DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2019 Week 4

By Kyle Dvorchak
Kyle Dvorchak

 

Quarterback

Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks
Quarterbacks facing the Arizona Cardinals have been a free square inf DFS so far. The Cardinals have allowed an average of 306 passing yards and three scores through the air. They've also allowed Lamar Jackson to rush for 120 yards and Matt Stafford rush for 22. Quarterbacks have taken advantage of them in a variety of ways.

This week Russel Wilson will have no problem crushing Arizona via passing or rushing. Wilson is averaging 8.6 yards per attempt and throwing a touchdown on 6.7% of his pass attempts. He's rushed the ball 17 times for 81 yards and found the end zone twice.

With Chris Carson fumbling in each week so far, expect Seattle to trust Wilson and run their offense through him more than they have in past seasons. Against Arizona, that is the recipe for fantasy points.

 

 

 

Running Back

Kerryon Johnson, Detroit Lions
With C.J. Anderson out of town, Kerryon Johnson looked much more like the bell-cow many fantasy players were anticipating that they had drafted in the third round. He carried the ball 20 times and caught a pass. Ty Johnson was given just for carries and the only other target that the Lions threw to a running back.

Johnson now gets to apply this volume uptick to the highest-total of the week. The Kansas City vs. Detroit Lions matchup currently has a total of 54.5-points, one point higher than what it opened at.

Any running back facing Kansas City has multi-touchdown upside. Just ask Mark Ingram, who found paydirt three times against the Chiefs last week.

Johnson offers a large market share of touches in the game Vegas expects to see the most scoring.

David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals
If you're stacking Seattle players-we'll get to another one of them soon-you have to run it back with a player on the opposing team. David Johnson is a great choice to be that player.

Johnson is fourth in the NFL for air yards (49) by a running back and tenth with 17 targets.

He's also 26th with 36 rushing attempts. The equation is simple: buy all of the volume in this game. No player offers more of that than Johnson does.

 

 

 

 

Wide Receiver

Will Fuller, Houston Texans
Will Fuller is the perfect leverage play off of this week's chalk wide receiver: Tery McLaurin. The Washington receiver has scored in each game while also catching five passes. However, he is the same price as Fuller and looks like a popular play. Both receivers are in the top-15 in air yards-368 for Terry and 310 Fuller-and both cost $4,500 on DraftKings.

McLaurin might be seeing slightly more volume, but the differential in the two field-stretchers' ownership necessitates some lineups with Fuller.

Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers
Keenan Allen is going to be the highest-owned receiver on the main slate and he's still not worth fading. Allen has been targeted 42 times, The next-closest player, Michael Thomas, has been targeted 32 times.

The sure-handed receiver also owns 46% of LA's air yards and 36% of the team's targets. His opponent, Miami have given up the most passing touchdowns to pass-catchers, 10.

Allen gets the easiest opponent and earns more of his team's passing work than any other receiver in the league. Just play him, even in tournaments, and move on.

 

 

 

 

Tight End

Will Dissly, Seattle Seahawks
The DissMissile, or Will Dissly as his birth certificate would have you believe, is emerging as a weekly starter at the tight end position. In three games, Dissly has been targeted 14 times and Wilson has thrown 132 air yards his way. Both marks are third in Seattle behind D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

This week he faces Arizona, who, in addition to letting passers walk all over them, are particularly susceptible to the tight end position. They have allowed 348 yards and five scores to the tight ends they have faced. Those marks are 68 yards and two scores above the second-worst team in tight end defense.

Seattle also moved on from their backup tight end, Nick Vannett, this week. Vannett's five targets and 46 air yards should be almost entirely absorbed by Dissly.

Play Wilson and then immediately lock in Dissly at tight end.

 

 

 

 

Defense

Los Angeles Rams
The Rams are hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this week and have everything going for them as far fantasy defenses are concerned: