday night, he had 10 catches for 102 yards and a touchdown. Now, you've got that leaked audio story about Diggs out there. I believe they will force the issue to appease him and squash this story.
BILLS RB JAMES COOK OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS (+110)
While his per touch average was not stellar in week 1, Cook did face a tough Jets defense. The Raiders are not at that level. He had 6 targets in the first game for 4 catches. Cook is undoubtedly the number one back in this offense.
CHIEFS @ JAGUARS (1:00p)
CHIEFS WR KADARIUS TONEY ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER (+255)
CHIEFS WR KADARIUS TONEY OVER 27.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-130)
I don't usually like anytime touchdown props but this one almost seems automatic. After getting absolutely roasted by social media for playing like crap in Week 1, Patrick Mahomes is the type that will make it right for his guy this week. He will be heavily involved in this game plan.
CHIEFS WE SKYY MOORE UNDER 30.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-135)
I don't understand why everyone keeps thinking Skyy Moore is going to be a thing. They did not have Travis Kelce and he still couldn't get any burn from Mahomes. He is going to keep going under this and this prop will keep dropping, just a matter of how low it will go before I can't take it anymore.
SEAHAWKS @ LIONS (1:00p)
LIONS TE SAM LAPORTA OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS (+105)
LIONS TE SAM LAPORTA OVER 35.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
I don't love rookie tight ends in general but when they get to play against the Seahawks defense, it's a must target. Higbee did disappoint last week but they kept him in to block a lot more than expected. LaPorta went over both of these numbers in his first game against the Chiefs, now he gets a better matchup.
SEAHAWKS WR D.K. METCALF OVER 65.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
I was so upset when he didn't cover this prop last weekend. He had 47 yards in the first half and then didn't catch a single ball in the second half. You saw him get frustrated in the second half and shove a Rams player from behind. I think things cool down and get this back on track in Week 2.
LIONS RB JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 40.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115)
You know the Lions were watching on Thursday night when the guy they traded for a 7th round pick went off for nearly 200 yards rushing. I believe Detroit will feature Gibbs more in this game than they did in Week 1. He had 42 yards on just 7 carries last week. Jahmyr will have his breakout in front of the home fans in the Motor City.
CHARGERS @ TITANS (1:00p)
CHARGERS RB JOSHUA KELLEY OVER 51.5 RUSHING YARDS (-110)
Austin Ekeler has been officially ruled out for Week 2 which means Josh Kelley will step up into the number one running back spot. He looked great as the backup for Ekeler in Week 1, rushed 19 times for 91 yards. This number seems more than reasonable in Week 2 against the Titans.
CHARGERS WR KEENAN ALLEN OVER 72.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
The Saints combo of Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed went for 13 receptions and over 200 yards receiving. I believe Keenan should have no problem against this Titans secondary which is the weakness of their defense. Allen had 76 yards in Week 1 against the Dolphins which has a much better set of corners.
PACKERS @ FALCONS (1:00p)
FALCONS RB BIJAN ROBINSON OVER 18.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-120)
This guy is going to be heavily featured in the passing game and won't just be the ground and pound carry the ball 25 times a game type. That's why they featured Tyler Allgeier in that role last week. Bijan should fly over this number, he had 6 catches in Week 1 on 6 targets for 27 yards.
FALCONS WR DRAKE LONDON UNDER 45.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
Drake was completely shut out in Week 1 against the Carolina Panthers. I do not expect that to happen every week but this week he will have Jaire Alexander shadowing him. Alexander is a lockdown corner who held D.J. Moore to 2 catches for 25 yards. The combination of not trusting Desmond Ridder and facing Alexander leads me to knowing he won't go over this prop.
PACKERS WR ROMEO DOUBS OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS (+114)
This is going to be a guy that Jordan Love targets a lot in the passing game. Especially, when it looked like Christian Watson will be out once again for Green Bay. I would like this bet even if he plays. Doubs will be the volume guy while Watson is the over the top guys. Romeo cause 4 balls in Week 1 on 5 targets.
BEARS @ BUCCANEERS (1:00p)
BEARS RB KHALIL HERBERT OVER 9.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-120)
This is my favorite bet on the board this week in any of the games. It is way too low and we should be taking advantage of it. He caught 3 balls on 5 targets in Week 1 for 37 yards. We've seen him as a prominent pass catcher as the number two to David Montgomery.
BUCCANEERS RB RACHAAD WHITE OVER 77.5 RUSH + RECEIVE YARDS (-105)
While he went way under this total yardage in Week 1, I love the volume he got. He touched the ball 19 times which was way more than anyone else for Tampa. He gets a terrible Bears defense at home this weekend and I think he plows through this number in Week 2.
COLTS @ TEXANS (1:00p)
TEXANS QB C.J. STROUD OVER 30.5 PASS ATTEMPTS (-120)
The Texans rookie QB threw the ball 44 times in Week 1 against the Ravens. I know this game will have a different game script and I doubt he gets over 40 this week but 31 seems more than reasonable. They can't run the ball the whole time in this one. Trevor Lawrence threw the ball 32 times in Week 1 against the Colts.
TEXANS WR ROBERT WOODS OVER 33.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-110)
I'm going back to the well with this one because the number did not go up as high as I expected. This number is too low in my opinion, it should be in the mid-40s for me to think about not taking it. Woods was targeted 10 times and he caught 6 of them for 57 yards. Every rookie quarterback needs that veteran target and Woods has proven to be that guy for Stroud.
COLTS RB ZACK MOSS OVER 48.5 RUSHING YARDS (-110)
COLTS RB ZACK MOSS OVER 11.5 RUSHING ATTEMPTS (-125)
It's hard not to love Zack Moss in this game. We saw that Deon Jackson could not carry the load as the lead back in Week 1. The Colts needed their veteran big bruising back on the field. This will also take some of the rushing work off of Anthony Richardson. The Texans actually held the Ravens to 110 total rushing yards in Week 1 but last season were the worst in the league at 170 yards per game on the ground. 50 yards is more than reasonable for him to reach in this one.
49ERS @ RAMS (4:05p)
49ERS WR BRANDON AIYUK OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS (+114)
49ERS WR BRANDON AIYUK OVER 60.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
Once again, I don't expect Brandon Aiyuk to do what he did in Week 1 every single week but there is definitely a nice connection between him and Brock Purdy. Brandon caught 8 balls on 8 targets against the Steelers for 129 yards and two touchdowns. The Rams did hold the Seahawks to under 150 passing yards for the game but I like this San Francisco offense a lot more. I'd like to put some bets on the Rams weapons but I really don't know what I can trust at this point.
GIANTS @ CARDINALS (4:05p)
GIANTS QB DANIEL JONES ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER (+180)
Brian Daboll is too good of a coach to put up two duds in a row. The Cardinals are the perfect opponent for the Giants to bounce back against. Sam Howell had a rushing touchdown against this Arizona team in Week 1 and Jones is much more of a rushing threat than him. I typically don't love anytime touchdown scoring props but I've got a feeling about this one.
CARDINALS TE ZACH ERTZ OVER 26.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
CARDINALS TE ZACH ERTZ OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS (-125)
Josh Dobbs has found his go-to target in this Cardinals offense. I mean it's the obvious choice with his experience especially against back to back NFC East opponents to start the season. If you remember the end of the season in Tennessee when Dobbs took over the starting role, he made Chigoziem Okonkwo a name Fantasy Football owners needed to know. These two numbers are way too easy for Ertz, he had 6 catches on 10 targets for 21 yards in Week 1. If he catches just one more of those targets he gets to this prop.
CARDINALS RB JAMES CONNER 2.5 RECEPTIONS (-125)
It is kind of amazing that Conner caught all 5 of his targets for less than 10 yards in Week 1 but yardage doesn't matter with this bet. Dobbs will continue to check down to Conner throughout the game especially if they get down early like I fully expect them to do.
JETS @ COWBOYS (4:25p)
JETS RB BREECE HALL OVER 37.5 RUSHING YARDS (-135)
Did you watch this kid in Week 1? I know everything revolved around Aaron Rodgers and his injury but he looked fantastic in his first action since tearing his ACL last season. He averaged over 12 yards a carry against the Bills in Week 1. Despite the blowout, Saquon Barkley still averaged over 4 yards a carry against this Cowboys defense that pitched a shutout in Week 1
JETS WR GARRETT WILSON OVER 48.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
I know everyone expects Garrett Wilson to take a massive hit to his value with Zach Wilson at the helm but I think the opposite. The Jets will trail more often without Aaron Rodgers which will force them to throw the ball down the field. Wilson has to step up and be that guy we all wanted him to be before the season started. This change at quarterback will be more beneficial to him in the long run.
COMMANDERS @ BRONCOS (4:25p)
COMMANDERS WR JAHAN DOTSON ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER (+310)
COMMANDERS WR JAHAN DOTSON OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS (-125)
COMMANDERS WR JAHAN DOTSON OVER 46.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
If you can't tell, I love everything about Dotson in this matchup on Sunday. My belief is that Terry McLaurin will be in a battle all day with Patrick Surtain all afternoon which will leave Dotson on an island to just eat. We know about his superb route running and great hands, those two things should help him light up this Broncos secondary. He caught 5 balls on 7 targets for 40 yards in Week 1 against the Cardinals. I see 6 catches for 62 yards and a score in this one.
BRONCOS WR COURTLAND SUTTON OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS (-130)
The strength of this Commanders defense is in the front, their line is one of the best in the game but their secondary has some deficiencies. I believe that Courtland Sutton will give them fits especially knowing they have to cover Jerry Jeudy as well. Sutton had 4 catches on 5 targets for 32 yards and a touchdown in their Week 1 loss to the Raiders.