The Scholars Surreptitious CFF Starters Week 12

By John Laub
John Laub




     The Scholar’s Surreptitious Starters

              College Fantasy Football: Week 12





Holton Ahlers, East Carolina vs. UConn: O/U 68.5 & ECU -17
Fantrax Ownership Percentage: 15%
The Huskies defense has been generous to CFF diehards all season, and there is no reason to stop now. The freshman signal caller effortlessly totals over 25 points against UConn.
Opponent Rank vs. Pass: #127
Opponent Passing TDs Allowed: #28

Jett Duffey, Texas Tech at Kansas State: O/U 57 & Texas Tech -6.0
Fantrax Ownership Percentage: 28%
The Red Raiders’ aerial assault is a weekly thanksgiving feast, and Jett Duffey takes command behind center after an impressive outing against Texas. Expect another impressive game against the Wildcats.
Opponent Rank vs. Pass: #91
Opponent Passing TDs Allowed: 18

Ian Book, Notre Dame vs. Syracuse: O/U 63 & Notre Dame -10.5
Fantrax Ownership Percentage: 41%
Ian Book did not play last week versus Florida State, but is likely to suit up against the Orange in a scrumptious matchup on Saturday. The Fighting Irish are in line for a CFP invitation, and Book leads Notre Dame to victory with over 275 passing yards and three touchdowns.
Opponent Rank vs. Pass: #107
Opponent Passing TDs Allowed: 15

Running Backs

Isaiah Bowser, Northwestern at Minnesota: O/U 50 & Northwestern -2.5
Fantrax Ownership Percentage: 14%
How hot is Isaiah Bower over the past four weeks? He is the twenty-third ranked runner while averaging 28 carries for 120 yards per game with four touchdowns. I’ll bet on Bowser replicating those numbers again versus the Golden Golphers. 
Opponent Rank vs. Run: #81
Opponent Rushing TDs Allowed: 16


Michael Carter, North Carolina at Western Carolina: O/U 80 & North Carolina -30
Fantrax Ownership Percentage: 5%
The Tar Heels host the Catamounts, an FCS program in the Southern Conference, and the Western Carolina defense has surrendered over 40 points per game. Easy pickings for the North Carolina ground game and Michael Carter on Saturday.
Opponent Rank vs. Run: FCS program
Opponent Rushing TDs Allowed: FCS program

Reggie Gallaspy, North Carolina State at Louisville: O/U 63.5 & NC State -16.5
Fantrax Ownership Percentage: 20
After the firing of Coach Bobby Petrino, the Louisville program is in disarray, and the Cardinals are huge road underdogs. In the second half of the game, North Carolina should be playing ahead, and Gallaspy likely garners over 20 carries in the game for the fourth time this season.
Opponent Rank vs. Run: #127
Opponent Rushing TDs Allowed: 32

Wide Receivers


Darnell Mooney, Tulane at Houston: O/U 68 & Houston -10
Fantrax Ownership Percentage: 23%
Whenever an Over/Under is sky high, I immediately look at the defensive rankings of both teams. Clearly, the Houston secondary is the unit to attack with Tulane assets on the waiver wire. Receiver Darnell Mooney leads the Green Wave in catches (41), yards (829) and touchdowns (7) and will be heavily targeted versus the Cougars.
Opponent Rank vs. Pass: #130
Opponent Passing TDs Allowed: 17

Cody White, Michigan State at Nebraska: O/U 49.5 & Michigan State -2
Fantrax Ownership Percentage: 6%
Cody White missed four games in October after suffering a broken hand against Central Michigan. He returned two weeks ago and has snatched 10 passes for 135 yards in the past two games. I expect this game to surpass the Las Vegas Over/Under total, and White reaches the end zone on seven catches.
Opponent Rank vs. Pass: #101
Opponent Passing TDs Allowed: 13

A.J. Richardson, Boise State at New Mexico: O/U 62.5 & Boise State -19.5
Fantrax Ownership Percentage: 38% 
The senior home run hitter averages over 16 yards per reception and has scored eight touchdowns on 44 receptions. The Lobos will not slow down the Broncos' deep passing game with quarterback Brett Rypien and receivers A.J. Richardson and Sean Modster.
Opponent Rank vs. Pass: #122
Opponent Passing TDs Allowed: 20

Defensive Rankings to Exploit

  Total Defense   Passing Defense   Rushing Defense  
1 UConn 49.3 Houston 314.1 17 UConn 331.2 38
2 Oregon St. 45.1 NC State 305.3 16 Bowling Green 296.0 38
3 Bowling Green 43.0 Texas Tech 293.9 24 Louisville 282.3 32
4 New Mexico State 42.3 UConn 292.4 28 New Mexico State 276.3 32
5 Louisville 42.1 Illinois 285.0 25 Oregon St. 271.5 28
6 UMass 40.8 Ole Mississippi 283.8 22 UMass 261.0 32
7 Old Dominion 39.0 Wake Forest 282.7 21 Georgia St. 250.8 26
8 Liberty 39.0 Purdue 281.8 14 Illinois 247.9 26
9 South Alabama 38.9 New Mexico 280.9 20 South Florida 247.2 26
10 San Jose State 38.7 Tulane 278.9 19 Liberty 236.1 23

Highest Over/Under Totals

  Visitor Home O/U Favorite
1 West Virginia Oklahoma St. 73 WVU -4.5
2 Memphis SMU 72.5 MEM -8.5
3 UNLV Hawaii 69.5 HAW -6.5
4 LA-Monroe Arkansas St. 68.5 ARK -8
5 UConn East Carolina 68.5 ECU -17
6 Tulane Houston 67.5 HOU -10