DIEHARDS SUNDAY PROP BETS week 16 2022

SINGLE PROP SEASON RECORD: 265-270
SGP SPECIAL SEASON RECORD: 5-15
 

PACKERS @ DOLPHINS (1:00p ET)

OLPHINS RB JEFF WILSON OVER 29.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115)

The Dolphins have leaned on Raheem Mostert over the last few weeks while Jeff Wilson was dealing with a nagging injury. It looks like Wilson is good to go for this one and the weather looks to be good in Miami. While I believe Mostert will get the bulk of the carries, Wilson will get his touches and this number is not tough to reach against this Packers defense. They allow 119 yards per game on the ground to the running back which is fifth most in the league.

PACKERS RB A.J. DILLON OVER 11.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

This number is just too low for Dillon. I love this bet way too much. Dillon has been over this receiving number in three straight games catching three balls in each of those contests. The Dolphins allow 45 receiving yards per game to the running back position which is fifth most in the league.

DOLPHINS TE MIKE GESICKI UNDER 14.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

I'm going to keep riding this prop until it fails. Tua just does not look at Gesicki at all. He hasn't had more than three targets in his last six games. He has only been over this receiving total in one of his last six games. When you are competing for targets with weapons like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, it's no wonder he's getting lost in the shuffle.

BRONCOS @ RAMS (4:30p ET)

RAMS RB CAM AKERS OVER 53.5 RUSHING YARDS (-120)

Akers has been getting the lion share of the workload for the Rams. I don't know if that means he'll be the guy next season or they are showcasing him for a trade in the off-season. Cam has been over this prop number in two of his last three games. The Broncos are solid against the run but they can be had, allowing 97 yards per game on the ground. This is a workload play knowing that they will lean on the run to move the ball.

BUCCANEERS @ CARDINALS (8:20p ET)

BUCCANEERS QB TOM BRADY OVER 26.5 PASS COMPLETIONS (-115)

I wish the pass attempts prop was available but I'll take this one. He has been putting the team on his back and throwing them into and out of games. Tom has been over this prop number in five of their last six games. The way to attack the Cardinals is through the air and that's what Tom will be doing early and often.

CARDINALS RB JAMES CONNER OVER 19.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

While the Buccaneers are the best team in the league when it comes to stopping a receiving running back, this is about workload. James Conner has averaged 22.6 touches per game over the last three. Over those three games, he's been over this receiving prop number in all of them.