DFS Three And Out 2016 week 6

By Bob Harris
Bob Harris Three DFS players I'm investing heavily in for tournament (GPP) play this week. ... And one I'm not.
By Bob Harris

I'm in:

Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks
Yes, he's getting pricey ($4,900 on DraftKings, $6,900 on FanDuel), but Graham has made a remarkable recovery from the ruptured patellar tendon he suffered last November. In fact, Graham is making an even bigger impact than he did last season when the Seahawks struggled to incorporate the former Saints standout into their offense. In fact, Graham leads all NFL tight ends with 213 yards (with a touchdown) over his last two game. According to ESPN.com, the biggest factor is Russell Wilson getting the ball downfield to Graham. So far, 43.8 percent of Graham's catches have come on balls that traveled more than 10 yards downfield. Last year, that number was just 31.3 percent. This week, they go up against an Atlanta defense whose strengths are in their cornerbacks outside. Remember: Greg Olsen, Coby Fleener and Clive Walford combined for 19 catches, 235 yards and three touchdowns over a three-game stretch against the Falcons, who (as ESPN's Matthew Berry pointed out) have allowed at least five catches, 64 yards and a score to tight ends in four of five weeks this season. The high floor and ceiling are worth paying up for to me this week.

Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Satins
The entire world wants a piece of the Panthers-Saints game. And with good reason. But while most of the world will focus on the passing attack, I have an eye on the ground game. The Saints haven't had much success running the ball this season, but they will have to do a better job this week. The Saints are tied for 28th with only 81.8 yards per game, but Ingram could be a key with his ability to pound the ball inside a strength of the Panthers defense because of the presence of middle linebacker Luke Kuechly. A few good runs through the middle could open things up for the passing game. In case you missed it, the Buccaneers took that very approach this past Monday night, with Jacquizz Rodgers, their No. 3 running back thrust into action due to injury, racking up 128 yards against the Panthers defense on 35 touches (including 30 carries for 101 yards). Ingram, meanwhile, has topped the 100-yard mark while scoring a touchdown in each of his last two games (he has 19 touches and 24 touches in back-to-back to weeks after starting the season with 14 and 13). In addition, Ingram has been a bigger factor in the passing attack this season with 16 catches for 125 yards and his first career receiving touchdown through four games this season. You'll have to watch the injury report (Ingram missed Thursday's practice due to illness), but assuming all systems are go on Sunday, I like his price ($6,000 on DraftKings, $6,700 on FanDuel) and all the attention that's likely be placed on other prospects in this one.

Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
This might be the last time we get to call Charles ($5,100 on DraftKings, $7,100 on FanDuel) a relative bargain. Of course, there's reason for that. The workload isn't guaranteed. Charles appears to be in line for more than the 10 snaps and two carries he got against Pittsburgh in his first game back from last year's torn ACL in Week 4. The Chiefs have been very conservative in dealing with his return, but after the bye week and more time to recover -- and with Charles claiming he's "110 percent" and eager to “take it seems like "go" time. And I'm willing to roll those dice since this isn't a cash game lineup. K.C.'s offense has lacked explosive plays, and that's something a healthy Charles can provide. In 11 games against the Raiders in his career, the running back has pedestrian totals: just 915 offensive yards on 159 touches and 10 touchdowns. Where Charles has hit Oakland's defense in Andy Reid's offense has been as a receiver, including a 2013 game in Oakland where he caught eight passes for 195 yards and four touchdowns. His 416 receiving yards against the Raiders is more than any other team in the league. The uncertainty surrounding his role should keep ownership at a reasonable level and the upside is there.

Note: This was a tough week. I want to play everybody. EVERYBODY! Well. Okay. Not everybody, but a lot of guys, including Ben Roethlisberger, Drew Brees, David Carr, Alex Smith, Le'Veon Bell, LeSean McCoy, Todd Gurley, Christine Michael, Antonio Brown, Michael Crabtree, Jeremy Maclin, Tyler Lockett, Travis Kelce, Jesse James, Greg Olsen and Delanie Walker will all make appearances in lineups for me Sunday. Conversely, It was hard to find a player I truly disliked, but...

I'm Out

Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals
Hill didn't fare well the last time he traveled to face the Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Hill, then a rookie, had the worst rushing game of his career, carrying the ball twice for 1 yard. It was, however, statistically the best receiving game of his career, with three catches for 68 yards. But four touches ain't gonna cut it kids. And even though he's no longer a rookie, expecting a great deal more might be a mistake. Last week, Giovani Bernard started over Hill. Bernard did what he does best, and was efficient on the ground and through the air for 96 yards from scrimmage on his 15 touches. Hill only had -- yes, you guessed it -- four touches, as the Bengals were playing from behind almost the entire game. Going up against the Patriots this weekend, NFL.com's fantasy running backs guru Matt Franciscovich expects another Bernard-friendly game script. And it makes sense. Beyond that, Hill (although he practiced fully on Thursday) is nursing a sore shoulder/chest. In addition, the Bengals backfield heading has been, for the most part, ineffective this season with the team averaging 3.6 yards per carry (26th in the NFL) which is exactly what the Patriots give up per carry (tied for 8th-best in the league). Although he's well-priced on one of the major sites ($4,000 on DraftKings), he's much less so on the other ($6,900 on FanDuel). Either way, the list of running backs I'd prefer to play regardless of price is lengthy this week.

Not a big fan of Eli Manning this week, either. But who is right now?