Best Prop Bets Sunday week 4 2021

That Thursday night game between the Jaguars and Bengals was quite profitable going 4-2 on the night. That brings my season total to 34-39. I have a feeling that I'm going to get above .500 after this weekend. I love this week's slate.
If you've got questions heading into the one o'clock games, please tweet me @Drew_Phelps83.
 

FOOTBALL TEAM @ FALCONS

Cordarrelle Patterson OVER 59.5 Total Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Patterson has been used all over the field for the Falcons. He has been comfortably over this number in all three games this season. The Football team's defense has been torched this season.

TEXANS @ BILLS

Davis Mills UNDER 33.5 Longest Completion -120 (1 Unit)

This game is going to be a bloodbath. I actually do respect the job that David Culley has done with this team through all the drama. This number has been dropping but Mills is a dink and dunker and I feel that this number is still too high.

LIONS @ BEARS

D'Andre Swift OVER 4.5 Receptions +105 (1 Unit)

He is averaging nearly 8 targets and 6 catches per game on the season. Kareem Hunt caught 6 balls for 74 yards against this Bears defense last week. Despite Jamaal Williams still getting his workload, Swift is an every week starter in Fantasy Football.

PANTHERS @ COWBOYS

Dak Prescott UNDER 36.5 Pass Attempts -125 (1 Unit)

Prescott came out firing in Week 1 against the Buccaneers throwing the ball 58 times. Since that game, the last two weeks he hasn't gotten to 30 attempts. The run game has been effective which has put less pressure on Dak's arm.

COLTS @ DOLPHINS

Jacoby Brissett OVER 16.5 Rushing Yards -120 (1 Unit)

Brissett ran the ball 7 times for 37 yards in Week 3 against the Raiders. We have seen that he is not afraid to call his own number. I was actually really close to putting this down as a 2 Unit bet but I've held back.

Jaylen Waddle OVER 3.5 Receptions -190 (2 Units)

Jaylen's targets have gone up each week from 5 to 8 to 13 last week. He caught 12 of those 13 targets against the Raiders. He has caught more than 3 in every game this season. I'm actually hoping DK bumps this up to 4.5 and lowers down the juice.

BROWNS @ VIKINGS

Kirk Cousins OVER 24.5 Pass Completions -120 (1 Unit)

Don't look now but Kirk Cousins is having a fantastic season. He's completing over 70% of his passes with 8 TDs to 0 INT ratio through three games. He's attempting NEARLY 40 passes per game, 25 seems like a low bar for him to reach.

Odell Beckham Jr OVER 4.5 Receptions -130 (1 Unit)

As long as OBJ is healthy, this is as close to a lock as you can get. Baker is always looking his way when he's on the field. In his first week back, he had 5 catches on 9 targets. Jump all over this one!

GIANTS @ SAINTS

Daniel Jones OVER 26.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

As long as this number stays under 30, I'm going to bet on this every week. He has been over this number in every game this season and his carry total continues to stay consistent.

TITANS @ JETS

Derrick Henry OVER 26.5 Rush Attempts -120 (1 Unit)

Derrick Henry OVER 2.5 Receptions -105 (1 Unit)

Derrick Henry will be the entire Titans offense on Sunday. The Titans will be without A.J. Brown and Julio Jones this weekend. Everything will run through the big man.

Michael Carter OVER 6.5 Receiving Yards -125 (1 Unit)

This number is just too damn low. He came in under this number last week but only because his first catch went for -5 yards and he was playing catch up. He basically catches two passes a game and I can't see him coming under 7 yards with two catches again.

CHIEFS @ EAGLES

Zach Ertz OVER 2.5 Receptions +105 (1 Unit)

Jalen Hurts loves to feed his tight ends. Ertz and Goedert combined for 6 catches for well over 100 yards against the Cowboys. Hurts will have to throw to keep the Eagles in this game.

Tyreek Hill OVER 25.5 Longest Reception -120 (1 Unit)

It's been two disappointing weeks in a row for Tyreek Hill but I can't see it being three against the Eagles secondary. Anytime this number is under 30, it's a good bet he'll smash the over.

CARDINALS @ RAMS

Kyler Murray UNDER 33.5 Rushing Yards -110 (1 Unit)

Would you believe me if I told you that Kyler has been under this number in all three games this season? It's true and he told us this off-season that for the Cardinals to succeed, he needed to run less and he's done just that. I do like him for an ANY TIME TD at +115 as well.

Maxx Williams OVER 2.5 Receptions +115 (1 Unit)

Who would've thought that Maxx Williams would be a viable Fantasy Football tight end but here we are! Williams has 10 targets over the last two games and has 10 catches. I did get a little seduced by the odds but Kyler is gaining trust in the veteran.

Chase Edmonds OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He's crossed 40 yards receiving in two of his three games this season. That pass rush of the Rams is legit and Kyler will be looking for those easy dump off passes a lot in this game. The targets have increased each game this season from 4 to 5 to 8.

SEAHAWKS @ 49ERS

Brandon Aiyuk OVER 3.5 Receptions -120 (1 Unit)

He didn't play week one, had two targets for one catch in week two but last week had six targets for four catches. He's earning his way back into Kyle Shanahan's good graces. Deebo is still the alpha in this offense but Aiyuk will be utilized more and more as the season progresses.

Tyler Lockett OVER 24.5 Longest Reception -110 (1 Unit)

Last week against the Vikings was the first game that Lockett did not cross this number. The 49ers' secondary is beat up and I fully expect Russell Wilson to throw all over the yard on Sunday.

RAVENS @ BRONCOS

Teddy Bridgewater OVER 21.5 Pass Completions -125 (2 Units)

I love this bet so much. He has been so good and accurate all season long. I only got screwed on this bet last week because the Jets weren't competitive and the Broncos just ran the ball to run out the clock. This will be a good tough defensive battle which will force him to throw the ball more. He's been over in two of their three games.

Ravens UNDER 22.5 Team Total Points -115 (1 Unit)

I truly believe and love this Broncos defense. They are nasty and are strong at all levels. I think this game finishes 17-13 Broncos.

STEELERS @ PACKERS

Najee Harris OVER 5.5 Receptions +125 (1 Unit)

No, he won't have 19 targets and 14 catches again this week but how about 10 targets for 7 catches? That's definitely doable for this rookie. The Steelers offensive line is bad and that's putting it lightly, they are having to throw the ball to Harris to give him a chance at positive yards.

BUCCANEERS @ PATRIOTS

Tom Brady OVER 2.5 Passing Touchdowns +115 (2 Units)

I don't care what anyone says, Brady is gonna go ape sh*t on his former team. I'd actually bet that he throws 6 TD passes, one for each of his Super Bowls with the Patriots. Seeing this man for so many years and how he uses motivation to destroy his opponents is something special. He's also coming off of a loss, that's another reason he's gonna come out and crush New England.