DIEHARDS SUNDAY PROP BETS week 9 2022

SINGLE PROP SEASON RECORD: 146-143
SGP SPECIAL SEASON RECORD: 3-12

BILLS @ JETS (1:00pm ET)

JETS QB ZACH WILSON OVER 33.5 PASS ATTEMPTS (+100)

The Jets will be behind in this ball game, obviously. New York will not be able to play their brand of grind it out football against this Bills team. Josh Allen is going to light this defense up. The Jets also don't have Breece Hall to carry the load which puts more on Wilson's shoulders. In his first game without Hall, he threw the ball 40 times, I see a similar game script.

BILLS WR GABE DAVIS OVER 23.5 LONGEST RECEPTION (-110)
The likely scenario is that Sauce Gardner will attempt to cover Stefon Diggs which will leave D.J. Reed on Gabe Davis. That is what we call a plus matchup and will give Gabe Davis plenty of opportunities to cover this prop. He's been over this number in three straight games. He's the big play option in this offense and does that job really well.

DOLPHINS @ BEARS (1:00pm ET)

SGP (+170)

BEARS QB JUSTIN FIELDS 45+ RUSHING YARDS

DOLPHINS RB RAHEEM MOSTERT 60+ RUSHING YARDS

I decided to put these two players into a single game parlay because both of their numbers had gotten inflated over the last few days. Both of these numbers are more than reasonable to hit. Justin has been over this rushing total in six straight games and Mostert has been over in four of his last five. Fields has to run to keep this offense moving and that's why the team has looked better over the last four weeks. Mostert doesn't have any real competition this week in the backfield ask Jeff Wilson just joined the squad on Tuesday. Chicago is also terrible against the run allowing the third most rushing yards to the running back position.

BEARS RB KHALIL HERBERT OVER 38.5 RUSHING YARDS (-130)

While David Montgomery is still the lead back in this offense, it's Khalil that has had the biggest impact this season. He has easily cleared this prop in five of the Bears last six games. He's averaged 80 yards per game over that same span. The Dolphins are solid against the run but 38 is such a small threshold that I think he can get there.

VIKINGS @ COMMANDERS (1:00pm ET)

VIKINGS QB KIRK COUSINS OVER 1.5 PASSING TOUCHDOWNS (-120)

VIKINGS QB KIRK COUSINS OVER 255.5 PASSING YARDS (-115)

VIKINGS WR JUSTIN JEFFERSON OVER 87.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

Revenge game at its finest. Kirk Cousins wants to come into FedEx Field and crush this team. This team treated him like a second class citizen for too many years. While the Commanders defense has looked better over the last three games during their winning streak, they have played three terrible offenses. Cousins and Justin Jefferson are going to have a field day against this secondary. Kendall Fuller could be the worst outside cornerback in the NFL. Cousins has had back to back games with two touchdown passes and over this passing prop in four of their seven games. Justin has been over this receiving prop in four straight games.

COMMANDERS RB ANTONIO GIBSON OVER 63.5 RUSH + RECEIVING YARDS (-110)

It's pretty simple, Gibson has looked better than Brian Robinson over the last few games. That has earned him more touches and he's made the most of them. Gibson has cleared this prop in back to back games against two solid defensive units in the Packers and Colts. I love that they have been using him more in the passing game. He caught seven balls in last week's win over the Colts.

PANTHERS @ BENGALS (1:00pm ET)

PANTHERS RB D'ONTA FOREMAN OVER 70.5 RUSHING YARDS (-120)

PANTHERS RB D'ONTA FOREMAN OVER 16.5 RUSH ATTEMPTS (-120)

Chuba Hubbard is out once again for the Panthers leaving the backfield completely to D'Onta Foreman. He made the most of his opportunity last week in Atlanta rushing the ball 26 times for 118 yards and three touchdowns. The Browns ran the ball down the Bengals throats for 172 total yards. P.J. Walker can't carry this team on his back, he will need to lean on the run game with Foreman leading the way.

PANTHERS WR TERRACE MARSHALL JR OVER 39.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-110)

D.J. Moore needed a running mate and they may have found one in second year wideout Terrace Marshall. P.J. Walker targeted him nine times in last week's loss to the Falcons. He caught four of those targets for 87 yards. Everyone is talking about the injuries on the Bengals offense but their defense is in scrambles especially the secondary. I expect to see D.J. Moore get most of the attention leaving Marshall to see single coverage.

PACKERS @ LIONS (1:00pm ET)

LIONS RB D'ANDRE SWIFT OVER 23.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

It looks like Swift will play in Week 9 but he may be on a pitch count to limit his exposure to injury. I feel like if he plays, he will hit this prop rather easily. He's been over this prop in three of his four games played. The Packers have not been good against the running back this season allowing the second most rushing yards to the position. I know this is a receiving prop but that's there Swift excels. He caught five balls in his first game back from injury.

PACKERS RB AARON JONES OVER 100.5 RUSH & RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

I know that Aaron Jones hit this prop for only the third time all season last week against the Bills but he's got a dream matchup against the Lions in Week 9. I am doing the total prop because he's such a versatile back, hard to know where he'll excel each week. The Lions allow 122 yards on the ground per game. Jones is basically the only player on the field that Rodgers trusts which puts him in an advantageous position.

CHARGERS @ FALCONS (1:00pm ET)

CHARGERS TE GERALD EVERETT OVER 48.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-120)

He will be a glorified wide receiver in Week 9 against the Falcons. Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are out of this game. Josh Palmer is the only other player you could truly expect to get targets in this game. He has had 16 targets over the last two games with 10 catches. The Falcons are third worst in the league against the tight end position allowing 69 yards per game. He should have no problem reaching this prop bet.

COLTS @ PATRIOTS (1:00pm ET)

COLTS RB DEON JACKSON OVER 83.5 RUSH + RECEIVING YARDS (+100)

The Patriots are middle of the pack in most defensive categories. I know that doesn't inspire a lot of confidence in Jackson this weekend but he is going to be the only game in town. The reason you like this prop is because of the opportunities which he'll have plenty of on Sunday. In the two games this season that he was the lead back, Jackson went over this prop easily in both. There is a reason that he'll be the most used player in DFS this weekend.

COLTS WR ALEC PIERCE OVER 30.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

Bill Belichick loves to take away the best offensive weapon in their opponent's arsenal. My opinion is that Michael Pittman will be that guy which should give Alec Pierce more freedom against single coverage. Pierce has cleared this prop in six straight games and that includes last week with Sam Ehlinger at the helm of the Colts offense.

RAIDERS @ JAGUARS (1:00pm ET)

RAIDERS QB DEREK CARR OVER 1.5 PASSING TOUCHDOWNS (-105)

Derek Carr looked absolutely awful in last week's loss to the Saints. I don't think anyone can understand why the Raiders offense looked so terrible. I won't believe that this offense will look that bad two weeks in a row. There were reports that Josh McDaniels had a closed door meeting with Mark Davis after that embarrassing loss. He has to show better against a Jaguars team in Week 9 or he could see an early exit from Las Vegas. The Jaguars over their last three games are allowing the third most passing yards.

RAIDERS WR DAVANTE ADAMS OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS (-105)

I'm sure part of that closed door meeting between Josh McDaniels and Mark Davis had something to do with Adams only catching one ball in Week 8 against the Saints. I have a feeling that Carr is going to force feed the ball to Adams and the Jaguars don't have anyone that can stop him. He went over this prop the week prior against the Texans. I just can't see a scenario where Adams doesn't go off in Week 9 against Jacksonville.

SEAHAWKS @ CARDINALS (4:05pm ET)

CARDINALS WR DEANDRE HOPKINS OVER 82.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115)

CARDINALS WR DEANDRE HOPKINS OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS (-135)

DeAndre Hopkins has been the entire offense since returning from his suspension. He has had 27 targets and 22 catches over his two games played. He had double digits targets, double digit receptions and triple digit receiving yards in both games. I feel like this is the only sure thing in this game. The only downside to him returning to the lineup is he's sucked away most value from other weapons in the Cardinals offense.

RAMS @ BUCCANEERS (4:25pm ET)

RAMS WR ALLEN ROBINSON OVER 43.5 RECEIVING YARDS (+100)

Believe it or not, the Rams figured out how to get the ball to Robinson over the last two games before the bye. I feel like they are going to continue that trend especially in a must win game like this against the Buccaneers. Tampa's defense will focus on Cooper Kupp as well they should which should leave things open for Allen Robinson. That's what people expected this season from the start, but it took longer than we thought.

BUCCANEERS WR CHRIS GODWIN OVER 65.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

I'm going back to the well with Godwin because he's the only reliable part of the Buccaneers offense. Tom Brady trusts him implicitly and it shows in his double digit targets every week. He's been over this number in two of his last three games. The Rams are middle of the pack when it comes to covering the wide receiver position at 149 yards per game.