Diehards Monday Slate Prop Bets Week 16 2023

DIEHARDS - WEEK 16 - MONDAY SLATE

Drew Phelps, FootballDiehards.com (@DrewPhelps05)
All Props Based off DraftKings Odds

SINGLE PROP 2023 REGULAR SEASON RECORD:

WEEK 16: 8-11
OVERALL: 209-221

RAIDERS @ CHIEFS (1pm ET)

CHIEFS TE TRAVIS KELCE OVER 66.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-120)
This is a narrative play if I’ve ever seen one. Typically this would be a no brainer but not of late for the former All-Pro. Before last week against the Patriots, Travis had been easily over this number in 3 straight games. One of those 3 games was against this same Las Vegas Raiders team where he posted 91 yards on 6 catches. Kelce has owned the Raiders in his career averaging 72 yards and 11 touchdowns in 19 career games. The All-American princess herself Taylor Swift is expected to be in attendance on Christmas Day. I think there is no doubt that he scores a touchdown on the holiday in front of the whole world with his girlfriend on hand.

RAIDERS WR DAVANTE ADAMS OVER 64.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
I’m going with the big names but that’s who I trust in this one. He has had 10 and 12 targets over the last two games and has easily gone over this receiving total in each of those games. Adams has been over this receiving total in 4 of his last 5 games. One of those 4 was against this Chiefs team where he had 5 catches for 73 yards in their first matchup. We all know how talented Davante is, it’s a matter of whether O’Connell can get him the ball enough.

GIANTS @ EAGLES (4:30pm ET)

EAGLES RB D’ANDRE SWIFT UNDER 12.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-110)
Philadelphia has not used him in the passing game at all over the last month. In the Eagles last 4 games, he has caught the ball a total of 5 times for a total of just 12 yards. Do you think he can top his 4 week total in 1 game? I’m going to bet not.

GIANTS QB TOMMY DEVITO OVER 26.5 RUSHING YARDS (-110)
The Eagles are middle of the pack when it comes to stopping the quarterback from running the ball. I looked over the quarterbacks they played this season and they did not face many QBs who run the ball on a consistent basis. The few they did face, they had good success like Josh Allen had 9 for 81, Patrick Mahomes had 6 for 38, and even Sam Howell had 6 for 40. DeVito is not much of a passer, he really isn’t but he moves the chains by running the ball when needed.

GIANTS WR DARIUS SLAYTON OVER 27.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-125)
Philadelphia’s secondary has been terrible and on top of that they are missing big pieces. The Eagles have allowed the 3rd most receiving yards per game to the wide receiver position. While Slayton is no game breaker, this is a very reasonable number against this defense. He had 4 for 63 against the Saints last week with DeVito running the show. Darius has gone over this number in 3 of his last 4 games against the Eagles.

RAVENS @ 49ERS (8:15pm ET)

RAVENS TE ISAIAH LIKELY OVER 38.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-125)
It’s hard not to love what Likely is doing as the replacement for Mark Andrews in this offense. He has had 5 for 83 and a touchdown and 5 for 70 and a touchdown in the Ravens last 2 games. I’m not guaranteeing those type numbers again but 40 is a very reasonable number. The 49ers have allowed 46 yards per game to the tight end position.

49ERS QB BROCK PURDY UNDER 1.5 PASSING TOUCHDOWNS (+124)
This will be the toughest defense he’s faced in quite a while. He has tossed 2 or more touchdowns in 5 of their last 6 games but when you look at their opponents, he has not been really challenged. This Ravens defense can get after the quarterback and give him fits. I think he throws 1 in this game but does not get to 2. Baltimore allows just 0.2 touchdown passes per game on the season. Only 3 quarterbacks have thrown more than 1 touchdowns in a games against the Ravens this season.