Best Prop Bets TNF week 3 2021
Week 2 started slow but ended with a bang on Monday Night Football. After Thursday night and Sunday I had a record of 15-19 overall. I needed a big night and got one in the game between the Lions and the Packers with a record of 5-1. The only prop I missed was over 4.5 receptions for D'Andre Swift and he had 4, nearly got there. Here's to keeping things rolling on Thursday night between the Panthers and Texans.
If you've got questions heading into the one o'clock games, please tweet me @Drew_Phelps83.
9/23/21 WEEK 3 THURSDAY SLATE OF PROPS
PANTHERS @ TEXANS
Davis Mills UNDER 34.5 Yards Longest Completions -115 (1 Unit)
Mills will get his first start as a professional on Thursday night against a pretty solid Panthers defense through two weeks. In relief of Tyrod Taylor, he went 8 for 18 for 102 yards, throwing one touchdown and one interception. That stat that drew my attention for this bet was his yards gained per pass attempt was just 5.67. He is a dink and dunk type passer and unless one of these players breaks one loose, this will likely hit for us.
Brandin Cooks UNDER 23.5 Yards Longest Reception -110 (1 Unit)
As good as Cooks has been this season, it was due to the accuracy and play of Tyrod Taylor. I just spoke about his lack of deep passing and that bleeds right into this prop bet. They will have to get Cooks involved in other ways such as his traditional deep crosses and fly patterns. The Texans will struggle offensively, and we're going to profit from that.
Robby Anderson UNDER 3.5 Receptions +115 (1 Unit)
We all thought that Robby Anderson would go gangbusters getting paired back up with his former quarterback from New York, Sam Darnold. It has been less than stellar through two weeks. Anderson received just three targets in week one which resulted in one catch. Week 2 the targets went up to six but it only resulted in three catches against the Saints. He could get there this week as it is trending that way but I really like the plus odds.
D.J. Moore OVER 5.5 Receptions +110 (1 Unit)
Moore found his connection with Sam Darnold right away. He's had a combined 19 targets for 14 catches over the first two weeks of the season. That's an average of 9.5 targets and 7 catches per game. I think it is crazy that you are getting plus odds on this reception prop but I'm taking full advantage.
Christian McCaffrey OVER 49.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)
We all know how involved Christian McCaffrey is in this Carolina Panthers offense. He's touched the ball 30 times in each of the first two games of the season. This number is too low for his typical receiving output. He had 89 yards on 9 catches in Week 1 and 65 on 5 catches in Week 2. I kind of like his over 5.5 receptions at plus odds too.
Mark Ingram OVER 36.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)
While Mark Ingram's carries dropped from 26 in Week 1 to 14 in Week 2, I still think he can crack this rushing yard total. We have a quarterback making his first pro start and his best friend will be handing the ball off to his running backs including Ingram. He just needs to run the ball 12 times for his typical three yards each and he's there. I also like his over 9.5 rush attempts number but the juice is pretty high on that one.