Best Prop Bets SUNDAY week 21 Divisional 2021

By Drew Phelps
Drew Phelps

It's Championship Sunday!

If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.



Patrick Mahomes OVER 29.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Patrick Mahomes OVER 14.5 Longest Rush -120 (1 Unit)

Mahomes is a running machine in the playoffs. He's covered his rushing prop in four straight games going back to the regular season. He has also cleared this longest rush prop in four straight games as well. He is what we would call an opportunistic runner. Patrick always seems to pick the first times to take off and run with the ball. When he's flushed and has nowhere to go with the ball, there's no hesitation from him to take off.



Clyde Edwards-Helaire OVER 37.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I think this prop is getting way overlooked. When he is healthy, he gets the lion's share of the workload. Just working himself back into the mix last week on seven carries, he hit 60 yards rushing. This number is just entirely too low for the number one back in this offense even with a limited workload.




Tyreek Hill Most Receiving Yards in this Game +380 (1 Unit)

All those yards being tossed by Mahomes and Burrow, someone has to catch the ball. I feel like this is going to be a Hill game. They use him all over the field and get him into space wherever they can. I know he didn't do much in their first matchup a few weeks ago but this is a different game and they are playing in Arrowhead. I think everyone will be on Ja'Marr Chase after his blow up in their first game but I've got my eyes on the cheetah.




CONFERENCE SPECIALS: Mahomes & Burrow Combined 600+ Passing Yards +140 (1 Unit)

I fully expect this game to be a shootout which means these two will throw all over the field. Mahomes has been way over 300 in both of his playoff games thus far and Burrow nearly hit 350 in last week's game against the Titans. In their matchup a few weeks ago these two easily cleared the 600 passing yards mark together and I don't know how they don't do it again in the AFC Championship. Both guys will be putting it all on the line.





Elijah Mitchell OVER 68.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Elijah Mitchell OVER 17.5 Rush Attempts -120 (1 Unit)

I know Elijah burned me big time last week but I just don't see it happening two straight weeks especially not in this matchup. He rushed the ball 21 for 85 yards and 27 for 91 yards in those two matchups with Los Angeles. Jimmy G will lean on the run to help carry this team to the Super Bowl. This team will go as far as Mitchell and Deebo will take them.



Cam Akers UNDER 62.5 Rushing Yards -120 (1 Unit)

Cam Akers UNDER 17.5 Rush Attempts -125 (1 Unit)

The 49ers defense has been fantastic over the last month. They have done a great job keeping their offensive in the game. San Francisco is only allowing 70 yards per game on the ground over their last three. Cam Akers showed rust last week against the Buccaneers. I know Tampa's defense is tough against the run but he couldn't get it done. Akers also could not hold onto the ball as well. I don't see the Rams giving him the ball over 20 times in this game like last week, you will see more of Sony Michel.



Matt Gay OVER 2.5 Point Afters Made +100 (1 Unit)

I think the Rams will score three touchdowns in this game which means we'll see Matt Gay attempt three extra points. My final score prediction in this game is 27-21 Rams, I know it's not the trendy pick but I think the Rams win this game. He hit three in their last matchup at the end of the regular season.