TheHunterReport DFS Week 20 2016

By Dave Hunter
This is it – your last chance to lock in on a NFL DFS lineup! Crazy season, huh? It’s going to be sad to see it end. Still, we’ve come so far yet again. It’s been a pleasure writing this piece for FootballDiehards.com.

For those that have been loyal to this column I really, really dig you. Thanks a bunch and good luck this final DFS week.

With the NFL slate being whittled away due to the regular season ending, you’ll see that my piece is altered some. I will only be listing the Top Level and Value plays at each position, while adding Mid-Range choices when appropriate. As always, I’m using DraftKings.com salaries for reference.

Let’s get to it!

QUARTERBACK


Top Level

Matt Ryan, ATL vs. Green Bay Packers ($7,700) – It’s sort of a toss-up between Ryan and Aaron Rodgers. You really can’t go wrong with either quarterback considering matchups and how well they are playing right now. I give Ryan the edge purely due to lower salary. Still, it’s not like it’s a huge gap regarding salary. So if you want Rodgers, lock him in if you want. I expect to see a high-scoring game where Ryan connects with Julio Jones often.

Other choices: Aaron Rodgers, GB @ Atlanta Falcons ($7,700)

Value

Tom Brady, NE vs. Pittsburgh Steelers ($7,100) – I’m not crazy about Big Ben Roethlisberger heading into New England, so I’m not going to list him here just because of his $5.8K salary. Brady is a decent value though considering what he has done historically in the playoffs. I really like Brady as a value-play for tournaments or GPP lineups. There’s a chance that most of the DFS world will be going with either Aaron Rodgers or Matt Ryan, so Brady’s ownership percentage may be fairly low – just what you need for GPP play.

Other choices: None

RUNNING BACK


Top Level

Le'Veon Bell, PIT @ New England Patriots ($10,300) – Bell goes down $200 this week, although he still sits at an astronomical price. I’m not sure you’re going to fit him into your lineup if you’re going with a top QB and WR, so it’s going to be tough. I really can’t let this week’s piece pass without slotting Bell here, but it’s up to you to decide if you can afford to pay for him.

Other choices: None

Mid-Range

Devonta Freeman, ATL vs. Green Bay Packers ($7,200) – Freeman will get plenty of opportunities to run and catch the ball out of the backfield. You have to figure Tevin Coleman will cut into Freeman’s production somewhat; however, not enough to where I’m shying away. I see at least one TD in Freeman’s weekend future. Get him into cash lineups for sure, and slotting him into GPP lineups is okay too considering his 18.4 FPPG average and with his decent ceiling.

Other choices: None

Value

LeGarrette Blount, NE vs. Pittsburgh Steelers ($4,400) – This is the perfect time to get on board with Blount, with how awful he played last week and with Dion Lewis getting most of the action. Knowing Coach Bill Belichick’s history of keeping opponents guessing when it comes to his RBs, I’m all-in risking a lineup with Blount in GPP play. The price is pretty sweet, wouldn’t you say? You’re going to need a guy like this to have a great day to take home cash anyhow.

Other choices: Ty Montgomery, GB vs. Atlanta Falcons ($5,600); Dion Lewis, NE vs. Pittsburgh Steelers ($5,300); Tevin Coleman, ATL vs. Green Bay Packers ($4,400)

WIDE RECEIVER


Top Level

Julio Jones, ATL vs. Green Bay Packers ($8,200) – Jones is the premier play at WR this week. His price tag isn’t outrageous or anything and Ryan will target him a ton. You have to get over the fact that Jones is fighting a toe injury, but we all know he’ll be ready to go with so much on the line. I like Jones for cash games mostly; however, you’re going to need one big-time WR in your lineup and he’s the one I’m targeting.

Other choices: Antonio Brown, PIT @ New England Patriots ($8,800); Julian Edelman, NE vs. Pittsburgh 0Steelers ($7,300)

Mid-Range

Randall Cobb, GB @ Atlanta Falcons ($5,900) – There’s not much of a chance that Jordy Nelson will play this weekend, so I like Cobb and Davante Adams. Both are expected to benefit greatly in a shootout game. Cobb is a bit riskier in my mind, compared to Adams, but the salary is solid at $5.9K. Cobb will certainly be the underneath guy while Adams is Aaron Rodgers’ main downfield target.

Other choices: Davante Adams, GB @ Atlanta Falcons ($6,600)

Value

Eli Rogers, PIT @ New England Patriots ($3,400) – We all know that Antonio Brown is Ben Roethlisberger’s main target, although I see Rogers getting into the mix some. If Brown gets shut down early on, the Steelers are going to need a second option in the passing game. With Rogers’ salary at $3.4K and the risk involved, he’s a great GPP play.

Other choices: Taylor Gabriel, ATL vs. Green Bay Packers ($4,900); Mohammed Sanu, ATL vs. Green Bay Packers ($4,500)

TIGHT END


Top Level

Jared Cook, GB @ Atlanta Falcons ($5,100)

Value

Martellus Bennett, NE vs. Pittsburgh Steelers ($3,300)

Jesse James, PIT @ New England Patriots ($2,700)


Good luck! Feel free to stalk me on Twitter: @TheRolyPolyBoy

John Laub

Jen Ryan

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Dave Hunter