Best Prop Bets Sunday week 5 2021

By Drew Phelps
Drew Phelps

That stinger in Darrell Henderson's arm really hurt my props. I can't make excuses, just gotta keep powering through. I went 1-2 on Thursday night which brings my season total to 45-59. Yep, that's struggling but no way to go but up from here.

If you've got questions heading into the one o'clock games, please tweet me @Drew_Phelps83.
 

EAGLES @ PANTHERS

Kenneth Gainwell OVER 24.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He has increased his targets, receptions and receiving yards in each of the last three games for the Eagles. They clearly like him as the pass catching back with Jalen Hurts and he's thriving in that role. I don't see them going away from something that they are doing more and more each week.

 

 

DJ Moore OVER 5.5 Receptions -135 (2 Unit)

This is one of the easiest winners on the boards. No one can stop the love affair between DJ Moore and Sam Darnold. Moore has caught 8 balls in each of the last three games. He's been over this total in every game this season. Darius Slay does not scare me away from this bet in the least.

 

 

 

PACKERS @ BENGALS

 

 

Ja'Marr Chase OVER 23.5 Longest Reception -120 (1 Unit)

He is the depth threat in this Bengals passing attack and has been everything they've wanted and more. He's been over this in every game this season. The lowest long catch for Chase was 34 against the Steelers. He's been way clear of this every single week. While the Packers secondary is solid, it doesn't scare me away from this bet.

 

 

Tyler Boyd OVER 5.5 Receptions +115 (1 Unit)

Boyd has been over this number in his last three games. In their Thursday night win over the Jaguars, Boyd blew up with 9 catches on 11 targets. Joe Burrow knows without a real reliable tight end, Boyd is as consistent as they come when it comes to the passing game. He's become his safety blanket over the middle.

 

 

 

PATRIOTS @ TEXANS

 

 

Kendrick Bourne OVER 2.5 Receptions -135 (1 Unit)

The only thing that scares me about this bet is that the Patriots could get out to a big lead and just grind it out with Damien Harris. Bourne has averaged 5.5 catches and 6.5 targets per game over New England's last two games. Mac Jones has found a second target he likes alongside Jakobi Meyers.

 

 

Davis Mills UNDER 0.5 TD Passes +175 (1 Unit)

I actually feel bad for Davis Mills playing with this terrible team. I was giving some credit to David Culley for trying to put a decent team together but once they lost Tyrod Taylor, it's been all downhill. He didn't even pass for 100 yards last week and threw 4 interceptions. I think the Patriots completely control this game from start to finish.

 

 

 

TITANS @ JAGUARS

 

 

Trevor Lawrence OVER 22.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

This has become a thing in the Jaguars offense. Trevor actually said he likes getting involved in the running game. He has carried the ball 6 and 8 times over the last two weeks for 27 and 36 yards. That trend will continue this week against the Titans. I'm looking for the rush attempts number because if it's five or below, I'm jumping all over that one too.

 

 

 

Derrick Henry OVER 23.5 Rush Attempts -115 (1 Unit)


If you take out that first game against the Cardinals, he's been way over this in each of his last three games. Two of those three games he's cleared 30 carries. He is everything in this offense right now. This is a no brainer bet, just lock it in now.

 

 

 

BRONCOS @ STEELERS

 

 

Ben Roethlisberger UNDER 252.5 Passing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

The Broncos Defense is legit and they'll do work against this terrible Steelers offense. They are painful to watch, especially knowing how Big Ben is declining rapidly. The secondary of the Broncos' may be the best young unit in the league and Ben can't throw it longer than 15 yards. Let's make money on the Steelers offense falling apart.

 

 

SAINTS @ FOOTBALL TEAM

 

 

Taysom Hill ANY TIME TD +250 (1 Unit)

Taysom Hill OVER 16.5 Rushing Yards -110 (1 Unit)

Taysom has become way more involved in the running game over the last two weeks of the season. He has six carries in each of the last two games for over this total of 16.5 and three touchdowns. We all know how much Sean Peyton loves Taysom and uses him in all sorts of different ways especially in the red zone.

 

 

Taylor Heinicke OVER 1.5 Passing TDs +105 (1 Unit)

Taylor has been over this in three straight games. He does take on a tougher secondary with Marshon Lattimore running around with Terry McLaurin but I still think he gets there. My guess is the Football team will be behind and he'll have to throw them back into it like he did last week against the Falcons.

 

 

 

LIONS @ VIKINGS

 

 

D'Andre Swift OVER 4.5 Receptions +105 (1 Unit)

I know I put this bet into my article last week and it failed but it failed on the number. They didn't go to him at all in the first half through the air and then tried to make up for it in the second half. I think they'll start sooner this week because he's so productive with the ball in space. I also just love those plus odds.

 

 

DOLPHINS @ BUCCANEERS

 

 

Mike Gesicki OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Mike Gesicki OVER 3.5 Receptions -135 (1 Unit)

Gesicki is officially a thing this season and especially with Jacoby Brissett under center. Over the last two games with Brissett throwing the ball, he's had 10 catches for 86 yards and 5 catches for 57 yards. I might even throw in an anytime touchdown bet on him as well. I might double unit both of these bets, especially with that banged up Buccaneers secondary.

 

 

BROWNS @ CHARGERS

 

 

Austin Ekeler OVER 39.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He crushed me on Monday Night Football with his receiving props but I think this week will be a different game plan. The Browns are top 3 in the league against the run and I think that'll force the Chargers to throw the ball more. Austin had been over this total in the two previous games before the Raiders.

 

 

BEARS @ RAIDERS

 

 

Henry Ruggs OVER 22.5 Longest Reception -115 (1 Unit)

Henry Ruggs OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

In the four games this season, he has been over this longest reception in all four and he's been over this receiving yards in all but the first game of the season where he had 46. He's a big play guy and that's how they use him. It is amazing that it took them a whole season to figure out the proper way to use this guy's skill set. He has far exceeded my expectations heading into this season and we should start riding the wave.

 

 

GIANTS @ COWBOYS

 

 

Tony Pollard OVER 38.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I don't know if you've noticed but we have almost a full time split in the Dallas backfield. Pollard is averaging over 10 carries for over 60 yards per game over the last three. While you think that would hurt Ezekiel Elliott's production, if you ignore week 1, he's been fantastic for fantasy owners as well. Dallas loves to run the ball and it's taken the burden off Dak Prescott's arm.

 

 

Dak Prescott UNDER 36.5 Pass Attempts -115 (2 Unit)

After Week 1 when Dak Prescott threw 58 times in a loss to the Buccaneers, he hasn't even sniffed 30. He's gone 27-26-22 over the last three games. The run game is carrying this team and he's stepping up when needed. I love this bet and you should lock it in for two units.

 

 

 

Daniel Jones OVER 24.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He has cleared this number in all four games this season. He has rushed the ball 27 times this season which is nearly 7 times per game. They like to run the RPO with him and he seems to get into it as well. This part of the Giants offense is not going away, so why not profit off of it.

 

 

 

49ERS @ CARDINALS

 

 

Trey Lance OVER 0.5 Interceptions +110 (1 Unit)

This just seems inevitable after what we saw last week from Lance. The Cardinals defense made the Rams look mediocre in Week 4. They will get pressure on Lance and he will make mistakes. I love that it's plus odds.

 

 

BILLS @ CHIEFS

 

 

Zack Moss OVER 38.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He has been nearly double this rushing total in each of the last two games. As long as he continues to get double digit carries, I don't see why he won't reach this number. The Chiefs are not exactly world beaters on the defense side of the ball.