Best Prop Bets TNF week 4 2021
We've got a barn burner of a Thursday night football game between the Jaguars and Bengals. This is a game that only bettors and fantasy owners can love.
Sunday was unkind to us but it's time to get it back. I am a grand total of 30-37 since starting this article on Football Diehards. Not where I want to be but we've got a long way to go.
If you've got questions heading into the one o'clock games, please tweet me @Drew_Phelps83.
JAGUARS @ BENGALS
Ja'Marr Chase ANY TIME TD +100 (1 Unit)
Ja'Marr Chase OVER 25.5 Longest Reception (1 Unit)
I guess the lack of stripes on the football wasn't as big of a problem as we were originally led to believe. He's got 4 touchdown grabs in just three games as a rookie. He has also caught a ball longer than 25 yards in each of the first three games of the season. The Bengals will beat up on the Jaguars in this one. My only fear is that they get up early and just grind it out with Joe Mixon to finish the game.
Joe Burrow UNDER 8.5 Rushing Yards -110 (1 Unit)
In three games this season, Joe Burrow has a grand total of 9 yards rushing which just barely clears this prop. The Bengals do not want him to run and he does not want to run. The only thing that could hurt us with this one is he's put into a position where he's forced to take off for a first down. We should be safe with this one.
Trevor Lawrence OVER 14.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1 Unit)
After putting up negative yards on one carry in his Week 1 debut, Lawrence has been slowly getting more running opportunities. He has two carries for 21 yards in Week 2 and six carries for 27 in Week 3. The Jaguars have clearly realized that they need to take advantage of their young quarterback's mobility. We should not have to sweat this one out.
Joe Mixon UNDER 2.5 Receptions +110 (1 Unit)
While Joe has excellent hands, the Bengals have not featured him in the passing game much at all this season. They've been pounding him in the run game averaging just over 22 carries per game. I do like the OVER 20.5 rush attempts as well. The last two games he's caught a combined two balls for 6 yards. I like the plus odds here.
James Robinson OVER 23.5 Receiving Yards -110 (1 Unit)
The Jaguars and new coach Urban Meyer have been a little slow to get their second year back involved in the passing game. He has cleared this number in two of the three games this season. My theory is that the Jags will be playing from behind and they'll have to use him more in the screen game.