Best Prop Bets Monday NT week 16 2021
It was a weird day for props because of the limited time we had them available. I went 4-10 for the Sunday slate. That brings my season long total to 206-253.
If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.
DOLPHINS @ SAINTS
Jaylen Waddle OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)
Jaylen Waddle OVER 6.5 Receptions +120 (1 Unit)
This kid has been money in the bank all season long. He's a catch machine and I'm going to keep riding that wave. He has caught at least eight passes in four of his last five games. He has gone over this receiving yards total in four of his last five games. He's had at least nine targets in four of his last five games. While the Saints have been better against the pass recently, they have allowed over 312 yards per game at home this season. Buy in on the target monster.
DeVante Parker OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1 Unit)
While he does not have the target numbers of Waddle, he's been excellent when healthy on the outside while Waddle works in the slot. He's been over this receiving yards total in his last four games played. I know everyone seems to be afraid of Marshon Lattimore, but he's been boom or bust this season. He either makes the big interception or gets burned badly by the opposition's best wide out.
Ian Book UNDER 33.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)
We saw Ian Book showcase his legs at Notre Dame but this is the pros. He doesn't have all world speed and he doesn't have the size of Taysom Hill. The only two quarterbacks that crossed this number against the Dolphins were Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen. Lamar only got to 39 on 9 carries. The Dolphins defense will keep him contained tonight.
Saints UNDER 17.5 Team Total Points (1 Unit)
Dolphins -6.5 +145 (1 Unit)
I personally think this game is going to be very one sided. The Saints are having to start Ian Book at quarterback because of COVID issues in New Orleans. The Dolphins defense has played fantastic over their six game win streak and I don't see that stopping against a rookie third string quarterback. They still have a chance at the playoffs and will pull out all the stops in this Monday night matchup. I think this game ends up 22-10 Dolphins which makes both of these bets a winner.