Diehards Sunday Prop Bets Week 7 2023

DIEHARDS - WEEK 7 - SUNDAY SLATE

Drew Phelps, FootballDiehards.com (@DrewPhelps05)
All Props Based off DraftKings Odds

SINGLE PROP 2023 REGULAR SEASON RECORD:

WEEK 7: 3-1
OVERALL: 91-108

LIONS @ RAVENS (1:00p)

RAVENS RB GUS EDWARDS UNDER 46.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115)
I do not love a lot in this game but the Lions defense can really stop the run. They are only allowing 47.1 rushing yards per game which is 2nd best in the league. No running back has gone over 50 yards rushing them this season. He’s averaging under 4 yards a carry on the season.

RAVENS K JUSTIN TUCKER OVER 1.5 FIELD GOALS (+105)
Tucker kicked 6 field goals in the Ravens Week 6 win over the Titans. It was only the second time that Tucker has had more than 2 field goals in a game this season. The Lions defense has been solid this season and I see the Ravens settling for field goals more than a couple times.

BILLS @ PATRIOTS (1:00p)

PATRIOTS QB MAC JONES UNDER 0.5 PASSING TOUCHDOWNS (+150)
Mac has not thrown a touchdown pass since Week 3 against the Jets. The offense is completely broken in New England but I can’t see how it gets any worse. The Bills defense has allowed 4 total passing touchdowns over their 6 games this season. I love the odds for something that’s very likely to happen.

COMMANDERS @ GIANTS (1:00p)

COMMANDERS WR CURTIS SAMUEL OVER 34.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
I’m not sure what’s happened to Jahan Dotson but Curtis Samuel has been a second favorite target for Sam Howell after Terry McLaurin. They now have the same amount of targets on the season. Curtis has passed this receiving prop number easily in 5 of the 6 games this season.

GIANTS WR WAN’DALE ROBINSON OVER 36.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
Tyrod Taylor will start for the Giants for the 2nd week in a row on Sunday. When you look at what he did in his start last week, he had a lot of love for Robinson. He led the team in targets and receptions with 8 and easily passed this prop. The Commanders struggle in their secondary having allowed the 2nd most receiving yards on the season.

RAIDERS @ BEARS (1:00p)

RAIDERS WR JAKOBI MEYERS OVER 50.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
It’s hard to ignore what this guy has been doing this season. He has been over this receiving total in 4 of his 5 games played this season. I would have done the receptions too but right now it’s -195, so the bet ain’t worth it. If it jumps to 4.5, you should take that too. Chicago has been middle of the pack this season against the wide receiver position. He knows this offense and he’ll have Brian Hoyer throwing him the ball who he worked with in New England.

FALCONS @ BUCCANEERS (1:00p)

FALCONS QB DESMOND RIDDER OVER 211.5 PASSING YARDS (+110)
FALCONS WR DRAKE LONDON OVER 47.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
The Buccaneers have allowed a 100+ yard wide receiver in 4 of their 5 games. They are 7th worst per game against the wide receiver position in the league. Desmond Ridder has thrown for over 300 yards in back to back games because he finally realized he has good weapons to pass the ball too. Tampa Bay has allowed 3 of the 5 quarterbacks they’ve faced to throw for 250+ yards.

BROWNS @ COLTS (1:00p)

COLTS UNDER 18.5 TEAM TOTAL POINTS (-112)
The Indianapolis Colts will be once again manned by Gardner Minshew. He is not a good quarterback. The Cleveland Browns have probably the best overall defense in the NFL and have shut down some of the best teams in the league. The 49ers offense looked like an unstoppable force this season until they got to Cleveland.

CARDINALS @ SEAHAWKS (4:05p)

CARDINALS WR MICHAEL WILSON OVER 30.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-120)
The young rookie wide receiver has been coming into his own of late. I’d say he’s making the most of his opportunities. Wilson has been over this prop in 4 of his last 5 games. The Seahawks allow the 3rd most receiving yards in the league over 205 per game.

SEAHAWKS WR DK METCALF OVER 55.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
We have yet to see the big breakout game from Metcalf this season. Metcalf has only one 100+ yard receiving game. He has been over this prop in 3 of his last 4 games. The Cardinals allow the 5th most receiving yards in the league. As long as he doesn’t leave the game at some point with an injury like he does every week it seems, we should be good here.

STEELERS @ RAMS (4:05p)

STEELERS RB JAYLEN WARREN OVER 20.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-120)
The Steelers don’t even use Najee Harris as a pass catcher anymore, he has caught 1 ball on average per game. Warren is used as the pass catching back, he has caught at least 3 balls in every game they’ve played. He has been over this receiving prop in every game after Week 1.

RAMS WR COOPER KUPP OVER 90.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-130)
RAMS WR COOPER KUPP OVER 26.5 LONGEST RECEPTION (-110)
We should not be surprised that Kupp picked up right where he left off with Matt Stafford. The man is fantastic at what he does and he gets a great matchup against a Steelers secondary that allows the 4th most receiving yards per game in the league. Kupp has been easily over both of these numbers in each of his first two games since returning from injury.

CHARGERS @ CHIEFS (4:25p)

CHARGERS WR JOSH PALMER OVER 47.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
Los Angeles has to be happy with what they’ve gotten from Palmer since big Mike Williams went down. The Chiefs defense will key on Keenan Allen because he does great things when he’s healthy. Palmer has had at least 60 receiving yards in their last 3 games. I love this number for him.

CHIEFS TE TRAVIS KELCE OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS (-130)
CHIEFS TE TRAVIS KELCE OVER 74.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
We all know the talent of Mrs. Taylor Swift. The guy is everything to this offense, he’s had 7-6-10-9 catches in his last 4 games. The last two games have looked more like the old Travis, what we expect from him when he’s drafted in the 1st round of Fantasy Football drafts. Travis has owned the Chargers of late, putting up at least 90 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 head to head meetings. Kelce caught at least 7 balls in 3 of those games.

PACKERS @ BRONCOS (4:25p)

PACKERS RB AARON JONES ALTERNATE 100+ RUSHING + RECEIVING YARDS (+200)
It’s hard not to love everything about Aaron Jones in this game because he gets the juiciest matchup that a running back can have. The Broncos have been destroyed by the running back position this season allowing over 200 total yards to the position per game. Yes, Aaron is coming back from an injury but you know he had this one circled on his calendar.

BRONCOS WR COURTLAND SUTTON UNDER 48.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
When you watch him play, it seems like he’s quit on the team. He’s not finishing routes and that’s shown in his production over the last 3 weeks which has been under this prop number. He will likely be shadowed by Jaire Alexander who is one of the best in the league to do it. I don’t think he tops 50 yards in this game.