Best Prop Bets Sunday week 17 2021

By Drew Phelps
Drew Phelps

It was a fantastic night on Monday between the Saints and Dolphins. I went 5-1 thanks in large part to Ian Book sucking big time. That brings my season long total to 211-254.

If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.


Dallas Goedert OVER 49.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Dallas Goedert OVER 4.5 Receptions +110 (1 Unit)

I love this prop so much. Goedert absolutely destroyed the Football team two weeks ago. He had 135 yards on seven catches. Washington is beat up at the linebacker spot and has no one to keep up with the physical tight end. He's own the middle of the field in this ball game.




Zach Wilson UNDER 202.5 Passing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Zach has been under this passing total in six of his last seven games. The Jets just don't have the weapons on the outside to help him open up the field. Tampa's secondary is finally getting healthy and have dropped their yards per game through the air nearly 30 yards per game over their last three.



Antonio Brown OVER 69.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

While Mike Evans is back for this game, I still believe he'll be the go to guy for Brady. Chris Godwin is gone and he needs that reliable weapon to go to in big situations. He had 10 catches for 101 yards in his first game back from suspension. If anything, Mike Evans will help open things up for Brown more in this game against the hapless Jets.





Jaylen Waddle OVER 70.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Jaylen Waddle OVER 6.5 Receptions +100 (1 Unit)

Tua only has eyes for Jaylen, his former Alabama teammate. The last three games have been massive for the rookie wide receiver. He has had 8 or more catches in five of his last six games. He has been over this receiving total in four of his last six games. The Titans are tough against the run but very forgiving against the pass, they should hit easily.




There are no player props available for this game as of Saturday night when I was writing this article.





There are no player props available for this game as of Saturday night when I was writing this article.





Patrick Mahomes OVER 38.5 Longest Completion -110 (1 Unit)

The Chiefs are on an eight game win streak and a big part of that has been the resurgence of Mahomes. He's covered this number in three straight and the three games before that, he's been right on this number. I'd say this bet has the biggest risk of my props this week but I really like it, call it a gut instinct.



Tee Higgins OVER 73.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He's been the man in that Bengals talented wide receiver core over the last eight games. Higgins has taken it to another level over the last five going over 100 yards in four of those contests. Defenses have been protecting against the deep ball to Ja'Marr Chase and that's left the middle of the field open for Tee.





There are no player props available for this game as of Saturday night when I was writing this article.





Josh Allen OVER 32.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

If you take away the one game where he was nursing his foot injury two weeks ago, he's covered this rush prop in four straight. He's had 12 rush attempts in two of his last three games. Whenever the Falcons play a quarterback that is capable of running, they've given up this rushing total. Eagles, Giants, Football Team, Panthers twice (both Newton & Darnold) and Jaguars all did it against the Falcons.



Kyle Pitts OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

This number is just too low for a player of his caliber. Anytime this number is under 50 on Pitts, I'm going to jump on it. He's been over this number in four straight games including 100+ yards in his last game against the Lions. The only decent tight end the Bills have faced in the last five weeks has been Gronk and he had 73 yards.





DK WEEKLY SPECIAL: Cooper Kupp & Mark Andrews OVER 14.5 Combined Receptions +115 (1 Unit)

Why wouldn't you like this special? Cooper has had four straight games of eight catches or more and Andrews has had eight or more in three straight games. They are both the primary weapon in their offenses, I love getting plus odds on this bet. I think Cooper catches nine and Andrews catches six in this ball game which gets us to 15.




Houston Texans OVER 15.5 Team Total Points -115 (1 Unit)

Don't look now but the Texans have something cooking. Houston has scored 28 points per game over their last three. Davis Mills has found his groove and I personally think has earned a chance to compete for the starting spot in 2022. The 49ers are allowing 22 points per game for the season.



Brandin Cooks OVER 65.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Brandin Cooks OVER 5.5 Receptions +110 (1 Unit)

Davis Mills realized that he's got a real weapon in Brandin Cooks on the outside. Cooks has had 10 or more targets for over 100 receiving yards in each of his last two games. The 49ers are allowing nearly 240 yards per game over their last three. You gotta respect the chemistry that's building between these two.




Justin Herbert OVER 0.5 Interceptions -105 (1 Unit)

Justin Herbert is tied for the league lead in interceptions with 14 on the year. He has thrown interceptions in seven of his last nine games. The Broncos have a terrific young secondary and picked off Herbert twice in their first matchup this season.



Mike Williams UNDER 55.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Mike has been under this receiving total in two of his last four games. He was under in his last game against Denver with just 39 receiving yards. The other reason I really like this bet is because he's coming off of a bout with COVID-19 and is unvaxxed. Just ask Tyler Lockett and Tyreek Hill how it felt their first games back from their COVID battles.





Taysom Hill OVER 48.5 Rushing Yards -110 (1 Unit)

As long as Hill's rushing total is under 50 yards, I'm going to jump on the bet. Carolina has allowed 135 yards per game on the ground over their last three games. The Saints rely on the ground game when Hill is under center to keep the offense moving. Taysom had 16 yards on just two carries in their first matchup all the way back in Week 2.



Carolina Panthers UNDER 15.5 Team Total Points -110 (1 Unit)

The Panthers have been awful on offense and I know that's in large part to Cam Newton. He will not start this game but should we be worried about Sam Darnold? They are averaging just over 13 points per game over their last three games. They get a Saints defense that shut out Tom Brady just two weeks ago. Darnold throws at least two interceptions in this game.





D'Andre Swift OVER 24.5 Receiving Yards -120 (1 Unit)

I really don't care who is at quarterback for this team because Swift is their best offensive weapon. This will be his first game back since Thanksgiving, you know the Lions are itching to utilize him to the fullest. The Seahawks run defense has been tough but their Achilles heel is against pass catching running backs. I looked back and in every game this season, the Seahawks have allowed the running back position to get 25 yards or more through the air.

Detroit Lions +7.5 (1 Unit)
I know it's Tim Boyle starting but this Lions team fights under Dan Campbell. The Seahawks lost at home to the Bears last week with Nick Foles at quarterback. They have either won or stayed within 7 points in five of their last six games.




Arizona Cardinals UNDER 22.5 Team Total Points -110 (1 Unit)

Dallas Cowboys -9.5 +140 (1 Unit)

The Cowboys are going to own this Cardinals team. I know you may be thinking I'm reading too much into last Sunday night's beat down of the Football team but I'm not. The Cardinals are going on the road on a three game losing streak where they scored over 22 points just once and it was only 23. The Cowboys defense is healthy and peaking at just the right time. Kyler is going to be running for his life and he doesn't have his best wide receiver.



Dalton Schultz OVER 45.5 Receiving Yards -120 (1 Unit)

Dak trusts Dalton in the biggest situations especially on third down. He's had eight catches in each of the last two games for 67 yards or more in both. The Cowboys could get up big again but he'll stay on the field unlike some of the other receiving options.




Michael Gallup OVER 19.5 Longest Reception -115 (1 Unit)

He has caught a pass of 19 yards or more in four of his last five games. Dak looks for him on the wheel route down the sidelines at least once a game. Cardinals have been trending down against the pass over their last three allowing 233 yards per game which is 20+ yards more than their season long average.





Justin Jefferson UNDER 74.5 Receiving Yards -125 (1 Unit)

He has been ripping up the league over the last seven weeks but that all stops against the Packers on Sunday night. Kirk Cousins caught COVID and Sean Mannion gets the start. While he has been a long time backup with some experience, no way he gets Jefferson to 75 receiving yards especially in the extremely cold conditions expected in Green Bay.