DFS Bobby Gomes Tournament Breakdown Week 9 2018

By Bobby Gomes
Bobby Gomes
Week 8
Tournament BreakDown:

In tournaments we are ultimately trying to differentiate between “Good” and “Bad” Chalk. Chalk for those who don’t know is considered the favorite. In DFS the chalk would be considered the player or players who are going to receive the highest ownership on a given slate. In tournaments we are deciding if we should roster the chalk or fade it with a more high variance player in an effort to gain leverage over the field. Outside of game selection the best DFS players are usually the best at differentiating between “Good” and “Bad” Chalk.


Drew Brees (6,100) (Projected Ownership 9-12%) (Overweight)

Since Mark Ingram’s return, the Saints have gone back to pounding the rock. ThaT passing game should open up here in this one as the Rams funnel to the pass. This game has all the makings of a shootout and the Brees should have positive gamescript in a great game environment.

Jared Goff (6,000) (Projected Ownership 13-16%) (With the Field)

Goff’s numbers on the road are like night and day compare to his numbers at home. Goff is averaging around 30 DK points on the road to 15.5 on the road. I would probably recommend being underweight on Goff if he wasn’t playing in the Superdome which is the Coors field of the NFL with a total of 60.

Ryan Fitzpatrick (5,500) (Projected Ownership 5-8%) (Overweight)

Fitz Magic is back and he gets a Bucs secondary that can be attacked at a great price tag. Cam is the quarterback who is going to get the most love in this game and should be the premium option in cash games, but FitzPatrick has the positive gamescript and going against a secondary that is one of the worst teams in football defending against the deep ball.

Running Backs:

Christian McCaffrey (7,800) (Projected Ownership 13-16%) (Underweight)

Figures McCaffrey and Newton finally go off versus the Ravens… In tournaments I think you have to fade one of the big three running backs. If Gerald Mccoy plays I’ll probably be consider fading McCaffrey or being underweight but as of right now i’ll probably be overweight.

Alvin Kamara (7,300) (Projected Ownership 26-30%) (Overweight)

Kamara is way to cheap on DraftKings. Kamara is 7,300 but should be in the mid 8’s due to his pricing. The reason Kamara is so cheap is because since Mark Ingram’s return they been splitting carries at nearly a 60/40 split, but Kamara is so efficient with his carries and is also receiving the majority of goal line work.

Todd Gurley (9,500) (Projected Ownership 30-40%) (With the Field)

Gurley’s is the highest usage player in one of the highest totaled games we have ever seen in the NFL, and his price has gone down. The argument can be made to fade Gurley in tournaments at such high ownership, but with him actually coming down in price and the total in this game being what it is i would just roll him out with the field.

Wide Receivers:

Antonio Brown (8,400) (Projected Ownership 5-8%) (Overweight)

Terrible spot for AB second divisional game Ben’s home road splits there is a reason why he is going to be this low owned, but AB has as good a chance as anyone to go for two and one hundred and in tournaments that’s what i’m looking. Also this price is around a 100 dollar decrease from where we usually get him at. One of these Pittsburgh wide receivers is going to have to get it done because the Ravens funnel to the passing game.

Courtland Sutton (3,900) (Projected Ownership 13-16%) (Underweight)

I think there is a lot to be Sutton in being underweight in terms of your exposure to Sutton in tournaments. This could change if Jonathan Joseph is misses this week's game then i would recommend being overweight so just keep in mind the injury news. If Joseph does play i think you can fade Sutton with Tre’quan Smith whose also in a great spot.

Michael Thomas (Projected Ownership 17-20%) (With the Field)

I think it's important to be in line with the field in terms of your exposure to Thomas with th saints implied team total at 29 points. The Saints have a positive gamescript and have the second highest team total on the board.

Tight Ends:

Greg Olsen (Projected Ownership 9-12%) (Overweight)

The Panthers are going to be pretty popular this week, but Olsen will probably be the least popular of the bunch and he also has one of the better matchups.

Travis Kelce (6,600) (Projected Ownership 20-25%) (Underweight)

Kelce is in a great spot and has the potential to be the focal point of the Chiefs passing attack this week as Tyreek Hill is playing hurt. While Kelce will more than likely be the tight end I use in cash games i’ll probably be underweight in terms of my exposure in tournaments.

David Njoku (Projected Ownership 5-8%) (Overweight)

Pure Game theory play Njoku busted as the chalk tight end last week. I’m not against taking a tournament flier in him in week 9 versus a Chiefs defense that has been brutal versus the tight end position all season.


Dolphins (2,800) (Projected Ownership 2-4%) (Overweight)

Sam Darnold has been extremely turnover prone during his first season in the NFL. I think the majority of people will pay up for the Bears or down for the Broncos and i don’t mind being overweight on the Dolphins who are right in the middle and should be drastically under owned.

Broncos (2,300) (Projected Ownership 17-20%) (Underweight)

Broncos are going to be the premium cash game option Sunday and while they offer you alot of opportunity in terms of savings it's probably better to have a little less than the field and try to go elsewhere.

Bears (4,100) (Projected Ownership 9-12%) (Overweight)

The Bears get win the Nathan Peterman sweepstakes so you have to be somewhat bullish in tournaments. I think my opinion would change though if Khalil Mack sits. Otherwise fire up CHi-town.



Above the field in terms of your exposure to a players predicted ownership percentage in Multi Entry.

With the Field:
In line with a players predicted ownership percentage in terms of your exposure in multi entry

Below the Field
Below a players predicted ownership in terms of your exposure in multi entry