DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2019 Week 10
Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
If Christian McCaffrey and Michael Thomas weren't priorities on this slate, Lamar Jackson would be viable in cash games. However, because he's the highest-priced QB on both of the two major sites, he's only a tournament play. Jackson forces you off one of the two which isn't great for value but will likely give you a unique lineup.
Jackson faces the last winless team this week, Cincinnati. The Bengals are last in the league in opponent yards allowed per play (6.6). They are .3 behind the next closest team.
The Ravens are also expected to be the second-highest scoring team on the main slate. Their 27.75 implied team total trails only the Saints.
Capture nearly all of those points with Jackson at quarterback.
Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints
Alvin Kamara is set to return this week after missing two games with an ankle injury. He should be fully healed after coming off three weeks of recovery because of the Saints' bye week.
This will be only his second game with Brees under center (for four full quarters) this season.
In his first game with Brees, Kamara was just doing Kamara things: He went for 169 yards on 20 touches. He's averaged 96 scrimmage yards and hasn't topped 69 rushing yards since.
The reversion to the Brees will hit harder than most expect for Kamara and he's priced down relative to his Week 1 cost.
Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills
Devin Good Chalk Singletary is going to be a popular play this week after going for 140 yards and scoring in Week 9. That doesn't mean you fade him. Much like with Jaylen Samuels last week, you can't play only low-owned guys and a cheap running back is the best way to roll with the crowd.
Singletary carried the ball 20 times last week to Frank Gore's 11. Singletary has also been heavily involved in the passing game throughout the season.
Singletary has three games with a snap share of at least 60% and he has 16 combined targets in those games. He's too good of a value to fade even in tournaments this week.
Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens
Marquise Brown returned last week after missing a pair of games and he slotted right back into the Baltimore offense. He played on 40 of the team's 70 offensive snaps and led all Baltimore receivers with four targets.
This season, Brown leads all Ravens with a .56 WOPR, which weighs a player's share of air yards and targets together on a per-game basis.
Jackson can get there on his own but adding a receiving option from Baltimore increases your lineup's correlation immensely.
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Mike Evans has posted back-to-back games with 180+ yards and at least one touchdown. He's cemented himself as the Bucs' No. 1 option but that doesn't render Chris Godwin useless. Evans' performances combined with Godwin's still high price ($7,400 on DraftKings and $8,200 on Fanduel) and two disappointing weeks will crush his ownership.
Despite Evans' excellence, Godwin has still been targeted 17 times in the past two weeks and of course, he's played all but four snaps.
Godwin won't project for more fantasy points than Evans but he is a great leverage play over last week's star.
Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons pay a visit to the Superdome this week in a game that Vegas expects firework from. The 51-point total from this game is tied with Arizona/Tampa for the highest of the main slate.
Austin Hooper is a very cheap way to attack the Falcons side of the game compared to the volume he's seeing. Hooper has been targeted five times in every game this season.
Hooper's 18% target share is top-10 among tight ends and that share is part of a large pie. The Falcons are attempting 45.5 passes per game this season, second-most in the NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs
Ryan Tannehill is going to be a somewhat popular play after stringing together some nice performances since becoming Tennessee's starting passer. He also projects as a good value this week and is a fine play in cash.
However, in tournaments, it's sharp to leverage this affinity for a known bad quarterback.
Ryan Tannehill career stats:
- 6.8 adjusted yards per attempt
- 2.6% interception rate
- 2.8 sacks taken per game
Tannehill has historically been good at taking sacks and turning the ball over. He has not been a historically efficient passer.
It's possible that he does what he's always done against a defense that just got Chris Jones back.