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DIEHARDS SATURDAY NIGHT PROP BETS week 19 Super Wildcard 2022
SINGLE PROP REGULAR SEASON RECORD: 294-289
SINGLE PROP POSTSEASON RECORD: 0-0
SEAHAWKS @ 49ERS (4:35p ET)
SEAHAWKS QB GENO SMITH OVER 20.5 PASS COMPLETIONS (-120)
The Seahawks will not be able to win this game by running the ball. The 49ers are the best run defense in the league allowing under 60 yards per game on the ground. Geno completed 24 and 31 passes in the two games against the 49ers this season. While the 49ers have a good pass defense, the only way the Seahawks have a chance in this game is to throw the ball.
49ERS TE GEORGE KITTLE OVER 44.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-120)
The Seahawks are the second worst team in the league at defending the tight end position. George Kittle only had the pleasure of playing against them one time this season but he made the most of it. He finished with four catches for 93 yards and two touchdowns. While his yardage totals have been disappointing the last two games, he has a great connection with Brock Purdy.
49ERS RB ELIJAH MITCHELL OVER 39.5 RUSHING YARDS (-125)
In the five games that Elijah Mitchell has carried the ball, he went over this prop in four of them. When he is healthy, the 49ers still use him consistently despite having Christian McCaffrey. Kyle Shanahan likes what Mitchell brings to this team especially being a one cut and go type back. The Seahawks allow 114 yards per game on the ground to the running back position.
49ERS WR BRANDON AIYUK OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS (-110)
I feel like I've seen a lot of Brock Purdy since he took over at quarterback. I noticed that he loves throwing these 8-10 yard slants over the middle to Aiyuk when he really needs a first down or a big completion. Brandon has been over this reception total in each of the last three games with Purdy at the helm. He went over this prop number one of the two games.
CHARGERS @ JAGUARS (8:15p ET)
JAGUARS RB TRAVIS ETIENNE OVER 76.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115)
We have talked at length about how bad the Chargers are at stopping the running back position. They finished second worst in the league allowing 127 yards per game on the ground. Travis has been over 80 yards rushing in three of his last four games played. He will be heavily used in this game against the Chargers. In their first matchup, James Robinson exploded for 100 yards on 17 carries.
JAGUARS TE EVAN ENGRAM OVER 41.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
I do not love the inconsistency from Engram over the last couple weeks of the regular season but he's been a great target for Trevor Lawrence. He has only been over this number in three of Jacksonville's last five games but the Chargers allow 51 yards per game to the tight end position.
CHARGERS TE GERALD EVERETT OVER 31.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
The Jaguars allow the fourth most receiving yards to the tight end position on a per game basis at 62 yards per game. Everett just missed this number in their first matchup back in late September. I feel like both of these teams are completely different than they were at that point of the season. Everett has only been over this number in one of his last four games but without Mike Williams in the lineup, he'll have to be more involved.