Best Prop Bets Sunday week 16 2021

By Drew Phelps
Drew Phelps

I went 4-1 for the Saturday night doubleheader. It was a nice bounce back and hopefully it continues into Sunday. That brings my season long total to 202-243.

If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.
 

GIANTS @ EAGLES

 

Miles Sanders OVER 57.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)


The Eagles have become a running team and it is working. As long as Sanders is healthy, there is no reason he won't smash this rush prop. He's been over this number in four straight games and averaging over 16 carries per game.

 

 

 

RAMS @ VIKINGS

 

 

 

Alexander Mattison OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

 

 

Alexander Mattison OVER 17.5 Rush Attempts -125 (1 Unit)


Whenever Dalvin Cook is out, Alexander Mattison steps right into the role. He may not be as talented but he fits the scheme perfectly. The only fear I have is they get down in this game and Kirk Cousins will have to throw the ball. The Vikings run the ball to set up their pass, so they will try their best knowing Mike Zimmer to establish the line of scrimmage.

 

 

 

BILLS @ PATRIOTS

 

 

 

Devin Singletary OVER 47.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

 

 

Josh Allen UNDER 36.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)


These two props go together. While Josh Allen continues to recover from his foot injury, the Bills have leaned on Singletary in the run game. In last week's game, he had 22 carries for 86 yards against a solid rush defense in Carolina. Josh Allen was cautious with the foot and only carried the ball one time last week. New England on average are allowing nearly 200 yards on the ground per game over their last three. Love these two bets together, I'll likely pair these numbers down and put them together into a single game parlay.

 

 

 

BUCCANEERS @ PANTHERS

 

 

 

Buccaneers -13.5 +140 (1 Unit)


There are no props available for this game as of Saturday night while I was writing this article. I'm just going to bump up the spread and get the sexier odds because I believe Tampa will stomp all over the Panthers in this game.

 

 

 

JAGUARS @ JETS

 

 

 

Laquon Treadwell OVER 42.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)


I know this is wacky but Treadwell has become a thing in Jacksonville. He has caught at least four balls in each of the last four games and has cleared this receiving yards total in all of those games as well. He has formed a solid connection with Trevor Lawrence and without Laviska Shenault in the lineup with COVID, he should get his targets once again.

 

 

 

LIONS @ FALCONS

 

 

 

Kyle Pitts OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)


I really wanted to target Russell Gage but his props are just a little too high for me but while his has gone up, Pitts' numbers have gone down. He has been over this receiving yard total in three straight games. This number is just entirely too low for a player of his talent. A tight end has gone over this receiving yard total in five straight games against the Lions.

 

 

 

CHARGERS @ TEXANS

 

 

 

Chargers -13.5 +120 (1 Unit)


There are no props available for this game as of Saturday night while I was writing this article. I'm just going to bump up the spread and get the sexier odds because I believe the Chargers will handle the Texans especially against Davis Mills.

 

 

 

RAVENS @ BENGALS


There are only a few props available for this game because of all the question marks surrounding it. Josh Johnson will start for the Ravens but I don't want to touch any of his props. There is nothing available for the Bengals as I write this article.

 

 

 

 

BEARS @ SEAHAWKS


There are no player props available for this game at this point because there are a lot of players in question, namely Justin Fields or Nick Foles starting for the Bears. I'm likely going to avoid this game.

 

 

 

 

BRONCOS @ RAIDERS

 

 

 

Josh Jacobs OVER 23.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)


It's about time but the Raiders have finally gotten Josh Jacobs involved in the passing game. He has had at least four targets in five straight games and has cleared this receiving total in all of those games. There is little to no reason he won't cover this especially with Kenyan Drake out for the year.
Javonte Williams OVER 57.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)
He has had 15 or more carries in each of the last three games and has cleared this rushing total in each of those games. While Melvin Gordon is still in the mix, they are basically splitting the touches right down the middle. Las Vegas has allowed 122 yards on the ground per game for the season. You can beat the Raiders in the trenches.

 

 

 

STEELERS @ CHIEFS

 

 

 

Chase Claypool OVER 46.5 Receiving Yards -110 (1 Unit)


This Steelers team is so hard to predict but this number is just too low. Before last week's complete debacle against the Titans, Claypool went over this number in the four games prior. Kansas City is a bottom five defense against the pass on the season allowing 250 yards per game through the air.

 

 

 

FOOTBALL TEAM @ COWBOYS

 

 

 

Dak Prescott UNDER 280.5 Passing Yards -115 (1 Unit)


There just seems to be something wrong with Dak, he has been off. He has been under this yardage total in four of his last five games. I will say that part of that is because the Cowboys can run the ball successfully. They can pound you with Zeke and Pollard leaving Dak to just make throws when needed.

 

 

 

Cowboys -13.5 +125 (1 Unit)


I am an admitted Washington Football team fan and I just know they are going to get throttled on Sunday night. They will battle early but the second half will be dominated by the Cowboys. There is just too much fire power for this injury riddled defense of Washington to keep up with.