DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2020 Week 7
Kyler Murray, ARI
The Cardinals/Seahawks game features the third-highest total of the main slate but doesn't project for immense popularity as of Wednesday. Ownership can fluctuate throughout the week but if that holds, it's the best game to stack players from. On the Arizona side, that starts with Murray. His price has climbed to $7,100 on DraftKings but that's only because he's been so incredible as a runner. Murray is on pace for 136 carries for 987 yards and 16 scores on the ground. A solid passing week puts him in the running to be the QB1 on any slate and the target tree is simplified, reducing the risk of choosing the wrong player to stack.
Justin Herbert, LAC
Herbert has been on fire since taking over for Tyrod Taylor. He's completing 68.9% of his pass attempts and averaging 8.8 adjusted yards per attempt. He faces the Jaguars this week in a game with a 49-point total. Jacknsvoille is allowing the eighth-most DraftKings points per game to opposing passers.
Kenyan Drake, ARI
Drake has been used sparingly as a receiver but his market share numbers as a runner have been impressive. He's seen 67% of the running back carries in Arizona. He's only $4,800 this week despite playing in a game with a 55.5-point total. He runs the risk of getting game-scripted out of Week 7 but that is more than reflected in his low-ownership. The only caution is that because of his lack of receiving usage, he's best deployed as the run-back in a Russell Wilson stack.
I have no clue what Detroit is going to do with Swift this week. No one does and if anyone tells you otherwise they are selling snake oil. However, because of that, Swift's ownership will be tempered coming off of a 100-yard and two-score game. He saw 14 carries and four targets. He's seen at least four targets in all but one game this year. Buying Swift at low ownership is a great way to tap into upside without eating chalk.
DeAndre Hopkins, ARI
Hopkins belongs in every Murray lineup that's entered into a GPP this week and all other weeks. Hopkins has 61 targets and a 31.9% target share. He's first in the league with 41 catches and 601 receiving yards. If this hasn't become clear yet, I'll make sure it is now: Arizona/Seattle is the game to target this week. Stack Murray with Hopkins and run it back with D.K. Metcalf, who is third in air yards share this year.
Mike Williams, LAC
Williams has two healthy games on the schedule this year (Weeks 1 and 5). He saw nine and eight targets in those games. He also has a 17.7 average depth of target in those two games giving him upside on each attempt thrown his way. Lastly, Keenan Allen is going to be a popular play so rostering Williams could offer some leverage off the chalk.
Greg Olsen, SEA
Even if the ownership in this game does rise, Olsen's popularity is unlikely to follow suit. He's had an up and down year but the volume has been there in spurts. He has three games with at least four targets and has taken the field for at least two-thirds of Seattle's snaps three times as well. He's a great punt play that correlates well with Wilson.
Hunter Henry, LAC
Henry is going to be one of the more popular plays at tight end this week. However, because the ownership projections at tight end are fairly flat, that isn't saying much. He's averaging seven targets per game and is another way to gain leverage off Allen.
Playing the Lions with Swift offers a modest amount of correlation but it also leverages two popular receivers in Clavin Ridley and Julio Jones. The Lions defense isn't stacked with talent by any means but Matt Ryan has taken multiple sacks in all but one game this year. The Lions defense is only $2,200 on DraftKings this week.