DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2020 Week 16
Matt Ryan, ATL
The KC/ATL game features a 53-point total, the highest of the main slate. The Falcons are a top-ten team by pass percentage and Vegas has them as double-digit underdogs. No quarterback has more pass attempts over 20 yards downfield than Ryan. He is second in total attempts and third in total yards this season. He is a great way to begin stacking the best game of the week in a unique game.
Deshaun Watson, HOU
Despite losing the most efficient target he has ever thrown to in Will Fuller, Watson hasn't missed a beat in his previous three games. He has two contests with over 340 yards and gets a soft Cincinnati secondary this week. The Bengals are just 21st in yards per pass attempt allowed at seven. Watson doesn't play in the most exciting game this week but his team has a 27.5 implied total.
Giovani Bernard, CIN
After getting benched for fumbling two weeks ago, Bernard stormed back with 25 carries for 83 yards and two total scores. Because his team was winning so handily, Bernard wasn't asked to do much as a receiver. As more than a touchdown underdog, that aspect of his game should also reemerge this week. Bernard is simply the cheapest bell-cow of the week and isn't drawing a ton of popularity
Darrell Henderson, LAR
With Cam Akers likely done for the regular season, Henderson is likely to take on the primary between-the-tackles role for the Rams. He largely operated in this role from Week 2 to Week 12. Henderson averaged 13 touches per game over that span and scored four times through nine games. He's only $4,500 on DraftKings this week.
Russell Gage, ATL
Calvin Ridley is going to be the obvious stacking option with Ryan but don't forget about Gage. Julio Jones has been out for two weeks. In those two weeks, Gage has seen 17 targes. Last week, he played on 91% of Atlanta's offensive snaps. He is clearly Ryan's second favorite choice to target and makes for the perfect piece to round out a double-stack.
Sammy Watkins, KC
As is the theme this week we continue looking for unique ways to attack the KC/ATL game by opting for Watkins, who is still operating as the No. 2 receiver in an offense led by the best quarterback in the NFL. Watkins Since returning to the field in Week 12, Watkins has run a route on nearly 80% of Mahomes' dropbacks and is averaging 5.5 targets per game.
Dallas Goedert, PHI
Over the past six weeks, Godert has seen at least six targets in every single game. He has seen a 21% target share and a 23% air yards share over that span. Now that he has a competent quarterback under center, Goedert's job as his team's No. 1 pass-catcher is becoming increasingly valuable.
Travis Kelce, KC
Playing Kelcec over Tyreek Hill in a Mahomes stack or as the runback to a Falcons-heavy lineup is simply a bet on there being players who can challenge Hill at his position while there are no tight ends who can contend with Kelce. He is currently second in receiving yards and fourth in receptions among all players this year.
The Texans face Ryan Finley this week. In his career, Finley is completing less than half of his passes and throwing an interception at a 3.4% rate. He has also taken a sack on 14.4% of his dropbacks. This doesn't have to be hard.
If you're playing Watson, using the Jacksonville defense against a popular Mitchell Trubisky is a very high leverage play.