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DIEHARDS SATURDAY PROP BETS week 21 2022
SINGLE PROP REGULAR SEASON RECORD: 294-289
SINGLE PROP POSTSEASON RECORD: 21-21
49ERS @ EAGLES (3:00p)
EAGLES QB JALEN HURTS OVER 1.5 PASSING TDS (-115)
EAGLES QB JALEN HURTS UNDER 46.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115)
You don't beat the 49ers on the ground, you beat them through the air. That's why I don't think Hurts will be running the ball much in this game unless it's for his life. Nick Bosa will be breathing down his neck throughout this game. The 49ers allow less than 10 yards per game on the ground to the quarterback position. The 49ers are beatable deep and that's where I think the Eagles will exploit them. Hurts has thrown for two or more touchdown passes in eight of Philadelphia's last 11 games. Those weapons at wide receiver, it'll be hard for even the 49ers defense to stop them from getting into the end zone, not to mention Dallas Goedert.
EAGLES WR DEVONTA SMITH OVER 5.5 RECEPTIONS (+110)
I just spoke about how the Eagles will have to beat this 49ers defense, that's through the air. Devonta Smith has been the man in this Eagles passing attack the second half of the season. He has been over this prop number in four straight games and at least five catches in seven including last week against the Giants.
49ERS QB BROCK PURDY UNDER 8.5 RUSHING YARDS (+100)
I know this is a random one but I really like it. The Eagles pass rush is intense and they'll be all over the rookie. He has been under this prop in 10 of his 11 games played this season for San Francisco. Purdy has been known to be a runner especially in college but he's been staying within the pocket since taking over as starter in San Francisco.
BENGALS @ CHIEFS (6:30p)
BENGALS WR JA'MARR CHASE OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS (-145)
While I know he went under this number in the Bengals divisional win, I'm going back to the well. I've said it over and over again that Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase have something special and they'll continue to work together to win this game over the Chiefs. Chase has caught at least eight balls in four of the last six games. The Chiefs allow 13 catches per game to the wide receiver position. Chase caught seven balls in their first game against the Chiefs this season.
CHIEFS RB ISIAH PACHECO OVER 47.5 RUSHING YARDS (-125)
Everyone has fallen in love with Jerick McKinnon in this offense. He has been one of the most popular DFS plays throughout the playoffs and he keeps disappointing while Pacheco keeps producing. Pacheco has been over this rushing yards total in nine of his last 10 games played. He rushed the ball 14 times for 66 yards in the first matchup between these two teams. The Bengals are solid against the run only allowing 81 yards per game but this is such a reasonable number.
CHIEFS WR KADARIUS TONEY OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS (-105)
The Chiefs will need all hands on deck to help Mahomes get through this game. He will be hobbled no matter what anyone says about his status. Toney stepped up last week with five catches on seven targets in the Chiefs win over the Jaguars. The Bengals allow 149 yards per game to the wide receiver position on 10 receptions.
CHIEFS WR JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 48.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
JuJu has been non-existent in this offense for most of the second half. He has been under this number in four straight games including last week's win over the Jaguars. It doesn't help that Mahomes is hobbled coming into this game. He caught just three balls on four targets for 35 yards in the first matchup between these two teams. The linebackers on Cincinnati are very active and athletic, they should keep him under this number.
BENGALS WR TRENTON IRWIN OVER 8.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
I did this bet one other time and it didn't work out. It was the only game in the last 10 that he didn't cover this prop number. It just seems like he's always there for a big first down in a key moment of the game. He caught one ball for 12 yards in their first matchup earlier this season.