Best Prop Bets Sunday week 12 2021

I went 6-5 on Thanksgiving. The D'Andre Swift injury really cost me having a huge day but nothing I can do about that. That brings my grand total for the season to 141-184. It's time for the Week 12 Sunday slate.

If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.
 

STEELERS @ BENGALS

Najee Harris OVER 16.5 Rush Attempts -125 (1 Unit)

He did not reach 20 carries for the first time in five weeks against the Chargers on Monday Night. That only happened because the game became a shootout and Big Ben was forced to throw the ball to get them back in it. He had 14 in the first matchup but it was only his third professional game.

Joe Mixon OVER 72.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit) LOSS

I know he's only been over this total in two of his last five games but he went for 90 in their first matchup. The Steelers are allowing nearly 175 yards per game over their last three. They have shown a commitment to the run this season.

BUCCANEERS @ COLTS

Buccaneers UNDER 28.5 Team Total Points -125 (1 Unit)

The Bucs are a totally different team on the road compared to home. They score over 38 points per game at home and just 23 on the road, that's more than two full touchdowns. The Colts defense has stepped up recently and held the Bills to just 15 points last week.

Leonard Fournette OVER 4.5 Receptions (1 Unit)

Fournette is a featured part of this passing game especially over the last two. He's had 15 targets for 14 catches over the last two weeks. The Colts allow an average of four catches per game to the running back position.

PANTHERS @ DOLPHINS

Cam Newton ANYTIME Touchdown +130 (1 Unit)

Cam has scored a rushing touchdown in 14 of his last 17 regular season games. He may be the greatest weapon around the goal line to ever play the game of football. There is little you can do to stop him because of all the ways he can hurt you.

Christian McCaffrey OVER 5.5 Receptions -115 (1 Unit)
Christian McCaffrey OVER 52.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

The dude is back to 100 percent and the biggest threat in Fantasy Football once again. Since returning from injury, he's been targeted 23 times and caught 21 of them over that three game span. He's been over this receiving total in each of those three games as well. There is no reason for us to think that the Dolphins of all teams would be able to stop him.

TITANS @ PATRIOTS

Dontrell Hilliard OVER 22.5 Receiving Yards -110 (1 Unit)

The Patriots are going to dominate this game but I like this bet. He is the reason the Titans were willing to drop Adrian Peterson. In his first game last week, he had 10 targets and caught eight of them for 47 yards through the air. Tannehill has no wide receivers to throw to this week with both Julio and A.J. both out of this game.

Titans UNDER 17.5 Team Total Points -120 (1 Unit)

Bill Belichick is licking his chops for this matchup. He doesn't have to worry about Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, or Julio Jones in this game. Ryan Tannehill is their only real weapon and Bill knows him all too well from his days in Miami. This will be very similar to last week's 25-0 win over the Falcons last Thursday.

EAGLES @ GIANTS

Jalen Hurts OVER 51.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Jalen has been over this rushing total in five straight games. His rush attempts have increased in each of his last four games from 7 to 18 last week against the Saints. The Eagles are all in on the run game and Hurts is the key to the whole thing.

Miles Sanders OVER 65.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I know he has only cleared this rushing total one time since Week 1 and that was last week against the Saints. That's an impressive feat against a really good run defense. As I mentioned, the Eagles are committed to the run now and they ain't go back anytime soon. The Giants allow 119 yards per game on the ground.

FALCONS @ JAGUARS

Matt Ryan UNDER 253.5 Passing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Ryan has been well under this total in three of his last four games. Actually all three of those unders were below 200 yards. Jacksonville's defense may not look great on paper but they are improving. They have been a Top 5 defense against the pass over the last three games.

Dan Arnold OVER 36.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Arnold failed us big time last week putting up a big goose egg. I'm going back to the well one more time in this matchup. He had hit this over in three of his previous four games. The Falcons allow nearly 50 yards per game through the air to the tight end position.

JETS @ TEXANS

Tyrod Taylor OVER 21.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I love that the books still haven't bumped up his number from the low 20s. Tyrod has been over this number in three of his four games started this season. He isn't the runner he was a few years ago but when needed, he can still get the job done.

CHARGERS @ BRONCOS

Javonte Williams OVER 50.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He has only cleared 50 yards rushing twice in the last five games. I believe the tables are turning in favor of Javonte as the season progresses. The Chargers are the worst rushing defense in the league and Javonte breaks more tackles than any running back in the league.

Teddy Bridgewater UNDER 1.5 Passing TDs -110 (1 Unit)

Teddy does not have two or more touchdown passes in the last three games. While the Chargers rush defense struggles, their passing defense is one of the best in the league. I think the Broncos need to establish the run to have any shot in this game.

RAMS @ PACKERS

Matt Strafford OVER 0.5 Interceptions -110 (1 Unit)

Stafford has two interceptions in each of the last two games. The Packers are an above average pass defense allowing just over 200 yards per game through the air. Green Bay has 11 interceptions in 11 games this season.

Van Jefferson OVER 44.5 Receiving Yards -120 (1 Unit)

This is my guy going forward in Los Angeles. While everyone is looking at OBJ, this guy is the real replacement for Robert Woods in this offense. He's been over or around this number in four straight games, and three or more catches in five straight.

VIKINGS @ 49ERS

Jimmy Garoppolo OVER 1.5 Passing TDs -130 (1 Unit)

Jimmy G has been really good over the last few weeks managing this offense. He's had two touchdown passes in each of the last three games for the 49ers. The Vikings allows 265 passing yards per game and have allowed two or more passing TDs in three of their last four games.

BROWNS @ RAVENS

Nick Chubb OVER 80.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I don't care if Kareem Hunt is back because Nick Chubb has owned the Ravens in his career. This may be the easiest bet on the board as long as he stays healthy. He has been over 80 yards rushing in seven of the eight games he's played this season.