DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2020 Week 6
Matt Ryan, Atlanta
Ryan projects to be among the five most popular passers this week but his ownership is worth eating if it means getting access to the Atlanta/Minnesota game. The contest features a 54.5-point total and the Falcons are underdogs to Pro Football Focus's lowest-graded defense. The Falcons play at the second-fastest pace in the league (24.36 seconds per play). They have also passed on 62.4% of their plays, No. 11 in the league. Ryan should play fast and throw often once again this week.
Nick Foles, Chicago
Chicago has surprisingly played similarly to Atlanta in terms of their pass/run ratio. They have passed on 64.6% of their plays, fourth-most in the entire league. This is despite the fact that the Bears have won all but one game and they still kept their loss to the Colts within one possession. After investing in a Day 2 running back and spending on defense, the Bears are still doing their best to craft a modern NFL offense. For Foles and his receivers, this keeps them in play for tournaments.
Mike Davis, Carolina
Davis is projecting as one of the most popular running back plays of the week and ownership should generally be avoided when possible in tournaments. At his $7,000 price, Davis cannot be avoided, even in GPPs. Knowing when to eat chalk is one of the hallmarks of an effective tournament player and with Davis, there are no other ways to get this kind of workload. He's being used like Christian McCaffrey but is priced like a lesser back. He's averaging 15 carries and a whopping 7.3 catches in three games as Carolina's starter. Davis only costs $7,000 on DraftKings.
Myles Gaskin, Miami
The Dolphins are 10-point favorites at home to the Jets and have an implied team total of 28.75 points. That mark is the second-highest on the entire main slate. Gaskin mixed in as a committee back to start the season but has completely taken over as the lead back in Miami in recent weeks. He's seen 70.8% of the running back carries and 63.6% of the running back targets. As a workhorse back on a team favored by double-digits, Gaskin is in an ideal spot this week.
Calin Ridley, Atlanta
Julio Jones' status for Week 6 is up in the air. If he's active, his $6,700 would be worth the risk of re-injury. With or without Jones, Ridley is worth paying up for at $7,800. He owns a .65 WOPR (a weighted mix of target share and air yards share). That makes him the No. 11 receiver in terms of usage from his offense. Given the Falcons' propensity to pass frequently, that level of usage makes him one of the best fantasy plays of the week and a necessary stack with Ryan.
Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney, Chicago
Foles offers nothing with his legs so he deserves to be double-stacked with his pass-catchers in tournaments lineups. Robinson and Mooney have both seen impressive target totals under Foles as the replacement passer or the starter:
* Mooney - 6.3 targets per game
* Robinson - 13 targets per game
Robinson has at least 90 yards in all three games with Foles. Mooney's volume is less monstrous but he's only $3,000 on DraftKings. Robinson is a must-play in Foles lineups and Mooney is the ideal punt play this week.
Irv Smith Jr., Minnesota
Adam Thielen is going to be a popular option on his own and as a runback with Ryan stacks. He's worth considering in that role but Smith stepped up last week and could be the ideal pivot off Thielen. He saw five targets and played on 68% of the Vikings' offensive snaps in Week 5. His target total was a high for him dating back to Week 10 to 2019. Smith is at the minimum price of $2,500 on DraftKings.
Mike Gesicki, Miami
Much like Gaskin, the matchup and implied total Miami will have this week put Gesicki in play at tight end. The expensive options are all middling plays this week but still project for high ownership. Gesicki is in the same price range at $5,500 but figures to be significantly less popular.
Joe Flacco started in Week 5 and was not an upgrade over Sam Darnold in any way. He completed just 54.6% of his passes and averaged 5.9 yards per attempt. He also took a sack on 5.7% of his dropbacks. The Dolphins are massive favorites at home. Turnovers and shortened drives could further propel Gesicki and Gaskin to good games. Both can be stacked with the Miami defense.