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By Kyle Dvorchak

Quarterback
Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jameis Winston gets so much guaranteed yardage on a weekly basis because of the style of football he plays and how much the Bucs lean on him.Winston's average target travels 10.4 yards downfield. Only Stafford has a higher depth of target. Winston has also thrown 404 passes this year, trailing just Phillip Rivers.
Winston's yardage project leads the slate nearly every week and now he's playing in the ideal game environment for his skill-set. The Bucs/Falcons game has a 51-point total and Vegas has Tampa as a four-point dog. You can even run Winston without a pass-catcher because of how inversely correlated Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Regardless of which one hits, you'll tap into their points with Winston.
Running Back
Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers
Both DraftKings and Fanduel just can't seem to learn their lesson with Christian McCaffrey. He has been priced at $10,500 in each of the past two weeks. In those weeks he has 332 yards from scrimmage and 17 receptions. Neither site brought his price up this week.On DraftKings he's a great play because of how many passes he catches and his likelihood of getting a 100-yard bonus. Over at Fanduel he costs the exact same price but Fanduel gives you $10,000 more salary dollars to work with. Practically speaking, you can get him for a discount there.
McCaffrey is pacing for one of the greatest fantasy seasons of all time. Just keep playing him until his price goes up again.
Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles
In order to get up to CMC (which you should be doing), you're going to have t save some money. Some people may be hesitant to turn back to Miles Sanders after his dud on Sunday but nothing has changed for him. Jordan Howard is on pace to miss this week and Sanders is still cheap.Sanders saw 61% of the Eagles' running back carries and every target out of the backfield last week. He played on 85% of Philly's offensive snaps.
This week he's a favorite at home and doesn't have to face the New England defense, AKA one of the best defenses in the past decade.
Instead, he faces the Seahawks, who are bottom-10 in points and yards allowed. Buy the Sanders rebound in cash.
Wide Receiver
Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints
The Christian McCaffrey of receivers is and always has been Micahel Thomas. Receivers have historically had low floor because they get, if they're really good, 10 or so chances to score in a game. A few errant passes, a drop, and some short catches and their day is ruined. Their paths to failure are numerous because they don't see the ball as many times as a running back.Michael Thomas has broken that mold.
He's catching 82.5% of the passes thrown his way and he's averaging 10 yards per target. On 11.4 targets per game, those stats have kept Thomas over 15 DraftKings points in every game this season.James Washington, Pittsburgh Steelers
It looks as if Juju Smith-Schuster and Diontae Johnson are both going to miss Pittsburgh's game against the Bengals this week. That leaves James Washington as their only remaining wideout with more than 13 targets this season.On top of the volume, Washington's matchup is the best one possible for receivers. The Bengals have allowed opposing passers to average 8.8 yards per attempt this season. That mark is the worst in the NFL by a wide margin.
Tight End
Greg Olsen, Carolina Panthers
It's another thin week at tight end but the Carolina Panthers are participating in a game with a 47-point total. The Panthers are also massive underdogs so they should be forced into passing more often than they have this season.Olsen has a top-10 target share and a top-10 air yards share this season. He's also had a decent target floor throughout the season. He's been targeted fewer than five times in just three contests. On a slate without any free plays at the position, Olsen is as good as it's going to get.
Defense
Jacksonville Jaguars
Ryan Tannehill's "good quarterback" facade has begun to crack in the past two weeks:- 8 sacks
- 2 interceptions
- 1 fumble
Tannehill has always been a quarterback who takes sacks and throws picks and now those traits are resurfacing. Despite Jacksonville's pass-defense dropping off this year, they have still manage to get to the quarterback 33 times, 5th-most in the NFL.
Stacking them with Fournette is a great way to double down on the bet against Ryan Tannehill.