DFS GPP STACKS WEEK 13 2021

Check out my cash article on Football Diehards now to get all the top per dollar plays, regardless of ownership. For that tournament-winning upside, you’re going to need to find the proper leverage to those plays, and game stacking is a key way to do so. I’ll be discussing this tonight on our DFS preview show on www.youtube.com/footballdiehards tonight at 8:30 EST, and tune in on Sunday at 10 AM EST as we go game by game. Good luck!

 

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (CIN -3, O/U 51)

CHARGERS
There are no slate-breaking O/U’s in that 55-56 range on this slate, so it’s important to find the ones that have the upside to get there in potential shootouts, and this one stands out. Justin Herbert has been wildly inconsistent of late which takes him out of the conversation for cash games, but his talent and upside is perfect for GPPs (and he’s still the overall QB4 on the season). Keenan Allen has a tough matchup against slot CB Mike Hilton, but he has 58 targets over the past five games and his aDOT has risen almost two yards over that span. With the Bengals being more vulnerable to the big play, Mike Williams looks closer to the “boom” side of “boom or bust” in this one. Both can be double-stacked with Herbert, and I am not interested in any TEs.

Austin Ekeler is the top play from this offense. I spoke about him on the radio with the Football Diehards last night and he’s my favorite GPP option regardless of stacking, but his pass game role is amazing (third most receptions and most receiving yards for RBs). The Bengals have allowed almost eight receptions per game out of the backfield, and Ekeler has the upside to be the overall top skill player on this slate.

BENGALS
The passing game is facing as tough a matchup as it gets this week as the Chargers always focus their defensive gameplan to stop WRs (second fewest FPPG allowed to the position). That said, there is still upside to low-owned players in this passing game as Cincy still ranks first in plays per game. If they break through, you gain serious leverage on the field. Tee Higgins outshined Ja’Marr Chase (who has looked like a total rookie lately) but both can be stacked with Burrow. Tyler Boyd also has technically the best matchup of the three as LAC is stout on the perimeter but softer in the slot.

Joe Mixon is the one you want in this one. He’s averaged 28.9 DK PPG over the last four while logging 62 touches in the last two. As good as the Chargers are against the pass, they are equally bad against the rush, allowing the fourth most FPPG to the position, 4.9 YPC, and 15 TDs.

STACK IDEAS
Herbert/Allen/Williams w/ Mixon
Herbert/Allen/Ekeler w/ Mixon

Burrow/Chase/Higgins w/ Ekeler
Burrow/Chase/Boyd w/ Ekeler

Mixon + Ekeler (no passing)

WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM AT LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (LV -1.5, O/U 49.5)

WFT
This is more a stack about the condensed offense than about loading up on standout plays. The Raiders have been plummeting in all defensive ranks, most notably the pass where they were stout to begin the year. Taylor Heinecke has thrown the ball over 32 times in two of his past three games and is a borderline QB1 in this one. Throw in the cheap price tag and you’re able to pair him and pass catchers while rostering top tier RBs and WRs. Terry McLaurin’s aDOT has been alarmingly low the last two weeks, but he still dominates the team in both target share and air yards share and will come in underowned. Logan Thomas’ return immediately came with a 77% snap share and six targets, and the Raiders have fallen all the way to allowing the second most FPPG to opposing TEs. The rest of the pass catchers are in play, but it’s a fool’s errand to try and predict their usage.

Antonio Gibson is set up to smash in this one with JD McKissic looking on the doubtful side of questionable with a concussion and neck injury. Gibson has touch counts of 36, 19, and 26 over the last three contests during WFT’s three-game win streak, and he had seven targets last game, which would presumably be his passing floor. Vegas has also allowed the fifth most FPPG to opposing RBs and 5.2 YPC.

RAIDERS
The Raiders are desperate for playmakers with Darren Waller likely out and Henry Ruggs gone from the team, so their upside is not the greatest, but the matchup sure is. Washington has ranked 30th in pressure rate since losing Chase Young, and has allowed the most FPPG to QBs and the fourth most FPPG to WRs. Unfortunately as far as WRs go, the Raiders’ crew is simply awful, as Bryan Edwards and Zay Jones can’t get any separation. Foster Moreau is a cash lock but there’s really no reason to fade him in GPPs as a free square. Since Jon Gruden was fired, the Raiders are second in the league in play action rate so Kenyan Drake has some appeal in this one as well

STACK IDEAS
Heinecke/McLaurin/Thomas w/ Moreau
Heinecke/McLaurin/Gibson w/ Moreau

Carr/Moreau w/ Gibson

BUCCANEERS ONSLAUGHT (TB team total 33, Bucs -10.5)

This is rare instance where you don’t need a runback (as nothing on Atlanta’s roster scream that anyway outside of maybe Cordarelle Patterson), but Brady and company really warrant your attention here. Atlanta ranks last in sack rate, 31st in pressure rate, and 30th in QB hit rate, and Brady with clean pockets has 4-5 TD upside. Antonio Brown remains out, but Brady will still have Evans, Godwin, and Gronk at his disposal, along with Fournette out of the backfield. Fournette had over an 80% snap share in his epic game last week, and the Falcons have allowed the seventh most FPPG to opposing RBs.

STACK IDEAS
Brady/Godwin/Evans
Brady/Godwin/Gronk
Brady/Evans/Gronk

Fournette can be subbed into any stack, and Cordarelle Patterson is the most logical bringback if you want to play one.