Best Prop Bets Monday NT week 7 2021

Just as I thought things were turning around, the Week 7 Sunday slate came around and knocked me on my ass. After starting 4-1 on Thursday, it was a 6-13 Sunday afternoon and evening which brings my grand total to 82-94. There are ups and down, just gotta keep pounding away at it until things start to turn around which they will.

If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.
 

SAINTS @ SEAHAWKS

Seattle Seahawks UNDER 18.5 Team Total Points -115 (1 Unit)

I just can't believe in this Seahawks offense with Geno Smith at the helm. He looked decent at times last week against the Steelers but we saw shades of old Geno as well. This Saints defense is allowing only 18 points per game, remember when they held Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to just 3 points? They can get after the quarterback and have one of the best cover men in the league.

Jameis Winston OVER 200.5 Passing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

It was really shocking early in the season when he couldn't even crack 150 passing yards over the first three weeks but that's changed. He's been over 200 passing yards in back to back games and yes I know that was against the Washington Football team and the Giants but are the Seahawks much better? They allow over 24 points per game and nearly 300 yards (292) through the air which is worse than the Giants (243).

Alvin Kamara OVER 32.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)

The Saints have been very weird about the way they've used Kamara this season without Drew Brees. One game he's very involved in the run and pass game and the next, where did he go? They targeted him eight times in their last game against the Washington Football team and I expect more of the same against this Seattle defense. They gave up 46 yards receiving to Najee Harris last week and Alexander Mattison go for 59 a few weeks back.

Geno Smith UNDER 14.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)

Geno is not a runner and never was a runner. He wants to drop back in the pocket and chuck the ball all over the field. He ran for 23 yards in clean up duty after Russell Wilson went down a couple weeks back but last week, just one carry for negative one yard. T.J. Watt was all over him and Cameron Jordan will do the same tonight.

Bobby Wagner OVER 10.5 Tackles & Assists +110 (1 Unit)

The man has always been a tackling machine. He's a locked up hall of famer when he finally does call it a career. Wagner has gone over this number in all but two games and one of those was exactly at 10. He'll be chasing down Alvin Kamara all night long which will boost his tackle numbers. I am seduced a little by the juice on this bet.