By Jamie Calandro
Jamie Calandro

We’ve officially hit double digits for the NFL weeks, but there’s still a ton more football to go and we get some important players returning from injury this week. There are also a SLEW of top-tier RBs that you’re going to have to decide on who to play, so let’s dig in and find some value. Be sure to tune in on Sunday morning to www.youtube.com/footballdiehards as we break down every game on the slate!




Josh Allen, BUF ($7900)

I can say with confidence that week 9 against the Jaguars was a HUGE outlier for Allen and company, and I have no qualms about jumping right back on the Allen train this week against the lowly Jets who just gave up a 45-burger to the Colts last week. Top DB Marcus Maye is out for this week, which makes the Jets’ D far more vulnerable, and Dawson Knox looks like he’ll return to add another element to this passing offense. With Zack Moss likely to miss, it’s possible we see a more pass-heavy approach as well.

Other options - Tom Brady, Justin Herbert

Mid-tier options - Dak Prescott, Jalen Hurts



Matt Ryan, ATL ($6000)

After a slow start, Ryan has been a QB1 over the last five games and now has his DK average over 20 PPG. Even without Calvin Ridley, the Falcons offense is clicking right now, and the game script sets up for Ryan to be throwing 40+ times (ATL +9, 53 O/U). Cordarelle Patterson adds another dynamic to this offense, and Dallas has allowed the third most FPPG to opposing QBs.

Other options - Kirk Cousins, Carson Wentz




Najee Harris, PIT ($7900)

So. Many. Running. Backs. You’re going to have to sift through the amazingness at the top here, but I think Najee being discounted over CMC and Jonathan Taylor gives him top priority. Najee hasn’t had under 20 touches in a game since week two and is now facing an incredibly soft Lions’ front that has allowed over 5 YPC and the second most FPPG to opposing RBs. Najee isn’t running efficiently behind the awful PIT OL, but he’s heavily involved in the passing game, Juju is out, and Claypool looks iffy at best too.

Other options - Christian McCaffrey, Jonathan Taylor, Dalvin Cook, Austin Ekeler

Mid-tier options - Ezekiel Elliott, Cordarelle Patterson, Aaron Jones, James Conner



D'Ernest Johnson, CLE ($4700)

Nick Chubb and Demetric Felton are on the COVID list and Kareem Hunt is still on IR, so if Chubb can’t go it’s officially D’Ernest szn again. He’s priced like a total backup and we saw him light it up for 6.6 YPC against Denver the last time he took center stage. The Patriots have been decimated by RBs for 5.1 YPC and the eighth most FPPG to the position, so he’d be the lock of locks in both cash and GPP should Chubb miss.

Other options - Michael Carter, Devin Singletary





Davante Adams, GB ($7900)

This obviously assumes Aaron Rodgers’ return, but Adams is far too cheap if Rodgers does in fact come back. He’s commanding almost a 39% target share from Rodgers and the Seahawks have allowed the second most passing plays of 20 or more yards. Adams’ efficiency gives him a super high floor, and the matchup gives his ceiling extended heights as well.

Other options - AJ Brown, Stefon Diggs, Chris Godwin

Mid-tier options - Keenan Allen, Ceedee Lamb, Mike Evans, Diontae Johnson, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Michael Pittman



Cole Beasley, BUF ($5200)

If you’re paying for top-flight RBs, it’s going to be hard to fit Allen/Diggs into cash. Enter Cole Beasley, who gives you cheap exposure to the Bills and their 32 team total. Beasley’s aDOT is lowering with Emmanuel Sanders on the team, but he’s still had 33 targets over the past three weeks, giving him a solid floor for cash.

Other options - Jarvis Landry, Jerry Jeudy, Russell Gage, Jamison Crowder, Marquez Valdez-Scantling





Dalton Schultz, DAL ($5000)

What a weird week at the top of the TE field. Kelce and Waller play each other on Monday night, and George Kittle isn’t on the main slate either. You could make a definite argument for Kyle Pitts here, but I think Schultz pops a bit more. He ran a higher snap share in week 9 than even Lamb and Cooper, and Blake Jarwin being on IR puts Schultz in a huge position to succeed. Atlanta has allowed the 12th most FPPG to TEs and Dallas’ team total is 31.5

Other options - Kyle Pitts, Dallas Goedert


Pat Friermuth, PIT ($3900)

He’s not reflecting as such yet, but I expect Friermuth will wind up being the chalk TE with Juju out and Claypool likely to sit as well. Since PIT played on Monday night, DraftKings didn’t have a chance to price him up, and Friermuth has run a 75% snap share over the past two weeks while scoring three TDs. The Lions are a friendly matchup for any position, TE included.

Other options - Ricky Seals-Jones, Dan Arnold, Tyler Conklin

Tennessee Titans ($2600)
Arizona Cardinals ($3700)
Buffalo Bills ($4000)
Cleveland Browns ($2800)
Indianapolis Colts ($3600)