Best Prop Bets Sunday week 15 2021

By Drew Phelps
Drew Phelps

We went 1-3 on Thursday Night because of the complete flop of Darrel Williams. I just don't understand why CEH was on the field so much during passing down situations. It is time to move on and look at the Week 15 Sunday slate. That brings my season long total to 189-224.

If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.
 

COWBOYS @ GIANTS

CeeDee Lamb OVER 67.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I just don't know how you can't love CeeDee Lamb every week especially when Cooper and Gallup are both in the lineup. When his two running mates are healthy, he gets to move into the slot and just eat. He was under this late week but had seven catches. He had 84 yards in the first matchup with the Giants.

 

 

GIANTS Last to Score +155 (1 Unit)

This is a fun and interesting bet. If you watched last week, the Giants were getting owned by the Chargers but New York scored twice late in garbage time. I have a feeling that this game will go very similarly. The Cowboys will get out to a big lead and Mike Glennon will take them on a late scoring drive when they are down 2-3 touchdowns. I love the odds on this one.

 

 

 

CARDINALS @ LIONS

A.J. Green OVER 52.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)
A.J. Green OVER 3.5 Receptions -140 (1 Unit)

Old man A.J. Green has been way clear of this number in two of the last three games. The one he didn't, it was Kyler's first game back from injury and in terrible weather. No DeAndre Hopkins for the rest of the regular season means Green collects that many more targets. He had 10 in their last game with DeAndre in the lineup. This number just seems way too low for a guy who will get at least eight targets.

 

 

PANTHERS @ BILLS

Josh Allen UNDER 31.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)
Josh Allen UNDER 13.5 Longest Rush -110 (1 Unit)

Normally this would be a lock button over bet but not this week. Allen was in a walking boot most of the week as he nurses a foot injury. There is no way the Bills are going to call as many designed runs in this game. We will see Allen drop back and throw from the pocket most of the game.

 

 

Gabriel Davis OVER 41.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Emmanuel Sanders will be out for this ball game which puts Gabe Davis into that second outside wide receiver spot opposite Stefon Diggs. Davis actually has been over this receiving number in two of their last three games with Sanders in the lineup. He's proven to be a quality, reliable number four option in this Bills passing attack.

 

 

 

JETS @ DOLPHINS

DeVante Parker OVER 53.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

This may be the first time all season that I've listed DeVante Parker in my prop bets but here goes nothing. He played his first game since Halloween two weeks ago and put up 62 receiving yards on five catches against the Giants. Parker gets another tasty matchup against the Jets who allow nearly 270 yards per game through the air on the road this season. This should be an easy over unless we get bit by the injury bug.

 

 

TITANS @ STEELERS

Najee Harris UNDER 68.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

The Titans have allowed just 65 yards per game on the ground over their last three and just over 80 for the season. You can pass the ball all day on Tennessee but they are very stout up front. You have to love the carry totals for Harris but the yards per carry has been less than to be desired for someone with so much hype coming in this season.

 

 

Geoff Swaim OVER 21.5 Receiving Yards -110 (1 Unit)

If you are a regular reader of this column, you know this has been a gold mine over the last five weeks. He has hit this over in four of his last five games. He's been a nice stable option for Tannehill especially in the weeks where they were without A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. I'm going to keep riding this one.

 

 

 

Diontae Johnson OVER 78.5 Receiving Yards -110 (1 Unit)

Diontae Johnson has not had less than 10 targets in any of the last five games and seven of his last eight games. He is a target monster and does not disappoint when it comes to receiving yards. He's been over this number in five of his last seven. Until this number gets close to 90, I'm going to keep betting it every single week.

 

 

 

TEXANS @ JAGUARS

James Robinson OVER 80.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)
James Robinson ANYTIME TD +105 (1 Unit)

James Robinson will be unleashed this week. The cancer known as Urban Meyer has been removed from the locker room and Darrell Bevell knows what he has in this young running back. Houston allows the most yards per game on the ground on the season at 147 and 196 over their last three. If he doesn't run for 100 plus yards and a touchdown this weekend, I'll be stunned.

 

 

FALCONS @ 49ERS

Deebo Samuel UNDER 41.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

As long as Elijah Mitchell is out of the lineup, Deebo has been primarily used as a ball carrier for the 49ers. He's had 8-6-8 carries over the last three games and just one catch in each of the last three games. He will get around 10 touches in this game, 7-8 carries and 1-2 catches which will not get him to 42 yards receiving.

 

 

Jeff Wilson Jr UNDER 64.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Most people assumed when Elijah Mitchell went down that Jeff Wilson would pick up right where he left off which has not been the case. Wilson has not produced the way most would have hoped but where he's disappointed, Deebo Samuel has stepped up. He has not cleared 60 yards running in any game this season even in a game where he got 19 carries. I just don't see him covering this number with Deebo taking away touches.

 

 

 

BENGALS @ BRONCOS

BENGALS OVER 2.5 Team Total Touchdowns +140 (1 Unit)

The Bengals are Top 10 in scoring on the season. They score 27 points per game and nearly 30 per game on the road. This is a huge game for them and their chances to take control of the AFC North. I know Denver has a good defense and only allows 17 per game on the season, I'm going to trust my gut here that the Bengals need it more than the Broncos can stop it.

 

 

Tee Higgins OVER 65.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I've put this bet in my article for three straight weeks and in three straight weeks he's cleared 100 yards receiving. I'll just keep saying that while the focus has been on stopping Ja'Marr Chase deep, Higgins has owned the middle of the field. He has had 29 targets over the last three games, it's hard not to get 66 yards averaging nearly 10 targets a game.

 

 

 

PACKERS @ RAVENS

Aaron Rodgers OVER 265.5 Passing Yards -115 (1 Unit)
Aaron Rodgers OVER 2.5 Passing TDs +160 (1 Unit)
Davante Adams OVER 89.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I just don't understand these numbers. Baltimore is second worst in the league against the pass at over 265 yards per game. The secondary of the Ravens is beat to hell with injuries and guys like Davante Adams are going to eat. He has been over 100 yards in each of the last three games for the Packers. Aaron Rodgers has been over 290 yards passing in four straight games. I don't know if there is something I'm missing but these all seem like locks.

 

 

SAINTS @ BUCCANEERS

Chris Godwin OVER 79.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

He has been ridiculous over the last two weeks for the Buccaneers. He has caught 25 balls on 32 targets for 248 yards over the last two games. He is the Julian Edelman for Tom Brady and trusts him completely. Godwin had 12 catches for 140 yards in their first matchup.

 

 

Taysom Hill OVER 41.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

I know that the Buccaneers are very tough against the run but Taysom Hill continues to get it done on the ground for the Saints. He carried the ball 11 times in each of his two starts for a total of 174 yards. This is just too low of a number, the books have not caught up on him yet and we need to take advantage.

 

 

 

Marquez Callaway UNDER 33.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Once again, if you've been reading my articles over the last few weeks you know how much of a cash cow this bet has been. The number is finally dropping a little bit but he's been under this number in six of his last eight games. He has hit the under on his receiving yards prop in four straight games. I will keep betting it as long as it keeps hitting.