Best Prop Bets TNF week 7 2021

So many small things could have happened to make things better on Sunday but finished 7-9 on the main slate of afternoon games. We've got a pretty blah Thursday night game because of the lack of star power on the Cleveland side. My total is now 72-80. Let's take a look at this game and the bets. .

If you've got questions heading into tonight's game hit me up @Drew_Phelps83 on twitter.
 

BRONCOS @ BROWNS

Cleveland Browns UNDER 20.5 Points -120 (1 Unit)

The Browns will be without Baker Mayfield, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt in this game against a really solid Broncos defense. Denver only allowed 18 points per game to their opponents. There are also weather concerns in this game with high winds in the forecast. We could see gusts over 30 mph at times.

Case Keenum UNDER 34.5 Longest Completion -120 (1 Unit)

The conditions tonight will make it extremely difficult for Case to go deep. He doesn't have the biggest arm to begin with but throwing over 30 yards with 30 mph wind gusts will be tough. The only way this happens is if one of the receivers slips a tackle and makes a 10 yard catch into a 35 yard catch.

Javonte Williams OVER 2.5 Rush Attempts +115 (1 Unit)

No one has really thought about him as a pass catcher but did you know that he's caught the ball three times in each of his last four games. Teddy has always been known as check down Teddy and both backs have been getting plenty of looks in the screen game. I love that this bet is plus odds.

Javonte Williams OVER 13.5 Longest Rush -120 (1 Unit)

He has broken one open for over 13 yards in every game except Week 1 when he had a 12 yard run. We keep saying it's only a matter of time before he takes over the lead role but the Broncos are hell bent on not letting that happen. I guess we'll just have to rely on him forcing Denver to give him the ball more with long runs.

Courtland Sutton OVER 4.5 Receptions -150 (1 Unit)

He had targets of 12-5-8-11-14 over the last five games. He has been the primary target for Teddy most of the season without Jerry Jeudy. He's caught 5-3-7-8, covering this number in three of his last four. You can see why the juice is high on this one. I'm going to pay it and make my money.