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DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2019 Week 6

By Kyle Dvorchak
Kyle Dvorchak

Quarterback



Lamar Jackson, Baltimore

Jackson has been in a bit of a slump lately and a large factor in that has been turnovers. Jackson has been under pressure more in the past two weeks-he's been sacked nine times compared to six in his first three games-and in turn, he's given the ball to his opponents more frequently. In his first three outings, Jackson did throw a single interception or fumble once. Since then, he's been picked off five times and fumbled twice.

This week he should have clean pockets all day as the Ravens face the Bengals at home. The Bengals are tied for the fourth-fewest sacks in the NFL at six, less than 1.5 per game.

With that threat managed, Jackson is in line for a monster performance. He's averaging 254.2 passing yards per game and 61.6 rushing yards per game. All Jackson needs is to find the end zone a few times against an atrocious defense and he could lead all passers in scoring this week.

Running Back

Alvin Kamara, New Orleans
Similar to Jackson, Kamara has fallen out of the good graces of DFS players (read: reduced ownership) and many people are blaming Teddy Bridgewater. Despite the change in quarterback, his volume has remained unchanged since last year.

Kamara in 2018:
  • 12.9 carries per game
  • 5.4 receptions per game
Kamara with Bridgewater:
  • 15.5 carries per game
  • 4.8 receptions per game

The boost in carries more than makes up for a slight decrease in targets. This week, Kamara gets to face Jacksonville. Christian McCaffrey exposed their defense in Week 5 but they had been beaten by prior to that last week as well. Houston and Kansas City rushed for 100 yards against the Jags as well.
Kamara's recent downswing in fantasy points makes him the perfect tournament play while his volume keeps him high on the list of backs to consider in cash. Just play Kamara this week.

Damien Williams, Kansas City

The showdown between Kansas City and Houston currently has a 54.5-point total. Many will look to the passing game for Kansas City but the Chiefs have already anointed their lead-back, which makes him an immense value. That back is Damien Williams. In his first game back from an injury, Williams was their first choice by a wide margin in terms of snaps:
  • Damien Williams - 55.6% of the team's snaps
  • LeSean McCoy - 22.2%
  • Darrel Williams - 22.2%

    • Damien carried the ball nine times, McCoy only rushed twice, and Darrel did not record a touch.
    Kansas City is favored by five points and they might be without Sammy Watkins and Tyreek Hill. If that's the case, Damien could see an uptick in carries in the highest-scoring game of the week.

    Wide Receiver

    Deandre Hopkins, Houston Texans

    After busting as mega-chalk with a quiet, 7-88-0 line in Week 5, Hopkins is sure to come at more reasonable ownership despite his weekly ceiling. He's still first on the Texans with 44 targets and 28% target share. Those marks are sixth and third in the NFL respectively.
    Running Hopkins back with Williams will be an especially unique way to attack the game that is certain to get the most attention on the Week 6 main slate.

    Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals

    Lamar Jackson is a great tournament play but finding out who to stack him with is a problem. Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews are dealing with injuries. Even if they play, the duo could be on a snap count to keep them healthy throughout the season. Instead, might I direct you to the receiver with the third-most targets through five weeks, Tyler Boyd.
    Last week, without A.J. Green or John Ross in the lineup, Boyd 37% market share of targets, second behind only Will Fuller.
    Vegas expects the Bengals to lose by double-digit points which sets them up to pass even more than they already have-over 70% of their plays have been passes.

    Tight End

    Gerald Everett, LA Rams

    The Rams have begun to install Everett as an every-down player into their offense and it's time to capitalize before his price jump. He was in on 81% of the Rams' offensive snaps while Tyler Higbee played on just 56%.
    In the past two weeks, he's seen a 16% markets share of LA's targets and a 17% share of the team's air yards. This week, the LA/San Francisco game has a 50.5-point total. Taking Everett over or in addition to Cooper Kupp is a way to attack this game with a different lineup build.

    Defense

    Kansas City

    The Chiefs are one of the riskiest defense plays on the slate but they'll also see a lot of volume. For a defense, volume is simply the number of plays they'll face. Despite Deshaun Watson's greatness, he's also prone to getting sacked frequently. Watson has been sacked 18 times, fourth-most in the NFL. Since Week 1, the Chiefs have averaged 2.8 sacks per game.
    The Chiefs could give up thirty and crush your lineup in an instant. However, they'll also have multi-sack, and in turn, multi-turnover upside.