DFS Three And Out 2021 week 12
Happy Thanksgiving kids! And welcome to a special holiday edition of the DFS Tournament Three And Out. This week, I've picked four players stuck in offenses that might be best described as "turkeys." Three of them I'm interested in serving up in my GPP Tournament lineups this week. ... And one I'm not.
Tyrod Taylor, QB, Houston Texans ($5,300 on DraftKings; $7,400 on FanDuel)
I know what you're thinking. How the hell can I recommend a guy who threw for just 107 passing yards last week as a tournament play this week? Well, first of all, because the theme of this week's column is players whose offenses are turkeys. But beyond that, Taylor brings a little something to the table: Mobility. With at least 20 rushing yards in three of his past four starts and three rushing scores over that span, Taylor's floor has been solid. Is there a concern with that? Yes. As ESPN.com's Tristan Cockroft pointed out this week, the Jets have been excellent against mobile quarterbacks all year, most notably holding Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa to a combined 9 yards on five rushing attempts the past two weeks. Of course, neither of them really needed to run. That's because the Jets allow the most passing yards per game (282.2) to opposing quarterbacks. Over the past four weeks, the Jets are allowing touchdown passes at the highest rate in the league, and five of the past six quarterbacks to face them have 20-plus fantasy points. That being the case, I'll remind you Taylor can actually throw. And he has some viable downfield threats, most notably Brandin Cooks, and FantasyPros' Pat Fitzmaurice believes this matchup against New York is about as good as they come for opposing wideouts. So just maybe, this is the week Taylor does more with his arm than legs -- although I'll be happy however I get it.
Elijah Moore, WR, New York Jets ($5,600 on DraftKings; $6,400 on FanDuel)
As Cockroft noted, opponents haven't had to throw especially often against the Texans this year -- their 34.4 pass attempts seen on average ranks 19th -- but when you're a team with the Jets' defensive issues, there's an excellent chance you're going to find yourself in a good number of pass-friendly situations. According to ESPN's Mike Clay, Houston is allowing the most fantasy points to perimeter receivers this season, as well as the third-most fantasy points overall over the past eight weeks. From Weeks 8-10, Moore caught 16 of 20 targets for 195 yards and three TDs. The rookie's best games have come with Mike White, Josh Johnson and Joe Flacco under center. Now the Jets need him to continue that upward swing with fellow rookie Zach Wilson back in the mix.
Evan Engram, TE, New York Giants ($3,800 on DraftKings; $5,500 on FanDuel)
How bad is the Giants' offense? Ask Jason Garrett. Oh wait. He's not there anymore. ... Yes, the Giants bailed on their offensive coordinator and will rely on Freddie Kitchens to take assume that role. Do I think that will materially change this offense for the better? No. That's not happening. Do I think the Giants could catch lighting in a bottle? Have a one-off big game in reaction to a coach being fired? Possibly. What does it all mean for Engram? Nothing. What is meaningful? As Cockroft put it: "The Eagles are this season's automatic as far as tight end matchups are concerned." ESPN's Matthew Berry put a finer point on it when he noted Philadelphia's defense has allowed at least 75 yards or a touchdown to a tight end in nine straight games. Even if he hasn't been targeted as much as I'd like, Engram has scored a touchdown in two of his last three games, Kyle Rudolph seems likely to miss this game with an ankle injury and the price is definitely right.
James Robinson, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars ($6,200 on DraftKings; $7,600 on FanDuel)
There's a lot to like about Robinson this week. First and foremost, he's been consistently, predictably productive. As Berry noted, in every game in which he has had at least 12 touches, Robinson has scored a touchdown, and in the five games in which he has received 15-plus touches, he's averaging 21 fantasy points per game. Berry went on to point out the Falcons are a bottom-three run defense the past four weeks, and with this game basically a toss-up, Robinson has high-end RB1 appeal. But here's the thing: This offense isn't just a turkey, it's a burnt turkey. ESPN.com Jaguars beat writer Mike DiRocco put it like this: "An already limited Jaguars offense is dead in the water without a healthy Robinson, and unfortunately he's going to be battling his knee/heel injuries the rest of the year. He just doesn't have the same burst he did before the injuries. That means the offense is going to be all on Trevor Lawrence's shoulders. That's an unfair ask for a rookie, especially with the Jaguars' unimpressive group of receivers, and it's a burden for which he's not ready." The whole situation makes Robinson unappealing to me this week. Like a gizzard.