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DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2020 Week 8

By Kyle Dvorchak

Quarterback

Aaron Rodgers, GB

Rodgers' $7,600 tag on DraftKings should keep his ownership in check this week with a lot of cheap QB values floating around. That's good for his tournament prospects as the Packers have an implied team total of 30 points this week. That mark is second to only the Chiefs. Rodgers has thrown four touchdowns in three games this season and his tacking options are fairly simple between a No. 1 receiver and a few ancillary pieces.

Ryan Tannehill, TEN

Tannehill's Titan's have the third-highest implied team total but most of the ownership on Titans players is going to gravitate toward Derrick Henry. Because Tennessee's defense is composed primarily of a few paper mache men bound together with tape, they have allowed over 25 points per game. If that trend continues and Cincinnati is able to put up points, Tannehill will have to throw more than usual and could post his fourth game of three or more passing scores.

Running Back

Darrell Henderson, LAR

The Rams run the ball on 51% of their plays, the fourth-highest rate in the NFL. Henderson has led the backfield in carries for three straight weeks while also seeing two targets per game over that span. Los Angles are four-point favorites versus Miami this week. That means they should be in the lead but not burying the Dolphins. That sets up perfectly for a fast-paced running attack as the Rams are eighth in situational neutral pace (28.8 seconds per play). Henderson needs to break off a long run to win tournaments but give him 20 carries and that becomes a distinct possibility.

Alvin Kamara, NO

It's important to know when it's okay to eat chalk in tournaments. This week it's okay to play chalky Kamara in tournaments. Kamara is pacing for 123 receptions, 1227 receiving yards, and 8 receiving touchdowns on the year. His receptions and yardage totals would be NFL records for a back. The yardage mark would be by a stunning 179 yards. He'll be popular but could still give leverage over Derrick Henry in the same price range.

Wide Receiver

Tyler Boyd, Cin

There has a run-back receiver in the Milly Maker winning lineup in nearly every week this year. Last week, the winning lineup stacked Russel Wilson with Tyler Lockett and ran it back with DeAndre Hopkins. This week, if Tannehill is going to be the winning passer, Tyler Boyd makes the best option on the opposite team. A.J. Green and Tee Higgins both project to be more popular despite Boyd leading the Bengals in targets (61), receptions (48), and receiving yards (517).

D.K. Metcalf, SEA

Whenever the opportunity arises to take advantage of peoples' recency bias, we take advantage of it. Tyler Lockett posted one of the best games ever in Week 7 with a 15/200/3 line. Metcalf still leads the team in air yards with nearly a 200-air yard gap between him and Lockett. He's out-scored Lockett in four games this year and projects for a fraction of the ownership.

Tight End

Hunter Henry, LAC

Henry has been held to 50 or fewer yards in four straight games and hasn't topped 15 fantasy points once this season. The underlying volume required for a blowup spot has been there thorough. He's averaging seven targets per game and is second on the Chargers in red zone targets. Henry is a cheap tight end who offers leverage off the Keenan Allen and expensive tight end chalk.

Harrison Bryant, CLE

Bryant is only in play if Austin Hooper (appendicitis) misses Week 8 but he'll be a starting tight end for $3,200 if Hooper is ruled out. With Hooper sidelined last week, Bryant caught four of five targets for 56 yards and two scores. He was on the field for 77% of Cleveland's snaps. Bryant is in play for cash because of his role and price but doesn't appear to be garnering much tournament popularity. In a game with a 53.5-point total, he should be in play in all formats.

Defense

Browns Defense

Derek Carr projects as the most-popular passer on the week despite traveling east to face Myles Garrett and the Browns defense. Cleveland is averaging 2.6 sacks and two turnovers per game. Those marks are 10th and first respectively. Using them to kill Carr lineups is the ideal leverage play.