Best Prop Bets Sunday week 7 2021

Week 7 starts with a bang going 4-1 on Thursday Night Football. My total is now 76-81. The worm is turning on the season and I will finish above .500 on the season. Let's take a look at the full Sunday slate.

If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.
 

BENGALS @ RAVENS

Joe Mixon OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards -110 (1 Unit)

After a few games, Joe seems to be back to full strength again. He had 18 Carrie's and another five catches in the Bengals Week 6 victory over the Lions. While Detroit doesn't have the defense that the Ravens have, they've allowed running backs to easily clear this number in at least three straight games.

Tyler Boyd UNDER 40.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I really do love Tyler as a player but in this offense when both Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are active, he seems to be an afterthought. He's been under this in three of the last four games and the one he cleared, Higgins was not playing.

FOOTBALL TEAM @ PACKERS

Aaron Rodgers OVER 253.5 Passing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Davante Adams OVER 7.5 Receptions -135 (1 Unit)

Davante Adams OVER 95.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Aaron Jones OVER 23.5 Receiving Yards -120 (1 Unit)

These two are going to own the Washington Football team defense on Sunday. Did you see how many yards that Patrick Mahomes put up last weekend? Nearly 400 yards passing. The quarterback scores 27.03 fantasy points against this defense on average which is tops in the league. The wide receiver scores 46.27 fantasy points against this defense on average which is second worst in the league. Buy in on everything Packers.

FALCONS @ DOLPHINS

Cordarrelle Patterson OVER 39.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He has been everything for the Falcons offense this season. The receiving yards has cleared easily every week since Week 1. He's averaging close to six catches per game. This one may be my favorite of the week.

JETS @ PATRIOTS

Jamison Crowder OVER 4.5 Receptions +110 (1 Unit)

This is obviously not a favorite to happen but in the two games that Crowder has played he's accumulated 15 targets and 11 receptions. It's a good sign that a young quarterback goes to him that much this quickly. There is trust there and I'm going to take a shot.

PANTHERS @ GIANTS

Giants UNDER 20.5 Team Total Points -130 (1 Unit)

This will likely be a regular bet going forward for the Giants. They got shut down by the Rams last weekend and I don't see why another really good defense can't hold them down once again. The Panthers defense hasn't been as good as of late but this offense doesn't scare you.

Sam Darnold OVER 1.5 Passing TDs +110 (1 Unit)

I know what you are saying, he hasn't done this in three games. This is another gut feeling call against this beat up Giants defense. New York has allowed 14 TDs in 6 games which is more than two per game. I think he gets there.

EAGLES @ RAIDERS

Henry Ruggs III OVER 24.5 Longest Reception -115 (1 Unit)

It's a rinse and repeat for Henry Ruggs. I'm going to keep betting this as long as it keeps hitting. He has only been under this number one time and it was in Week 3 and had a 23 yard catch, just missed it. I'm just so proud of the Raiders for finally using him the way he should have been from the start. He's a home run hitter, take your swings!

Miles Sanders OVER 17.5 Receiving Yards -120 (1 Unit)

I don't understand some of his passing yard lines. He's got a game with 5 catches for 6 yards, that is nearly impossible. This is just such a low threshold and he's covered it in three of the six games this season. They seem to be making an effort to get him the ball more because Hurts just can't do it all himself. I will admit that this is more of a gut call, but I like it.

LIONS @ RAMS

Darrell Henderson OVER 20.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

The number is finally climbing on this one but I'm still all in. He's been over this number in three of his last four games and the one he didn't, it was 17, darn close. He has taken over the lead back role in that offense and hasn't let go. The Lions are also second worst in the league against the running back position at 31.8 fantasy points per game. He is going to have a big game against Detroit.

Jared Goff OVER 1.5 Passing TDs -105 (1 Unit)

All the narratives are aligning with this one. He gets to face his old team and old coach in their brand new stadium which he opened for them at quarterback. Goff got called out by his own coach last week for his lack of touchdown passes. If there was a game for him to step up and show the world what he can do, it has to be this week. I know this is a tough defense but this is going to happen, I can feel it in my bones.

BEARS @ BUCCANEERS

Chicago Bears UNDER 17.5 Team Total Points -130 (1 Unit)

I don't know how the Bears are going to move the ball against this Buccaneers front. Everything the Bears do revolves around the run game and they won't be able to do that against this Tampa Bay defense. I actually think Justin Fields will have his most completions, attempts and yards this week because they'll have to throw the ball to compete.

Allen Robinson UNDER 4.5 Receptions -135 (1 Unit)

I feel really bad for this guy. He is such a talented receiver and has never had even a decent quarterback to throw him the ball. Justin Fields could turn into a better one but right now he's not there. He had six catches in Week 1, but since then he hasn't had more than 4 in a game. I don't see that changing in this game against the World Champs.

TEXANS @ CARDINALS

James Conner OVER 54.5 Rushing Yards -110 (1 Unit)

The Texans have allowed the third most rushing yards to the running back spot this season. I know James Conner crossed this rushing total for the first time last week against the Browns but he'll do it again this week. The Cardinals should get up quickly in this game and then grind it out with Conner like they did last week. I want to see his rush attempts, I may take the over on that too.

CHIEFS @ TITANS

Patrick Mahomes OVER 19.5 Rushing Yards -120 (1 Unit)

The way he's been running lately, this bet should not even be a sweat. He's cleared this number in four straight games. The closest Patrick has been is 26 over that span. Mahomes isn't a world class runner but he's an opportunistic one.

COLTS @ 49ERS

Kyle Juszczyk OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Juszczyk is not known for his receiving abilities but he is more than capable. He has covered this number in four straight games with two or more catches in each. Kyle is used for those tough couple yards for a first down. Jimmy G is back which should stabilize the offense.