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DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2019 Week 8
Ryan Tannehill, Tennesee Titans
Ryan Tannehill may be one of the more nausea-inducing plays of the slate but that doesn't make him a bad play. Top quarterbacks like Deshaun Watson and Russel Wilson are going to be popular so paying down at the position is going to give your lineups a unique construction on the week.
This season, the only way to move the ball against the Buccaneers has been through the air. They are allowing a league-best 68 rushing yards per game. On the other hand, they've allowed opposing passers to average 304.5 yards, the worst mark in the league.
Tannehill is also incredibly cheap on the two major DFS sites despite the fact that Vegas expects the Titan to be n the top-half of teams in terms of scoring (24-point team total) on the week.
Marlon Mack, Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have given Marlon Mack the volume of the workhorse back but he has underperformed in most of his games. He has only eclipsed 20 points twice this season even though he has 18 touches in all but one game. Mack's 21.5 touches per game are eighth in the NFL among all running backs.
This week, he and the Colts are six-point favorites at home. The game-script and the volume set Mack up for an explosive day but public sentiment is going to be off Mack entirely. Capitalize on that and fire up Mack this week.
Chris Carson, Seatle Seahawks
Stacking Tyler Lockett and Russel Wilson is going to be one of the most popular receiver-quarterback combos this week but Seattle is always capable of sitting on an early lead by running Chris Carson into the ground.
They did this versus Seattle and Carson saw 22 carries plus four targets. The Seahawks are currently 3.5-point favorites against a hobbled Matt Ryan and a floundering Atlanta team.
Carson has also turned int a true three-down back this season. His 22 receptions are already more than he caught all of last season.
If Atlanta turns things around and forces Seattle to throw, Carson will be there to catch dump-offs from Wilson. If they have a lead, Carson will be in line to win people tournaments.
A.J. Brown, Tennessee Titans
In Tannehill's first start as a Titan, he threw 29 times for 312 yards and carried the ball an additional five times. His rushing equity makes running him without any of his receivers an option. If you choose to stack him with a wideout, make that player A.J. Brown.
Brown's 8 targets led the Titans and 76 air yards trailed Corey Davis by two for the team-lead. Brown is also one of the two players with multiple red zone targets from the backup QB.
Coming out of college, Brown had an argument to be the highest-drafted wide receiver prospect of his class. He's already flashed potential in his rookie season and now Vegas expects the Titans to put up a respectable amount of points. All signs point to Brown being the 1% play that goes off this week.
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
While we're on this game, let's run it back from someone from the Tampa Bay side of things. The only viable options are Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Early in the season, this may have been a debatable topic but at this point, Godwin has cemented himself as the team's better receiver and he's getting the volume that No. 1 receivers are supposed to get.
Godwin has 11 more air yards on nine more targets since Week 4. He' scored 60 more fantasy points than Evans over that span. Godwin is a great way to correlate more of your lineup to the total of this game, increasing the upside of your lineup tremendously.
Noah Fant, Denver Broncos
When the Broncos drafted Noah Fant in the first round, they (and football fans) likely thought they would get more production out of the elite prospect. Fant has a 15-159-1 stat line on the season so far.
The good news for Fant is twofold:
- Emmanuel Sanders was traded, leaving behind his 19% target share
- Fant has the second-highest average depth of target (11.2) among all qualified tight ends
Fant and Courtland Sutton are the only players on the team with aDOT's above 6.2 now that Sanders is in San Francisco. Fant, Sutton, and DeSean Hamilton will all reap the benefits of Sanders' departure.
High aDOT tight ends are rare and Fant correlates well with Mack. He's a risky play but has more than enough upside to get him into tournament lineups.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers are going to go wildly underlooked as DFS players pay all the way up for New England or Pittsburgh against the Dolphins. Hundreds of the dollars below them sit the Charger, who get an enticing matchup of their own.
The Bears are 26th in points per game and 30th in yards per game. No matter who has been under center for them, the Bears offense has been unable to do much.
LA has also turned a corner on their pass rush. In their first three games, the Chargers generated four sacks. In the following four games, they have 10 sacks.