DFS Cash Game Breakdown 2019 Week 19
Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
Everyone is going to look for a way to get up to Lamar Jackson but in this economy, who can afford paying for the most expensive quarterback on a four-game slate. If you can, get up to Jackson, but most likely you'll be looking to pay up for the few sure options we have at running back and receiver this week.
That means we're looking down, but not too far, to Patrick Mahomes. He has topped 20 DraftKings points in eight of the 13 games he's finished this season and has gone over 30 four times. This week he faces Houston at home.
Houston's secondary has allowed the fourth-most passing yards and touchdowns this season. Mahomes is in for a field day against them.
Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings
The big question coming into last week was what workload would Dalvin Cook see. He started the year as a bell-cow back but coming off a shoulder injury that cost him multiple weeks, his volume was in doubt. He silenced all uncertainty in the Wild Card round with 28 carries and three receptions.
Cook's 130 scrimmage yards on Sunday marked the ninth time he went over the century mark in 13 completed games his year. He was fourth in the NFL at 21.6 touches per game heading into the post-season. Because of his three-down skillset, Cook has to be the No. 1 priority at running back in the Divisional Round.
Damien Williams, Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have a 30.5 implied team total, which is two more than the second-highest team total of slate, Baltimore's 28.5. Stacking Chiefs isn't a massive bet on their offense ging off, it's playing Vegas's highly efficiency betting lines.
Damien Williams has quietly been fire down the stretch. Like our previous two cash players, Williams has lost a few games to injuries this season. However, in the previous four games Williams has finished, the Chiefs have been giving him the rock:
- Rushing: 14.8-97.8-.8
- Receiving: 3.5-23-.3
Much like last year, Williams is hot heading into the playoffs and the Chiefs are treating him like a three-down back. He's the cheapest access to volume on the slate.
Deebo Samuel, San Francisco 49ers
Deebo Samuel may be the worst misprice of the week that isn't a product of fluky injury situations-which reminds me-jam in Gus Edwards if Mark Ingram is ruled out.
Deebo is $5,200 on DraftKings and $6,100. That makes him the 9th and 10th-most expensive receiver respectively.
After a modest first half of his rookie campaign, Samuel turned it on in the second half. He was second on the 49ers in targets (56) and air yards (452). Plus, Samuel gets a weekly rushing bonus. Since Week 13, Samuel has averaged 1.8 carries for 24.4 yards and .4 touchdowns per game. Kyle Shanahan has demonstrated a clear affinity for getting Samuel involved in any way possible.
Samuel has hit double-digit points in eight of his last games including three outings of 20+ points. If Samuel's coach wants him involved in his real-life lineup, you should want him in your fantasy lineups as well.
Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers
So actually everyone on here is a product of injuries but that has kept their prices in check. If Davante Adams plays a whole season, he's probably $1,000 more expensive on every DFS site this week. Instead, he's $7,800 on DraftKings.
Adams since Week 9: 7-377.4-.6
Over that span, Adams' 91 targets and 893 air yards are third and ninth respectively.
Jacob Hollister, Seattle Seahawks
Much like quarterback, paying up at tight end would be nice this week and it's just not in the cards. Jacob Hollister is the closest thing you're going to get to a stud tight end.
Since Week 7, Hollister is averaging 5.7 targets per game and has played on no fewer than 69% of the team's snaps.
This week, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks are four-point dogs to the Packers. If Seattle is going to be playing predominantly from behind, and in turn throwing a lot, Hollister's volume is going to go a long way.
San Francisco 49ers
Wild Card round weeded out the weak offenses so taking a defense is difficult. The three big favorites of the week are Baltimore (-10), Kansas City (-10), and San Francisco (-7.5). Out of this trio, San Francisco is the cheapest on DraftKings and arguably the best.
They are the No. 2 defense in DVOA and have allowed 4.7 yards per play, best in the league.