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Target and Snap Analysis Week 11 2016
By Jen Ryan
Targets & Snaps: Week 11
My day job got in my way last week and I couldn’t provide you with target and snap data last week, but I’m back and I’ve come prepared with a bunch of numbers for you. All of the stats I provide you with can be found using these links:
Targets (including 3 week data): http://www.footballdiehards.com/fantasyfootballtargets/fantasy-football-target-stats.cfm
Targets (including red zone data): http://www.footballdiehards.com/fantasy_football_target_stats.cfm
Let’s get right to the numbers.
- There is not a non-quarterback in football that is on the field for 100% of their teams’ snaps. There is, however, one player who accounts for 99% of his teams’ snaps, and that is Jason Witten.
- There are four players with at least four targets from the 10-zone with a 100% completion rate:
o Mike Evans – 4/4, Four 10-zone touchdowns
o Brandin Cooks – 4/4, Two 10-zone touchdowns
o Brandon Coleman – 4/4, One 10-zone touchdown
o Mark Ingram – 5/5, Three (receiving) 10-zone touchdowns
The Saints and Buccaneers face each other in Week 14, the first week of the fantasy football playoffs. They also face each other two weeks later, during the fantasy football championship. Buy your Saints and Buccaneers while you still can.
- Rob Gronkowski leads the league in fantasy points per opportunity at 2.61 and boasts an 8.3% touchdown rate on those targets. Right behind him is Henry Hunter with 2.31 fantasy points per opportunity and he scores on an impressive 11.4% of his targets.
- A.J. Green is the only player with at least a 40% target share over the past three weeks (42%). The two players closest to that target share are Antonio Brown and Larry Fitzgerald, who both have seen 32% of their teams’ targets over the past three weeks.
- Brandon Marshall leads the league in team red zone target share (38%). He has one red zone touchdown this season, two total. Todd Bowles has been non-committal on who will be under center for the Jets this week, but the numbers tell us it really does not matter. Marshall is on track to be one of the biggest busts in fantasy football this season.
- After seeing a massive 15 targets in Week 1, Allen Robinson saw less than nine targets for six straight weeks. Since Week 8, he has been targeted at least 11 times in each game. His 40 targets over the past three weeks are the most among all players, tied with Jordy Nelson. The Jaguars face the Detroit Lions this week, who rank 16th in the league against receivers and have not allowed a receiver to score a touchdown since Week 6.
- DeMarco Murray (215) and David Johnson (218) are the only players in fantasy football with over 200 PPR points. Murray’s 12 points in Week 6 was his worst performance of 2016, while Johnson’s worst day came in Week 4 when he scored 16 PPR points. Johnson already had his bye week, but Murray’s comes in Week 13, which is a critical week as the final game of the fantasy football season.
- I say each week that the end zone is where the money is made. The six points for a receiving touchdown are the single largest fantasy point one can achieve. Here are your touchdown leaders per opportunity, based off a bench mark of at least 50 targets through 10 weeks.
These players are dominating in terms of what they do with their targets. Rishard Matthews is encouraging, but keep in mind he’s had a single game this season with double-digit targets and is on an offense where he is the third option behind his running back and tight end. Brate and Cooks fall into the category I mentioned earlier of players to target due to their playoff schedule. Gates is producing in spite of Henry’s presence, and is two touchdowns away from the record that Philip Rivers has mentioned more than once. Nelson continues to find the end zone for Green Bay, and no receiver in football has more total touchdowns than him.
- The San Diego Chargers lead the league in snaps (701) and are the only team over 700 snaps on the season. Here is their snap distribution by active players.
Inman obviously stands out here. On the season, he has 32 receptions on 55 targets for 408 yards and a score. 25 of those 55 targets have come over the past 3 weeks, where he is second on the team with 21% of the team’s targets behind Gates’ 23%. San Diego is on the bye this week, and the rest of their season is as follows: Texans, Buccaneers, Panthers, Raiders…and the Browns in the fantasy Super Bowl.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have run the fewest snaps in football (521). Here is their snap distribution by active player.
Despite playing on a total of 30% of the Chiefs’ snaps, there is not a player on the team with more targets over the past three weeks than Hill’s 24. His three week target share of 22% leads the team. He leads the team in completion percentage (80%), touchdowns per target (10%), and points per opportunity (2.28). He is available in 85.8% of ESPN fantasy leagues.
Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but these statistics I have provided you are just a snippet of what you can find by clicking on the links I have provided you above. Take advantage of our tools and spend time analyzing what the numbers mean. You can always feel free to talk the numbers with me anytime @FFdeJENerate. Good luck this week!