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DFS Three And Out 2018 Week 13

By Bob Harris
Bob Harris Three DFS players I'm investing heavily in for tournament (GPP) play this week. ... And one I'm not.



I'm In:

Phillip Lindsay, RB, Denver Broncos ($5,400 on DraftKings; $7,000 on FanDuel)

Don't look now, but Lindsay has 780 rushing yards on the season (adding 167 receiving yards to his rushing total), which is a record for undrafted Broncos rookies and on pace to run for 1,134 yards this season. That would leave him 30 yards ahead of former Colt Dominic Rhodes for the most rushing yards ever by an undrafted rookie. This week, he goes up against a Bengals defense that allows 147.5 yards rushing per game. While Royce Freeman is back in the mix, Lindsay has emerged as the primary back. As ESPN.com's Tristan H. Cockroft noted, over the last two weeks Lindsay totaled 25 rushing attempts to Freeman's 13, 62 offensive snaps played to Freeman's 26, 30 routes run to Freeman's 11 and five passing targets to Freeman's one. Lindsay (7.4) also averaged more than four yards per touch more than Freeman (3.4) during that span and there's absolutely no reason to believe that changes this weekend. Which is good news. As ESPN's Matthew Berry notes, during the past four weeks, the Bengals are giving up a league-high 198.3 rushing yards per game and the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs (39.4). They've been especially generous when it comes to giving up chunk yardage, having allowed 18 rushing plays of 10-plus yards during the past five weeks. As Berry pointed out, 43.7 percent of Lindsay's carries have gained five-plus yards this season. Among running backs with 100 carries this season, only Aaron Jones has been better. Also among all running backs with 100 carries this season, only one will go up against the Bengals this weekend. Lindsay is it and he’s it at a very reasonable price.

Robert Foster, WR, Buffalo Bills ($3,300 on DraftKings; $5,500 on FanDuel)

For a second-straight week, Foster provided the biggest play of the game for Buffalo's offense. Against the Jaguars this past Sunday, it was a 75-yard scoring strike from Josh Allen. Foster came close to posting back-to-back 100-yard receiving games as he finished with 94 yards on two receptions Sunday. Between his 105-yard effort in Week 10 against the Jets and his showing against the Jaguars, Foster's last five receptions went for 47, 43, 15, 75 and 19 yards. The concern this week? Miami cornerback Xavien Howard continues to emerge as a shutdown corner. He had four interceptions last season and five this year, including two this past week against Andrew Luck of the Indianapolis Colts. Still, Foster's big-play ability is hard for me to ignore. For the season, he has seven catches for a whopping 229 yards and a 32.7 average. In addition, Foster, signed as an undrafted free agent out of Alabama where current Bills play caller Brian Daboll was the offensive coordinator last year, played 33 snaps this past Sunday - 10 more than former No. 1 receiver Kelvin Benjamin. And the cherry on the cake? Foster remained in Buffalo over the team's bye to work with Allen on the QB's then-ongoing rehab; it's possible that extra work with Allen is paying off for Foster and it could pay off for you, too.

Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($8,100 on DraftKings; $7,900 on FanDuel)

The Panthers are banged up in the secondary and had to make adjustments on the fly last week. They allowed too many receivers to find openings down the field and, as the Sports Xchange noted this week, that's something that Evans will try to take advantage of. If cornerback James Bradberry is healthy, he likely draws the assignment on Evans. Remember: Evans was targeted 10 times in the Bucs' first meeting with the Panthers and caught only one pass for 16 yards, one of his worst games as a pro. Credit cornerback James Bradberry, who did an excellent job in coverage. But Evans has posted 100 or more receiving yards in the past two games and the Panthers defense has fallen on hard times. In fact, in the three games since the first meeting between these teams -- all Panthers losses -- Carolina's pass defense has allowed an NFL-worst 8-0 TD-INT ratio and a 128.6 passer rating, second-worst in the NFL from Weeks 10-12, per Next Gen Stats. The team's inability to get pressure on opposing QBs has put increased pressure on the Panthers' defensive backs, who have struggled in recent weeks -- particularly their cornerbacks who have yield a 144.8 passer rating to opposing QBs in Weeks 10-12 (up from 84.2 in Weeks 1-9). The Panthers have allowed multiple receiver touchdowns in three of their past four games. Evans, the franchise leader with 37 touchdown catches who became the third player ever to go over 1,000 yards receiving in each of his first five seasons, will be seeking revenge Sunday. And I do like me a narrative game.

I'm Out

Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants ($7,800 on DraftKings; $8,200 on FanDuel)

Could this be retribution for Beckham coming up short as one of my "Three" in last week's edition of the "Three and Out?" Maybe it is. And maybe it is. ... Okay. Not really, but. ... While the Giants will certainly move Beckham around the formation as they usually do, he figures to line up mostly against Kyle Fuller, the Bears' top cornerback. Fuller, who among cornerbacks who have been involved with at least 50 percent of their team's coverage snaps, has allowed opposing receivers 45 receptions (out of 75 pass targets) for 554 yards and four touchdowns with five interceptions, team bests among the Bears' corners. Fuller has been especially tough against deep passes, an area in which Beckham has done well in this year, catching nine out of 10 catchable deep balls for 303 yards and two touchdowns. Meanwhile, as Berry pointed out, Beckham has failed to catch more than five passes in three straight games, the first time he has done that since his first three games in the NFL. But this goes beyond Beckham. It's also about Eli Manning, who has come up short more ofte3n than not this season, going up against a Chicago defense led by linebacker Khalil Mack, who has eight sacks and five forced fumbles. While it's true, after allowing seven sacks to Washington, the Giants have gone on to give up seven sacks total in the last three games, it's also true that Mack has been able to rush any opponent.