DFS Three And Out 2022 week 15

By Bob Harris
Bob Harris

It's Week 15 and I see a number of players with tremendous upside at reasonable prices. I've singled three of them out for you and tossed in one that I'm not so keen on. It's the DFS Tournament Three and Out. Let's make some money!




I'm In

Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($6,200 on DraftKings; $7,800 on FanDuel)

There's something to be said for those who are primary pieces of powerhouse offenses. In this case, the piece in question is Sanders and the powerhouse offense belongs to the Eagles. In case you haven't been following along, Philadelphia's dominance of late has been particularly staggering: The Eagles have scored 123 points over the past three games, their most over a three-game span since scoring 125 points in the 1950 season, according to ESPN Stats and Information research. With his first career 1,000-yard rushing season, Sanders is first Eagles running back to hit that mark since LeSean McCoy finished with 1,319 in 2014. Heading into Sunday's game against the Bears, Sanders, who has scored 28-plus PPR fantasy points in two of his past three games, is averaging one rushing touchdown per game over his last eight games. He's played 60.2 percent of his team's offensive snaps for the season, averaging 17.1 touches and 88.7 total yards per outing. As FantasyPros' Derek Brown notes, Sanders is seventh in red zone touches and fifth in total touchdowns. Better still, he'll be facing a Bears defense that saw six different running backs score in double-digits in their four games preceding the bye. Adding to the intrigue, NBC Sports' Matthew Berry notes Chicago has surrendered at least one rushing touchdown in every game this season. Best of all? The price is quite reasonable on both the major platforms.



Mike Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers ($5,900 on DraftKings; $7,200 on FanDuel)

Williams returned from a high ankle sprain that had limited him to only six snaps since Week 7 and caught six passes for 116 yards against the Dolphins. Included among those catches was a 10-yard touchdown that Justin Herbert fired that required the 6-4 Williams to leap high to make the catch before ensuring both toes tapped inbounds, despite his momentum carrying him out the back of the end zone. Meanwhile, as ESPN's Mike Clay points out, the Titans have allowed the most fantasy points to wide receivers this season (almost 42 fantasy points per game), as well as the most points to the perimeter. They sit no better than third in receptions, yards and TDs (18) allowed to the position. Worth noting, there are more than a few big-name wideouts who haven't been performing especially well (and without as favorable matchups) you'll have to pay more for on this week's slate.




Dalton Schultz, TE, Dallas Cowboys ($4,400 on DraftKings; $6,500 on FanDuel)

As Brown noted, since Week 7, Schultz has had a 20.3 percent target share, 50 percent end-zone target share, and 66.5 percent route run rate. With Dak Prescott under center in that stretch, Schultz is the TE6 in fantasy points per game. According to ESPN.com's Tristan H. Cockroft, Schultz "should feast upon this matchup" against a Jaguars team that saw two different Titans tight ends exceed 11 PPR fantasy points and five targets apiece against it in Week 14, the only defense that can claim that in 2022. In fact, Jacksonville is 32nd in DVOA against tight ends allowing the tenth-highest catch rate and the third-highest yards per reception. They've allowed 100-plus yards to tight ends in three of their past four games, and a touchdown to a tight end in three of their past four, as well. So while Schultz isn't the cheapest tight end on the board, relatively speaking, he's still a solid value.




I'm Out

Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars ($5,700 on DraftKings; $7400 on FanDuel)

I'm a Lawrence fan. He's coming off the most productive, promising five-game stretch of his entire career. But as Cockroft suggested, it's important to note how fantasy-friendly his matchups during that time. Lawrence faced the Raiders, Chiefs, Ravens, Lions and Titans, defenses that rank 31st, 29th, 20th, 32nd and 30th against quarterbacks for the season. This isn't to say that he can't put up another productive game against the Cowboys, who Cockroft notes have struggled against perimeter receivers in recent weeks. Cockroft added: "He'll need to follow the Jalen Hurts (18 fantasy points, Week 6) or Justin Fields (27, Week 8) paths to success against the Cowboys, getting things done with his legs, to be a positional top-10 performer. ..." Given all that, this doesn't seem like the matchup to exploit. As Brown put it, "Dallas will be a litmus test for his growth as a quarterback." Lawrence might be perfectly fine and price is certainly reasonable, but I'm not looking to buy into a test.