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DFS Three And Out 2022 week 11
It's Week 11 and I'm looking to tap into the universe of mid-priced wideouts. I like them all. Some more than others. And one even less. It's a DFS Tournament Three and Out. Let's do this!
Tyler Boyd, WR, Cincinnati Bengals ($6,500 on DraftKings; $6,800 on FanDuel)
Ja'Marr Chase is still on crutches this week but hoping for a Week 12 return, so I might as well try to cash in on Boyd in advance of that. Fortunately, I get a great matchup for doing so. As ESPN's Mike Clay notes, the Steelers continue to struggle against the pass, having allowing the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers, including the third most to the perimeter and fourth most to the slot. In the Bengals' first meeting against the Steelers, Boyd pulled in four receptions (on seven targets) for 33 yards and a touchdown. More recently, as FantasyPros' Derek Brown notes, Boyd has enjoyed consistent red-zone involvement. In fact, he's had at least one red-zone target in each of his last three games and Pittsburgh has surrendered three touchdowns to the slot in their last two games.
Devin Duvernay, WR, Baltimore Ravens ($5,000 on DraftKings; $6,000 on FanDuel)
As Jovan Alford of The Sporting News noted, Duvernay has a quiet performance a couple of weeks ago against the Saints, but he should be a factor on Sunday against the Panthers. According to Clay, the Panthers have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points overall and ninth most to the perimeter this season. They've been even worse as of late, having surrendered the third most to the perimeter over the past month. As if that's not enough, top corner Donte Jackson (Achilles) was lost for the season in Week 10. That leaves CJ Henderson, Jaycee Horn and Keith Taylor as the team's perimeter corners and Myles Hartsfield as the slot. Given their limitations, it's fair to expect Carolina to focus on shutting down TEs Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely, leaving Duvernay as the next-best receiving option for Lamar Jackson. As Alford put it, "He's the type of big-play, boom-or-bust value play who can really be a differentiator in DFS tournaments." In addition, Duvernay is a weapon in the return game. In Week 2, he returned a kickoff 103 yards for a touchdown against the Miami Dolphins.
Darius Slayton, WR, New York Giants ($5,000 on DraftKings; $6,300 on FanDuel)
Let's face it, Slayton has been the only viable fantasy option (not named Saquon Barkley or Daniel Jones) in this offense. He's definitely the only viable receiving option. And this is a great matchup. The Lions allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers through 10 weeks. They also allowed the sixth-most receiving yards (179.2) per game to the position. Slayton totaled at least three catches in four of his last five games and has enjoyed a 20.3% target share over that same stretch. He totaled a season-high 95 yards last week and has scored in two of his last three appearances, but he only has three red zone targets this season. As Brown notes, he hasn't benefited from a red-zone target since Week 6. As Brown put it, "If he gets into the end zone this week, it's likely going to have come on a long play." Okay. That's fine. As NBC's Matthew Berry notes that 36% of Slayton's targets have come on deep passes adding a layer of goodness on top of an already great matchup. Turns out Detroit has allowed the most yards on deep passes in the NFL this season.
By the way, I'm not against pivoting to Baltimore's Demarcus Robinson ($4,000 on DraftKings; $5,800 on FanDuel), the Jets Garrett Wilson ($4,900 on DraftKings; $6,200 on FanDuel) or Houston's Nico Collins ($4,100 on DraftKings; $5,900 on FanDuel) in place of any of the above. This range of receiver is a target-rich environment.
Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings ($5,500 on DraftKings; $6,000 on FanDuel)
Let me just say, I generally love supporting my fellow oldsters. And there's an argument to be made to roll out any receiving asset in this price range. As Brown noted, Thielen has 11 red-zone targets this season -- eighth-most in the league. But Berry notes that since the T.J. Hockenson trade, Thielen's target share has dropped from 20% to just 15%. He is also averaging just 10 PPG this season in games in which he doesn't score a touchdown. Assuming Justin Jefferson is healthy, expecting him to remain the focal point of the passing attack -- even going up against Cowboys corner Trevon Diggs -- is more than reasonable. That being the case, Berry reminded readers that only once this season has Dallas allowed 12-plus points to multiple wide receivers in the same game. Adding to the concern, Thielen, with just seven targets in Buffalo last weekend, was well behind Jefferson (16), K.J. Osborn (11) and Hockenson (10) in the pecking order.