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DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2019 Week 20
Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers
In tournaments, I'm just looking for sharp places to short ownership this week. A lot of ownership is going to concentrate on the KC/TEN game so let's stack the SF/GB matchup.
Jimmy Garoppolo has three games with four passing scores this season. He's one of only four quarterbacks with as many games of that caliber this year and none of the other three are playing this weekend.
San Francisco games where they're the home favorite are 5-4 against the game total and they average 4.6 over. A shootout is more possible than you might think.
Damien Williams, Kansas City Chiefs
There's going to be a lot of overlap between cash and tournament builds this week. Damien Williams is just the first (and maybe best) of those plays. Williams' per game stats since Week 9 (excluding a game he left with an injury):
Receiving: 4.6 targets, 3.2 receptions, 22.6 yards, .4 scores
Rushing: 14.2 carries, 87.6 yards, 1 touchdown
No other Kansas City backed touched the ball or played more than one snap last week.
Raheem Mostert, San Francisco 49ers
Two of the teams playing this week gave one back every running back touch and Aaron Jones saw 88% of his team's running back touches. Those players are going to soak up a massive amount of ownership on the small slate. That leaves the 49ers with all of the pivot options at the position.
Before last week, Tevin Coleman had peaked at five carries over as many games. Raheem Moster carried the ball twice as much in every game and peaked at 19 totes. He was sidelined with a calf injury for much of last week but was practicing fully as of Wednesday. If you can stomach the uncertainty, Mostert is a great leverage play this week.
Allen Lazard, Green Bay Packers
If you're stacking 49ers, you'll need at least one bring-back option. Lazard missed most of last week after suffering an ankle injury but he did return late in the game. He is expected to play this week.
Before last week, Lazard had played on over half of Green Bay's snaps in six straight weeks and it was beginning to pay off. He was targeted 17 times in Week 16 and 17 combined. Nearly double-digit targets from Aaron Rodgers is all you need to know when looking to Lazard.
A.J. Brown, Tennessee Titans
A.J. Brown has been ultra-efficient this year, but the Titans holding their opponents to 25 points over the past two weeks has brought his numbers to a halt. They're not keeping the Chiefs down this week so expect Brown to return to form. He was second in the NFL in yards per target (12.5), yards per route run (3.46), and fantasy points per target (2.58). Infuse him with some negative game-script and you have a recipe or an explosion game.
George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers
George Kittle is a must-play anytime you roster Jimmy G. Kittle accounted for 26.5% of San Francisco's receiving yards and touchdowns this year. Only Mark Andrews was a larger piece of his team's receiving game.
Kittle also busted last week, posting a 3-16-0 line. Burning everyone as one of the two popular plays at the position should keep his ownership tampered, especially with Travis Kelce's monstrous outing from last week.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs were 8th in the NFL this season at 2.9 sacks per game. This week they face Ryan Tannehill, who is sacked on a higher percentage of his dropbacks (9.8%) than any quarterback not named Dwayne Haskins Jr.
As 7.5-point home favorites, the Chiefs front seven will be treated to a bevy of Tannehill dropbacks and should have more than enough chances to sack him, force turnover, and potentially score. No defense has a higher upside this week and it's not particularly close.