DFS GPP STACKS WEEK 4 2022

WEEK 4 DFS STACKS TO TARGET

Injuries galore this week, and they’re affecting some of our premier games. Be sure to tune into the Football Diehards DFS show tonight, as Eric and I break down the entire week 4 slate, and follow me on twitter @jac3600!
 

BUFFALO BILLS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS

BILLS
This game is injury free with the main guys in play, but we’ll have to get creative in our stacking efforts as these guys aren’t coming cheap. Josh Allen is currently the highest-owned QB on the slate but it doesn’t matter with him, as his ceiling is matched only by his opponent in this game. Allen is averaging a gaudy 32.3 DK PPG, trailing only Jackson, and the matchup is incredible as the once-vaunted Baltimore defense is currently allowing the second most FPPG to opposing QBs and also the fifth most QB rushing yards.

Pairing Allen with Stefon Diggs is sure to be popular this week, but the upside is potentially unmatched. Diggs is still the overall WR1 at 5.4 FPS ahead of Cooper Kupp, and he’s already racked up 35 targets and four TDs while also ranking ninth in the NFL in air yards. Baltimore has allowed the most FPPG to WRs. Gabe Davis has popped up on the injury report again mid-week so be sure to watch his status, but he’s the logical double stack with Allen and Diggs. McKenzie, Crowder, and Knox all have zero floor in this offense, but all can be included in MME with the Bills’ slate high 28 team total.

Devin Singletary took a stranglehold on the playing time in the backfield last game (73% snap share) while Zack Moss and James Cook were barely even afterthoughts. He’s absolutely in play as a bringback pivot with Ravens stacks.

RAVENS

Lamar Jackson is my favorite GPP QB of the week, as his ownership is half of Allen’s despite averaging over five more DK PPG. The Bills have allowed the fewest FPPG to opposing QBs but are missing important personnel, and Lamar’s rushing ability gives him unique upside. I was wrong to even consider fading him based on his week one usage.

Mark Andrews leads all TEs in targets, receptions, receiving yards, air yards, route participation, and is third in RZ targets. If he was a WR, we’d be salivating over this price tag. Play him in all formats with confidence, especially as a bringback to Allen-Diggs stacks in GPP. The Bills are tough on TEs, but Andrews transcends matchups, and Micah Hyde is lost for the year. Both the Bills’ top CBs are also out, so Rashod Bateman and his 18th ranked air yards share is a solid upside play off more popular Jackson/Andrews stacks.

The Ravens’ RB room of Dobbins and Justice Hill are not in play in any format, as there is no clear role and Lamar is the RB1 on that team anyway.


STACK IDEAS

Allen/Diggs/Davis w/ Andrews
Allen/Diggs/Knox w/ Andrews or Bateman

Jackson/Andrews w/ Diggs
Jackson/Andrews/Bateman w/ Diggs
Jackson/Andrews/Bateman w/ Singletary
Jackson “naked” w/ Diggs/Davis

CLEVELAND BROWNS AT ATLANTA FALCONS

FALCONS

This game is currently sporting an O/U of 48 points and is my favorite one outside of the popular Bills/Ravens stack (the only one over 50 points). I have been peddling Marcus Mariota love in both articles and on twitter this week, and is have him as my overall QB7 (with upside for more). Mariota’s price tag has remained stagnant in the mid-5000s on DraftKings for the entire season, despite the fact that he’s averaging 18.3 DK PPG and is currently the QB13 in all of fantasy football. Mariota has to cut back on the turnovers, but his dual-threat ability gives him a floor/ceiling combo well beyond his price tag. He’s ninth in fantasy points per dropback and also leads all QBs in red zone carries. Against Cleveland, who has allowed the 11th most FPPG to QBs and will be missing Myles Garrett.

Mariota is popular, so we’ll have to double stack him to gain some leverage on the field. Luckily, this is a super condensed offense so the path is easy. Drake London has 25 targets and a 35% air yards share, and Kyle Pitts came back into relevance in week three with a 5-87-0 line on eight targets. He also has a 34% air yards share, right there with his teammate London and second only to Mark Andrews among TEs.

Cordarrelle Patterson has 53 touches in three weeks, and I’m skeptical that continues given his age, but for now he’s the guy, and can be used in both ATL stacks and as a bringback. Tyler Allgeier is not a factor (yet).

BROWNS

One thing I missed on big time in the preseason was the Jacoby Brissett-Amari Cooper connection. Brissett’s 4.7 YPA looked like big-time bust prospect for Cooper, but the WR leads the NFL in air yards with an unreal 49% mark. The Falcons have allowed the fourth most FPPG to opposing WRs, so there’s no reason to think his run with stop this week. David Njoku finally broke out for 9-89-1 on ten targets last week, but it’s fair to say you’re not “chasing” by using him this week as he’s fourth among TEs in snap share (91.2%) and seventh in target share (18.2%). The Falcons have allowed the second most FPPG to TEs this year. DraftKings did not adequately price him up enough.

From a running perspective, both Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are in play as bringbacks, and Hunt (45 total touches) can be included in Browns stacks as well with his passing role (Chubb is a little more difficult in that role). Chubb does lead the league in both rushing attempts and rushing yards, and the game script lends itself well to him succeeding.


STACK IDEAS
Mariota/London/Pitts w/ Chubb
Mariota/London/Pitts w/ Cooper
Mariota/London/Patterson w/ Cooper

Brissett/Cooper w/ London or Pitts
Brissett/Cooper/Njoku w/ London or Patterson
Brissett/Cooper/Hunt w/ London or Pitts