DFS 3 and OUT 2017 WEEK 5

By Bob Harris
Bob Harris

I'm in

Jaron Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals

Don't look now, but Jaron is the Brown to roll with in Arizona. He caught 8 of 12 targets for 105 yards against the 49ers last Sunday to continue a three game roll that started with an 11-target day in Week 2 and a six-target Week 3. That total of 29 targets ties him for eighth in that category over the past three weeks -- ahead of guys like teammate Larry Fitzgerald, A.J. Green, Julio Jones and Doug Baldwin. As ESPN's Mike Clay notes, he ranks 22nd among wide receivers in fantasy points during that span. And this week he'll go up against an Eagles secondary that gave up nearly 350 receiving yards to the Chargers last Sunday. The Eagles have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season. It also seems, with John Brown and J.J. Nelson a little nicked up, the two are sharing roles to a degree, while Jaron Brown's has been steady as can be. Better still, his price ($4500 on DraftKings; $4500 on FanDuel) doesn't necessarily reflect that. It certainly doesn’t reflect his physical abilities. At 6-2 and boasting 4.35 speed in the 40, Jaron provides Carson Palmer and an Arizona offense that struggles to run the ball with an impressive downfield weapon.

DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins

This just in: The Dolphins offense is not playing good football. In fact, the list of things worse than Miami's offense is not long. But the Titans defense is on it. More specifically, Tennessee's pass defense has been among the most generous in the league, allowing eight touchdowns and 36 fantasy points per game to opposing wideouts. In general, the Titans give up the fifth most average passing yards per game, and opposing QBs have scored four TDs against them in each of the past two weeks. Assuming Jay Cutler can bounce back against a defense that lacks a pass rush and has allowed the second most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks doesn't seem to be an unreasonable expectation. And that brings me to Parker. As ESPN's Matthew Berry pointed out, only five other receivers who have been targeted at least eight times in each of the past three weeks (Keenan Allen, Antonio Brown, DeAndre Hopkins, Michael Thomas and Mike Evans). Parker with nine, 10 and eight targets during that span has converted the opportunities into 18 catches. Berry added that Parker ($6600 on DraftKings; $6100 on FanDuel) is averaging the third-most deep targets (15-plus yards) per game this season, so he has a shot to get deep for one against a Tennessee team that already has been burned for three deep touchdown passes in four games.

Hunter Henry, TE, Los Angeles Chargers

Don't look now but the Giants have allowed and NFL-high 89 fantasy points to tight ends this year as well as a league-high five touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Chargers finally located Henry in last week's loss to the Eagles. Henry, who had eight touchdown catches in his rookie year, finally got his first one a quarter of the way into his second season. For whatever reason or maybe there's many but Henry has not been a big part of the Chargers' offense. Two weeks ago, he not only didn't have a reception but he wasn't even targeted. That changed on Sunday and maybe Henry showing up on game tape will remind the coaches they're leaving an option underutilized. How underutilized? Henry has two games without a target this year. Yes. That's a concern. So is the presence of Antonio Gates. The price ($3800 on DraftKings; $5200 on FanDuel), however, is not.

I'm Out

Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

This is normally a pretty easy spot to fill. I ask myself who Vikings CB Xavier Rhodes is covering and. ... BOOM! That's my guy. This week, Minnesota is taking on the Bears, so I have to dig a little deeper (yes, a not so veiled shot at Chicago's receiving corps). But not much deeper. Page 2 of the DFS 3 And Out playbook? Who is Cardinals CB Patrick Peterson covering? Okay. ... It might not be quite that simple. But this week it is. And that makes Jeffery is my huckleberry here. Jeffery ($5800 on DraftKings; $7100 on FanDuel) ranks in the top 10 in targets over the last three weeks (Carson Wentz has thrown his way 27 times in that span) and he's garnered 23 percent of all the team's targets this season (second on the Eagles to Zach Ertz's 25 percent). In addition, as Clay put it, "there's a price to pay for being a team's clear No.1 wide receiver, especially when you run 86 percent of your pass routes on the perimeter." That's been the case for Jeffery this season and, this week, that means near-exclusive shadow coverage Peterson, who has shadowed Marvin Jones, T.Y. Hilton, Dez Bryant and Pierre Garcon during Arizona's first four games (with positive results -- for Peterson and the Cardinals; not the receivers). For what it's worth, I'm also on board with the following contention by Clay: "With Peterson attached to Jeffery, Torrey Smith is the DFS tournament sleeper and bye-week WR3/flex fill-in of note. Smith will face Justin Bethel, who has allowed 60 fantasy points this season (fourth most)." Smith's price ($3600 on DraftKings; $5100 on FanDuel) is right.