Best Prop Bets Sunday week 6 2021
The Prime Time games have been great this week. When you combine Monday and Thursday I went 7-2. That brings my total closer to 500 for the season at a bit to 65-71. Here's to a great Week 6 Sunday Slate.
If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.
CHARGERS @ RAVENS
Lamar Jackson OVER 68.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit) LOSS
Lamar has not covered this number in three straight and while that would scare most people but not ones that do their research. The Chargers defense is good but not against the run, they are DEAD LAST in the league allowing 157 yards per game on the ground. He's due for a big week and it'll come this weekend.
VIKINGS @ PANTHERS
Zane Gonzalez OVER 1.5 Extra Points (+100)
Yes, kickers need love too. The Panthers offense sputtered last week against the Eagles but before that game they'd scored 24 or more in their three previous games. I fully expect the Panthers to score two touchdowns against this Vikings defense especially on the road.
PACKERS @ BEARS
Justin Fields UNDER 17.5 Pass Completions -110 (1 Unit)
The closest that Fields has come to this number is 12 and that was last week. They are just not asking him to win games with his arm at this point in his career. The Bears want to run the ball and keep the other offense off the field especially when it's Aaron Rodgers.
BENGALS @ LIONS
Ja'Marr Chase OVER 26.5 Longest Reception -115 (1 Unit)
This bet is basically like rinse and repeat every week because it hits every single week. Ja'Marr has a knack for the big play and Joe Burrow has an eye for him on his patented go routes. This Lions defense will not be able to contain him especially without Jeff Okudah their best corner.
TEXANS @ COLTS
David Johnson OVER 21.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)
The Texans definitely do not like running the ball with David Johnson anymore, carrying it a grand total of 9 times over the last three games. What has increased has been his receptions. He's had 10 targets and 8 receptions over the last two games. Davis Mills likes using him as his check down and he's cleared this number in each of the last two games.
Michael Pittman OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)
Carson Wentz has found his favorite target and his name is Michael Pittman. Remember that amazing chemistry that Wentz had with Ertz that got him to 100 catches in a season, that's what I see forming again. He's averaging nearly 10 targets per game and over 6 catches over the last four games. He has cleared this number in three of those four games. Put your money down and feel good about it.
RAMS @ GIANTS
Darrell Henderson OVER 15.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)
Darrell has taken over the lead back role in this offense and has acquitted himself quite well. He has passed this number in every game this season. In two of the games he covered in just one catch. Against a beat up Giants defense, this should be money in the bank.
Giants UNDER 19.5 Team Total Points -115 (1 Unit)
Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey and company are going to have a lot of fun with this awful offensive line of the Giants. I could see the Giants scoring a bit in garbage time but I can't see them getting to 20 points against this defense.
CHIEFS @ FOOTBALL TEAM
Jerick McKinnon OVER 11.5 Receiving Yards -120 (1 Unit)
We all know that Clyde Edwards-Helaire is out for a few weeks but who gets the bulk of his workload. Most people assuming Darrel Henderson and while I agree, I think McKinnon takes over the pass catching role. Last week when CEH went out, he caught two balls for 13 yards. I think he can easily accomplish that in a full game situation.
CARDINALS @ BROWNS
James Conner ANY TIME TD +165 (1 Unit)
I don't usually do these as my lock bets of the week but this dude is on a run. He hit for us last week and I'm gonna keep rolling it out there. 5 rushing touchdowns in the last 3 games for the former Steeler. If the Cardinals are anywhere near the goal line, he's gonna get the touches.
RAIDERS @ BRONCOS
Bryan Edwards UNDER 2.5 Receptions +100 (1 Unit)
Derek Carr UNDER 263.5 Receptions -115 (1 Unit)
He just seems to be forgotten about by Derek Carr until late in the game. He's had two or less catches in each of the last two games. The Broncos have one of the best young secondaries in the league and have allowed only 207 yards on average through the air. That's why I also think Derek Carr won't get to his number. Surprisingly, the Raiders have lost their last two games and he's been WAY under this number in both of those games.
COWBOYS @ PATRIOTS
Tony Pollard OVER 41.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)
Dak Prescott UNDER 275.5 Passing Yards 115 (1 Unit)
109, 60, 67, and 75 are the last four games rushing total for Tony Pollard. He's gotten 13, 11, 10, and 14 carries in those games. Zeke and Tony are making a terrible one two punch and taking all the pressure off of Dak Prescott's arm. Last week was the first time since Week 1 that Dak threw for more than 300 yards. He basically throws when they need it and let the thunder and lightning combo work its magic.
SEAHAWKS @ STEELERS
Najee Harris OVER 4.5 Receptions -120 (1 Unit)
I love this number and I love this bet. While he didn't cover this last week against the Broncos, he had in the three previous games. The Steelers found success for the first time all season just handing the ball off last week, so they stuck with it. I really feel he'll be used more in the passing game this weekend. He should average 5-6 catches a week.
PIT Steelers Defense ANY TIME TD +360 (½ Unit)
Geno Smith is playing Quarterback for the Seahawks, why not???