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Lisa Ann
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Carl Tempesta
Michael Valverde
Adam Hall
Strength of Schedule 2020 Adam and David (8/8/2020)
Strength of Schedule 2020
By Adam Hall and David Sciacca
Passing SOS Team Map
Rushing SOS Team Map
Opportunity Hidden in the Numbers
Going into an uncertain 2020 season the same questions remain in the fantasy world, which teams will falter and who will become a new household name.
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QB Metrics What They Tell Us About Fantasy Value (4/30/2020)
The greatest predictor of future performance is past performance.
Narratives, superlatives, expectations, and exclamations surround every group of rookies making the jump from the collegiate ranks to the pros. Every year a generational talent is touted as something special that will change the NFL
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What the numbers tell us about quarterback success and failure in 2019 (8/10/2019)
What the numbers tell us about quarterback success and failure in 2019.
Adam Hall
Numbers tell us much of what we need to know
Quarterbacks entering the NFL have played the game at a higher level than most in college, but there are significant differences between resumes of quarterbacks desti
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NFL Strength of Schedule and Defensive Projections for 2019 (7/29/2019)
by Adam Hall and David Sciacca
Luck is often defined as preparation meeting opportunity. In this article the rsum of each team is peeled back to expose the liabilities and strengths that the fantasy community can exploit to earn a leg up against the competition in the upcoming season. Through
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Fools Gold Dont be tricked into relying on Josh Allen as your QB of the future (3/11/2019)
Rise of the linchpin QB
With the rise of superflex in redraft and dynasty formats, picking a top end quarterback is more important than ever. Even though there are enough QBs to go around, a team needs two top-end quarterbacks to reach the fantasy playoffs and thrive. This is due to quart
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Whos There to Protect the Team Offensive Line Rankings to Start the 2018 Season (8/27/2018)
A Crucial, Overlooked Component
The old adage goes that the game of football is won and lost in the trenches, and to this day the saying stands as dogma. Without sufficient protection, a quarterback cannot deliver an accurate pass to any kind of receiver. Profootballfocus (PFF) has found that the
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Tread Lightly and Draft with Caution Players with the Worst Opportunities in 2018 (8/25/2018)
Hard Times Ahead
One trend lies at the heart of every successful fantasy team, value taken at the expense of consensus. This article utilizes the optimized strength of schedule described in my previous article to find underdrafted and overlooked players that represent immense value obscured by opp
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SOS winners who to take based on strength of schedule 2018 (8/24/2018)
Diamonds in the Rough
One trend lies at the heart of every successful fantasy team, value taken at the expense of consensus. This article utilizes the optimized strength of schedule described in my previous article to find underdrafted and overlooked players that represent immense value obscured
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Strength of Schedule (SoS) and Breakout Identifier Part 1 The Numbers (8/21/2018)
Making an Educated Choice
Each year every member of the fantasy community is left with the eternal dilemma, who to pick among the droves of viable options. For the diehard player, each piece of information is integrated and cherished depending on its value. Beyond the occasional camp repor
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What The Numbers Say About Success And Failure For Quarterbacks Pt 4 Rookie Projections (8/19/2018)
The Annual Question
Every year the same question is on the lips of all football fans, which quarterback is going to be the talk of the league this year. Thankfully the model discussed in the past three articles has much to make everyone feel comfortable with any claim under the sun. Each player is
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What The Numbers Say About Success And Failure For Quarterbacks Pt 3 Success (8/19/2018)
Signs that point to wins
For every standard that points to failure, there’s a counterpoint that projects success. This article focuses on the standards that are correlated with pro-bowls and all-pro awards. There is no full proof method for predicting a hall of fame caliber quarterback, but over t
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What the Numbers Say About Success and Failure for Quarterbacks Part 2 Failure (8/14/2018)
High Hopes Dashed
Its always disappointing when a team puts their hopes and dreams into a player, only to see that optimism drained over years of piss-poor performance. Nearly as sad is a fantasy player picking up a quarterback hoping they provide stability, and perhaps a championship, only for
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What The Numbers Say About Success And Failure For Quarterbacks Pt 1 The Model (8/14/2018)
It’s QB or bust in the NFL
Few positions in all of sports have the same impact as the quarterback. Due to their preeminence, the goal of finding a model that can predict quarterback success and failure lies at the heart of all scouting departments. No model is perfect however, over the years, I hav
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Waiver wire pickup priorities target and schedule adjusted (9/12/2017)
You can lose your league during the draft, but you win your league through the waiver wire and trades. This adage is the fundamental maxim of fantasy football. Today I’ll helping you make the best choices with your waiver claim, or your FAAB points, to make sure you’re winning on the waiver wire f
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SOS Final spread stats post off-season and O-line adjusted (8/27/2017)
How the final conclusion was reached.
The statistics set out in my first article in this series was an incomplete picture. Although, the pure acquisition adjusted strength of schedule via defensive productivity explains a majority of the product in the NFL from year to year, it is not the whole
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Strength of schedule and breakout predictor 2017 Part 3 (8/22/2017)
Who you should target
This model allows us to find who has the easiest path to success and which teams are most likely to have a breakout candidate amongst them. This article runs down a slew of my favorite players to target this year based on the statistics. Many of these will be values, or indi
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Strength of schedule and breakout predictor 2017 part 2 (8/20/2017)
Who you should target
This model allows us to find who has the easiest path to success and which teams are most likely to have a breakout candidate amongst them. This article runs down a slew of my favorite players to target this year based on the statistics. Many of these will be values, or indi
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Strength of schedule and breakout predictor 2017 (8/18/2017)
What’s the best way to succeed that no one considers?
When you close your eyes and think hard about what makes for a successful fantasy team what comes to mind? An elite quarterback, a receiving corps like the Giants perhaps? Or maybe it’s an offensive line like the Cowboys from last year? All of
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