DFS GPP STACKS WEEK 10 2021

DRAFTKINGS DFS GPP GAME STACKS - WEEK 10

My cash article is up and running, but let’s use this space to attack some of the top games on the schedule for stacking purposes. As mentioned in the cash writeup, there are some VERY important injury situations to monitor which could change the landscape of the slate dramatically, so be ready to “zag”, as they say. Be sure to catch us on the Football Diehards show on YouTube live on Sunday morning at 10 AM EST as we break down every game!

 

ATLANTA FALCONS AT DALLAS COWBOYS (DAL -9.5, O/U 54.5)

FALCONS
You can attack this game in a few different ways, which gives it major stack appeal in all GPP formats. The Falcons come in at almost 10-point dogs to an angry Dallas squad, but the Falcons are no pushovers offensively either, ranking fifth in offensive DVOA over the last six weeks. Matt Ryan has four 300+ yard games in that span and has thrown for two or more TD passes in all but two games this year. If you follow game script, it means he’ll be throwing a ton, and the Cowboys have allowed the third most FPPG to opposing QBs. Even with Calvin Ridley gone, the passing game hasn’t skipped a beat thanks largely to the explosion of ten-year journeyman Cordarelle Patterson. Mike Davis annoyingly matched Patterson in snaps and touches last week, but this looks like a game where Davis will fade into oblivion (DAL fifth fewest FPPG allowed the RBs) and Patterson’s dual-threat ability will be needed more. Kyle Pitts is also in a smash spot as the target leader sans Ridley, and Dallas has allowed the tenth most FPPG to TEs. I’m also fine with Russell Gage as a pivot off Pitts or Patterson. He’s not an exciting upside play, but he’s only 5k and has 21 targets since they lost Ridley.

COWBOYS
Like last week, Dallas comes into this game with curiously underpriced players. Considering the fact that Atlanta is last in the NFL in both sack rate and QB hit rate, I’m all in on a full Dallas passing stack headlined by Dak Prescott who doesn’t even have an injury tag anymore. Ceedee Lamb and Amari Cooper are primed to run full routes with Dak’s clean pockets, but tread carefully with Amari who is still limited in practice, and Michael Gallup is also expected back. As long as Gallup doesn’t have any strict snap limitations, he’s a homerun GPP play at only $4000. Dalton Schultz is an elite TE option this week with Blake Jarwin on IR. Schultz ran the most routes of any Dallas pass catcher last week (even more than Lamb and Cooper), and Atlanta allows the 12th most FPPG to opposing TEs.

Ezekiel Elliott can be used as a bringback to Falcons stacks, or even as part of full Dallas onslaughts. Last week I said he was bankable for 20+ touches, and of course he fell below that mark for the first time since week 2. I think with the 9.5-point spread and Atlanta allowing the fifth most FPPG to opposing RBs. Tony Pollard has enough touches per game to be viable in MME, but this strikes me as a “Zeke week”

STACK IDEAS
Ryan/Patterson/Pitts w/ Zeke
Ryan/Patterson/Gage w/ Zeke
Ryan/Patterson/Pitts w/ Lamb or Schultz

Dak/Lamb/Cooper w/ Patterson or Pitts
Dak/Lamb/Schultz w/ Patterson or Pitts
Dak/Lamb/Zeke w/ Pitts

MINNESOTA VIKINGS AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (LAC -3.5, 53 O/U)

VIKINGS
Given the way LA has stifled opposing QBs and WRs this year, it would stand to reason that this is not a spot to attack with Minnesota. However, Asante Samuel Jr. and Michael Davis both look like they’re going to sit this one out again which REALLY improves Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen’s matchups against an LAC team that had allowed the second fewest FPPG to opposing WRs. I’m also a fan of Tyler Conklin in this one as the Chargers have basically given up the middle to TEs (fifth most FPPG allowed) while selling out to stop opposing WRs instead. Conklin doesn’t have a floor for cash, but he’s had 14 targets over the last two weeks and is only $3400.

As long as nothing crazy pops up with Dalvin Cook’s legal issues between now and Sunday (it shouldn’t), he has overall RB1 upside in this matchup. The defensive scheme I mentioned about selling out to stop WRs almost always leaves the box very light against RBs, which is a big reason the Chargers have allowed the third most FPPG to RBs. Cook is still in bellcow status, and is my overall favorite GPP option this week with McCaffrey, Taylor, and Najee Harris all coming in with higher expected ownership.

CHARGERS
The Vikings defense is still going to be missing Danielle Hunter, Patrick Peterson, and Harrison Smith for this game, and have been dragged all over the field by Dallas and Baltimore over the last two weeks for 54 points. The Justin Herbert and Keenan Allen connection should be on full display once again, and Allen’s 7k price really is not indicative of his target share or his efficiency. Mike Williams seems to not be healthy, and his box score is showing a reflection of this as well. Even so, the absence of Harrison Smith really creates a hole on the backend, and Williams could take full advantage, so don’t shy away from him in game stacks. Three Chargers TEs finished in the top ten last week, so I’m not at all interested in any of them for game stack purposes here.

Austin Ekeler is matchup-proof due to his efficiency in the passing game, and Minnesota has allowed the 12th most FPPG to opposing RBs. If you throw out the team dud game against the Ravens, Ekeler is averaging 21 toucher per game over a four-week span.

STACK IDEAS
Cousins/Jefferson/Thielen w/ Ekeler or Allen
Cousins/Jefferson/Conklin w/ Ekeler or Allen

Herbert/Allen/Williams w/ Cook
Herbert/Allen/Williams w/ Conklin
Herbert/Allen/Ekeler w/ Jefferson or Thielen
Herbert/Allen/Ekeler w/ Cook

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS (GB -3.5, 49.5 O/U)

SEAHAWKS
I was going to go Bucs/WFT as my third option here, but there’s too much uncertainty with the pass catchers for both teams to feel really confident about it, so we’ll pivot to this one with the assumption that both star QBs return for their respective teams (and it sounds like they will). Russell Wilson is a massive upgrade back at QB from Geno Smith, and DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett both re-enter WR1 potential with Jaire Alexander still not expected back for GB. Metcalf has not practiced this week, but there hasn’t been any talk of concern about him not playing. I imagine they’ll “let Russ cook” in a game Seattle desperately needs if they are to get back in the playoff race.

I’m not interested in any RBs, or any secondary pass catchers for this offense.

PACKERS
Aaron Rodgers is not eligible to rejoin the team until Saturday, but all expectations are that he’ll be cleared to start the next day, which is a GIGANTIC upgrade over Jordan Love who couldn’t do anything against one of the worst defenses in the league in Kansas City. Davante Adams is projecting to be big chalk, but he’s very difficult to fade even in GPPs with an almost 40% target share from Aaron Rodgers. They get MVS back, but the loss of Robert Tonyan should keep Adams’ target share elevated in the same fashion, and Seattle has given up the second most pass plays over 20+ yards. MVS or Lazard are fine as complementary plays to double stack Packers, with MVS being my preference. He was fifth in the NFL in air yards % before going down earlier in the year, and is only $3500. He has double TD upside at an almost free price tag.

Aaron Jones’ price tag has dropped back below $7000 after the game against Kansas City, which really isn’t fair as the entire team dudded with Love at QB. Jones should be back with a vengeance in this one against the Seahawks who have allowed over five YPC and the fourth most FPPG to opposing RBs. Jones had 22 touches in the last game Aaron Rodgers started, and is still decisively running ahead of AJ Dillon in the ground game (68% snap share).

STACK IDEAS
Wilson/Lockett/Metcalf w/ Adams
Wilson/Lockett/Metcalf w/ Jones

Rodgers/Adams/Jones w/ Lockett
Rodgers/Adams/MVS w/ Lockett or Metcalf