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DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2020 Week 3
Kyler Murray, ARI
The cash and tournament lineups will have a bit of overlap this week so be sure to correlate your roster whenever possible and get different in the spots you choose not to eat the chalk. Murray is worth eating some chalk based on his rushing output. He tallied 67 yards and found the end zone two extra times last week after scoring once on 91 yards in Week 1. He has a chance to hit the 300-yard passing bonus and 100-yard rushing bonus in the same game. He's still priced outside the top-five passers.
Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
Roethlisberger and the Steelers are in a great spot this week facing the Houston Texans at home. The Texans are below league average in yard per play allowed and yards per pass attempt allowed. Their starting corners-Vernon Hargreaves and Bradley Roby-are both ranked outside the top 60 corners through two weeks per PFF. This game is going to go overlooked despite featuring two passers capable of putting up points in droves. The median outcome is a modest Pittsburgh win but if Watson can put up a fight against the Pittsburgh defense, PIT vs. HOU could be one of the highest-scoring games of the slate.
Mike Davis, CAR
Davis is one of the best values of the slate but doesn't appear to be garnering loads of popularity early in the week. He's $5,100 on DraftKings and he caught eight passes in Week 2 while filling in for Christian McCaffrey. CMC is going to be out for a few weeks and Carolina is committed to Davis. They kept him and cut their 2019 backup Reggie Bonnafon. No other Panthers back saw more than one touch in Week 2.
Jeff Wilson Jr., SF
Jerick McKinnon is going to be the more popular play in the San Francisco backfield but there's no guarantee that he's the guy Kyle Shanahan runs with. The 49ers are going to be without Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman versus the Giants. McKinnon is expected to lead the backfield in touches but he doesn't have a history of large workloads.
McKinnon has 63 career games and has never topped 20 carries. Wilson has 19 career games and already has one outing with more than 20 carries. He saw two carries to McKinnon's three last week. Wilson is the perfect leverage play over the more popular McKinnon this week.
DeAndre Hopkins, ARI
Every lineup entered into a large-field GPP needs a minimum of a quarterback with at least one of his receivers and a pass-catching option on the other side of the game. Hopkins is the obvious choice to pair with Murray. Hopkins' 37% target share leads all wide receivers through two weeks. If Kenny Golladay returns for Week 3, he's the ideal runback from the Detroit side.
Diontae Johnson, PIT
Much like Hopkins, Johnson leads his team in target share by such a wide margin that he's mandatory in Pittsburgh stats. He has a 32% target share and a 33% air yards share. Johnson has been dominant through two weeks as the starting outside receiver in a Roethlisberger offense. That should continue in Week 3 against a soft secondary.
Logan Thomas, WAS
Thomas was quiet in Week 2 with four catches for 26 yards but the signals of a continued breakout were present. He finished with nine targets, only one behind Terry McLaurin for the team-lead. His 62 air yards represented 22% of the team's total air yards. His ownership isn't reflecting his status as a low-end TE1 and neither does his $3,700 price on DraftKings.
T.J. Hockenson, DET
Hockenson is the best run-back option in the DET vs. ARI game if Golladay cannot return or news breaks that he'll be on a snap count. He's caught all nine of his targets through two weeks and is leading Detroit in receiving yards (118). Hockenson is a low-owned way to tap into the scoring of a game that could feature touchdowns at an alarming rate.
New England Patriots
The Raiders pulled off an incredible upset over the Saints last week but let's not overreact to one week. They are still led by Derek Carr and now have to travel across the country on a short week. The Patriots defense wasn't able to stack up to Russell Wilson last week but they neutralized Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 1. They still have the talent to do the same to Carr in Week 3 and only cost $3,200.