Best Prop Bets Sunday week 18 2021

By Drew Phelps
Drew Phelps

Week 17 was very up and down. I went 11-14 on Sunday which puts me at 222-268. This article will be a little different because Week 18 is a little different. I'll just be listing my favorite bets but not necessarily one for every game.

If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.
 

Dare Ogunbowale OVER 58.5 Rush + Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He has taken over as the primary running back for the Jaguars over the last couple weeks. While he isn't the best back in the league but he'll get plenty of opportunities this weekend. Dare has been over this yardage prop total in the last two games.

 

T.Y. Hilton OVER 16.5 Longest Reception -115 (1 Unit)

This is very likely Hilton's last game in a Colts uniform and you know he wants to go out with a bang. I think the team wants to send him out on a high note as well. He's been over this reception number in three straight games coming into this weekend. It's also the Jaguars, they suck!

 

New York Giants UNDER 14.5 Team Total Points -110 (1 Unit)

The Giants have been under this point total in six of their last seven games. Jake Fromm will start this game and if you haven't seen him play, you aren't missing much. Joe Judge has lost the locker room and will likely be out of a job come Monday morning.

 

Darnell Mooney OVER 53.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

When Andy Dalton starts for the Chicago Bears, you have to jump all over the receiving yards props for Mooney. These two have a great connection and I just hope that Fields keeps this going into 2022 and beyond. Mooney has been over this yardage total in three straight and five of his last seven games.

 

Brandin Cooks OVER 65.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I spoke about this one last week. Davis Mills has found something with Brandin Cooks. I mean he is by far their best offensive weapon and even the most average quarterback could take advantage of his talent. He has been easily over this number in three straight games and this Titans pass defense is shaky at best. While the Texans have nothing to play for but pride, he should find his way to covering this number.

 

Chris Boswell OVER 1.5 Field Goals Made -105 (1 Unit)

Boswell has hit eight field goals over the course of his last three games. The Steelers offense has been inconsistent to put it mildly but they can move the ball between the 20s. The Ravens only allow their opponents to score a touchdown 55% of the time in the red zone, that's lots of opportunities for Boswell.

 

Kyle Pitts OVER 61.5 Receiving Yards +105 (1 Unit)

The Falcons have nothing to play for except getting their rookie Top 5 pick into the record books. Pitts is just 59 yards shy of breaking Mike Ditka's rookie receiving record for a tight end. You know Atlanta is going to do everything they can to get him this record.

 

(DK PROMOTION) Stefon Diggs OVER 5.5 Receptions -150 (1 Unit)

I know the odds on this aren't great but it is an absolute lock. Diggs needs six catches to hit a huge incentive bonus in his contract. The Bills officially lock up the AFC East with a win over the Jets but you know they'll help their number one weapon reach his bonus.

 

Gabriel Davis OVER 38.5 Receptions -115 (1 Unit)

When Emmanuel Sanders is out of the lineup for the Bills, this is a lock button bet every time. When Sanders sits, Davis gets the start opposite Diggs which is a favorable spot for any wide receiver to be in. He's been over this receiving total in four of his last five games. It's just too low.

 

(DK PROMOTION) Cooper Kupp OVER 11.5 Receptions +380 (1 Unit)

(DK PROMOTION) Cooper Kupp OVER 135.5 Receiving Yards +190 (1 Unit)

We've got another record breaking situation in this ball game. Kupp has a chance to break both Michael Thomas' single season receptions record and Calvin Johnson's single season receiving yards record on Sunday. You know the Rams are going to do everything in their power to get him one or both of those records. You have to love the plus odds on both of these bets.

 

Elijah Mitchell OVER 72.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

When this man is healthy, this is about as close to a lock as you can get. The 49ers are built to run the ball and he's a perfect fit in this system. Mitchell has been over this number in two of his last three and five of his last seven games. He also did it against this same Rams team about two months ago.

 

Mike Evans OVER 69.5 Receptions -115 (1 Unit)

(DK PROMOTION) Rob Gronkowski OVER 84.5 Receiving Yards +130 (1 Unit)

The Buccaneers are down to two major offensive weapons between injuries and nut jobs. Besides being Brady's only two major weapons left, Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski both have incentives to hit in this game and I think they both get there. Brady is good to his guys like that and he literally has no one left to throw the ball too. Look for the Bucs to take out some frustrations on the Panthers in Week 18.

 

Jaylen Waddle OVER 56.5 Receiving Yards -110 (1 Unit)

This kid is having one hell of a rookie season and is on track to break some records of his own. While Bill Belichick usually shuts down his opponent's best weapon, I could easily see him picking this up in garbage time at the end of the game. Before last week, Waddle had been way clear of this number in three straight games. The Patriots need to win and the Bills to lose to win the AFC East.

 

Josh Jacobs OVER 59.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

The Chargers are the worst team in the league when it comes to stopping the run. The Raiders have gotten on this three game win streak in large part due to pounding the run game with Josh Jacobs. He's had 58 carries over the last three games and has covered this yardage total in the last two. Get in on this best as soon as possible as the number continues to rise.