DFS GPP STACKS WEEK 4 2021

DRAFTKINGS DFS GPP STACKS TO TARGET - WEEK 4

It’s week 4, and another full slate of football is on tap with no bye weeks yet, so let’s use this space to tap into the great upside potential that comes with GPP stacking. There are several “track meet” games which are oozing potential, so let’s figure out the best way to attack them. Be sure to tune into our Sunday show on YouTube as we break down the entire slate game by game!

 

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

CHIEFS

Travis Kelce has kept doing what Travis Kelce does, and there’s no reason to continue he can’t continue with the Eagles allowing the tenth most FPPG to opposing TEs. Kelce is averaging 24.3 DK PPG through three weeks with 26 targets, so he’s well worth his price tag. Tyreek Hill has now busted for his price tag in two straight weeks, and faces an Eagles squad who has defended WRs very well to start the year (fourth fewest FPPG allowed). I wouldn’t use Hill in cash since his price hasn’t come down yet, but you shouldn’t shy away in GPP. Hill is still arguably the most talented WR in the NFL and it’s possible we see the “squeaky wheel” narrative get applied here in a must win for the Chiefs (that’s weird to say). Obviously, Patrick Mahomes is a top-2 QB option this week to stack with those two, and the Chiefs have a 30.5 team total. I’m not interested in any other Chiefs pass catcher due to inconsistency, and the signing of Josh Gordon does even less to instill confidence in them.

CEH bounced back big time in a nice spot, and he remains the lead back in the most dynamic offense in football. It bears mentioning that he still continues to struggle with protecting the ball, and Darrel Williams logged a season high in snaps and touches, but CEH is still priced too low for a lead back, and is a fun deviation off Eagles stacks.

On the Eagles side, Jalen Hurts is a smash play against the Chiefs who have allowed the most FPPG to QBs so far. Hurts carries as big a rushing upside as any QB in the league (179 yards through three games) and his downfield ability should play big in this atmosphere. Devonta Smith is the natural pairing with almost a 45% target share through the first three games, and Jalen Reagor is a fun $1000 discount for someone who actually only has two less targets and a higher RZ share than Devonta. The TEs are in a complete timeshare so there’s no real target to lean to here. If I had to pick one it would be Goedert who has a higher RZ share since the beginning of last year when both are healthy, but either is viable in MME.

I LOVE Miles Sanders as a GPP bringback to Chiefs stacks this week. The Eagles screwed up his usage royally last game against Dallas and I don’t see it happening again. KC has allowed 5.1 YPC and the third most FPPG to opposing RBs to start the year, and Sanders is in a dream spot if the Eagles stay close here. If they don’t, Kenneth Gainwell is the “Nyheim Hines” of this offense and has GPP viability as well.

STACK IDEAS

Mahomes/Hill/Kelce w/ Smith
Mahomes/Hill/Kelce w/ Sanders
Mahomes/Hill/Kelce w/Gainwell

Hurts/Smith/Reagor w/ Hill or Kelce
Hurts/Smith/Reagor w/ CEH
Hurts/Smith/either TE w/ Hill or Kelce

ARIZONA CARDINALS AT LA RAMS

CARDINALS

Murray is still the overall QB1 in fantasy, is third in YPA, and is fifth in accuracy in passing plays over 20 yards. With four different receivers at his disposal, Kyler could erupt against this Rams defense that was just gashed by Tom Brady. He’s still got huge rushing upside as well. Of the receivers to stack with Kyler, Christian Kirk and Rondale Moore actually catch the most interest from me with DeAndre Hopkins almost certainly destined to be locked up with Jalen Ramsey (while not playing at 100%). AJ Green has had two good games in a row, but is still running a lowly fantasy points per route run (a la last year). Believe it or not, Kirk is my favorite target of the four with his consistent snap share and 14.1 YPT.

Chase Edmonds and James Conner are always going to cap each other’s upsides if both are healthy. It’s clear that Edmonds is the lead back, but it’s also clear that Conner is the goal line option (if not Kyler). Either can be used as a bringback to Rams stacks if you don’t want to play the WR carousel, but both are boom or bust options.


For the Rams, Cooper Kupp is finally priced with the big boys after three straight weeks of being mispriced. It’s earned though, as Kupp is first in receptions, catches, and receiving TDs and has played on 94% of snaps through three games. You can finally bypass him in cash (he’s still worthy there), but he’s a necessity if stacking the Rams.

With Kupp fully priced, we turn our attention to his teammate Robert Woods, who has been the talk of twitter this past week as a potential drop candidate. Do NOT drop Robert Woods, and play him aggressively on DK this week at $5300. Even though the production has taken a back seat to Kupp (in a big way), Woods still played a higher snap share in week three and has 15 targets over the last three games. There will be those games where the DeSean Jacksons of the world rob Woods’ upside, but he’s still a major part of this dynamic offense and is flat out mispriced.

Tyler Higbee only has 12 targets so far so his floor is low, but he’s playing over 90% of snaps and is averaging 9.7 YPT with a TD. He can be double stacked with Kupp instead of Woods if you believe Woods’ “dud-liness” continues another week.

If Darrell Henderson sits again, Sony Michel is far too cheap after out-touching Jake Funk 23-1. Arizona has been eviscerated by RBs the last two weeks, allowing 336 yards to them. If Henderson plays, I’d stay away as we’re likely looking at too much of a split to have GPP upside.


STACK IDEAS
Kyler/Hopkins/Kirk w/ Kupp or Woods
Kyler/Rondale/Kirk w/ Kupp or Woods
Kyler/Hopkins/Kirk w/ Michel

Stafford/Kupp/Woods w/ Kirk
Stafford/Kupp/Woods w/ Edmonds or Conner
Stafford/Kupp/Higbee w/ any ARI option

CLEVELAND BROWNS AT MINNESOTA VIKINGS

BROWNS

This is the sneaky one for me because early ownership shows it going under the radar in comparison to the two listed above, even though it’s tied with the same O/U (54). The Browns’ RBs are constantly frustrating for DFS purposes because Nick Chubb (while super talented) is still completely uninvolved in the passing game. Either back can be used as a bringback to Vikes stacks, but you kind of have to guess game script correctly to unlock the full potential. Cleveland is favored by 3, so I pick Chubb if forced to choose one.

From the passing game, Baker Mayfield is running at an amazing efficiency (4th in YPA and 6th in passer rating). Pairing him with Odell Beckham is a solid idea in GPPs as Odell is still too cheap after getting nine targets on 77% snap share. If double stacking, the issue comes in where you go, as Cleveland has a TE committee and a bunch of one-dimensional players after Odell. Austin Hooper leads the team in targets with 11, so he’s PROBABLY the next best option, but David Njoku and Harrison Bryant both remain heavily involved as well. You can also use Hunt in DK’s PPR format with Odell.

The Vikings’ offensive options are way more spread out, and Cousins is currently the QB6 in fantasy. Even with Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison getting a ton of reps, Cousins is still throwing the ball all over the place and has three viable WRs and a TE who broke out in week three as well. Before shutting down Justin Fields last week, Cleveland had allowed the ninth most FPPG to opposing QBs and Cousins has a ton of weapons. Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen are both WR1s this week with a combined 56 targets over a 95% snap share run between the two. I still maintain Thielen’s TD rate from last year into this year is far too unsustainable, but so far I’ve been completely wrong at guessing when that would be. Double stacking the two is a route I’m aggressively running this week. Tyler Conklin busted out last game and is also a nice stack element against Cleveland who ranked 26th in FPPG allowed to TEs last year. Be aware he’s battling two separate injuries. I’d stay away from KJ Osborn whose snap and touch counts are rapidly dwindling from week to week.

The Browns have allowed the third fewest FPPG to opposing RBs this year, so this is a tricky situation with Cook’s injury. If Cook plays, he’s still an RB1 and a great bringback to Browns’ stacks based on talent and usage alone. I’m a little more hesitant to use Alexander Mattison in the same matchup even though he logged a true workhorse role last week with 32 touches and 8 passing targets. His $6600 price tag is in line with Najee, Zeke, Barkley, and D’Andre Swift, all of whom I’d rather have than Mattison.


STACK IDEAS
Cousins/Jefferson/Thielen w/ Odell
Cousins/Jefferson/Thielen w/ Chubb or Hunt
Cousins/Jefferson/Conklin w/ any Brown

Mayfield/Odell/Hooper w/ Jefferson
Mayfield/Odell/any Browns TE w/ Cook
Mayfield/Odell w/ Jefferson/Thielen